Football Stats Hub

Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad
v
Lillestrom crestLillestrom

Eliteserien | Sat 11 Jul, 13:00

Fredrikstad v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 03:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad host Lillestrom in a tightly poised Eliteserien clash at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion. Fredrikstad sit 10th with a resilient home record, having won three of five matches, while Lillestrom occupy 4th place but have endured a patchy run with four defeats in their last six games. Fredrikstad's aggressive 3-4-3 formation emphasizes wing-back width and attacking transitions, but their defensive frailties have seen them concede heavily. Lillestrom's 4-3-3 setup focuses on possession control and wide attacking threats, boasting superior passing accuracy. Both sides face pressure to perform, setting the stage for an open, competitive encounter with momentum swings likely.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Fredrikstad have seen both teams score in their last six league matches, highlighting attacking strength and defensive vulnerability.
  • Lillestrom have scored 31 goals in 17 matches, indicating strong offensive capability.
  • Fredrikstad concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, the highest between the two teams.
  • Lillestrom's possession and passing accuracy (83%) suggest efficient build-up play and chance creation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 76% chance, reflecting Fredrikstad's consistent pattern of conceding and scoring in every recent match and Lillestrom's potent attack averaging 1.82 goals per game. Fredrikstad's defensive instability, conceding 20 goals in 11 matches, combined with Lillestrom's high volume of dangerous attacks and superior passing accuracy, supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 13.5% edge, making this selection a compelling choice based on tactical openness and attacking metrics.

Fredrikstad BTTS Rate100% in last 6 matches
Strong positive
Lillestrom Goals Scored31 goals in 17 matches
Strong positive
Fredrikstad Goals Conceded20 goals in 11 matches
Strong positive
Lillestrom Passing Accuracy83% average
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture promises an open contest with Fredrikstad's home resilience and attacking intent clashing against Lillestrom's superior league position and efficient possession play. The defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and recent scoring trends strongly suggest that both teams will find the net, making the Both Teams to Score market a logical and data-supported choice.

Main risk

A tactical shift to a more defensive approach by either team after an early goal could reduce scoring opportunities and affect the Both Teams to Score outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking interplay

“Fredrikstad's aggressive wing-back system and Lillestrom's precise passing create a tactical environment ripe for goals at both ends, underscoring the appeal of the Both Teams to Score market.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Fredrikstad have seen both teams score in their last six league matches, highlighting attacking strength and defensive vulnerability.

Lillestrom have scored 31 goals in 17 matches, indicating strong offensive capability.

Fredrikstad concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, the highest between the two teams.

Lillestrom's possession and passing accuracy (83%) suggest efficient build-up play and chance creation.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.57, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Fredrikstad's six consecutive BTTS matches and Lillestrom's attacking volume suggest a match tempo conducive to goals.
  • These trends point to a fixture where offensive transitions and defensive lapses could combine to produce multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fredrikstad1.4
Avg goals scored
Lillestrom1.6
Fredrikstad1.6
Avg goals conceded
Lillestrom1.4
Fredrikstad100%
BTTS rate
Lillestrom40%
Fredrikstad80%
Over 2.5 goals
Lillestrom60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Fredrikstad have seen both teams score in 100% of their last six matches, while Lillestrom's 31 goals in 17 matches highlight their attacking threat. Fredrikstad's defensive record of conceding 1.6 goals per game and Lillestrom's ability to create dangerous chances suggest a high likelihood of goals from both sides, supporting the BTTS selection.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Fredrikstad v Lillestromcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.60, reflecting a 62.5% implied probability. The model's 76% chance indicates clear positive value, driven by Fredrikstad's perfect BTTS record in recent matches and Lillestrom's strong offensive output. This pricing aligns well with the tactical openness and defensive lapses expected, making the attractive for this market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fredrikstad3.4
Avg corners for
Lillestrom6
Fredrikstad9
Avg total corners
Lillestrom8.8
Fredrikstad2.4
Avg yellow cards
Lillestrom1.6
Fredrikstad11.4
Avg shots
Lillestrom13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom average 6 corners per game compared to Fredrikstad's 3.4, indicating more sustained pressure and attacking territory for the visitors. Both teams have similar shots on target averages (Fredrikstad 4.2, Lillestrom 4.4), reflecting balanced offensive efforts. Fredrikstad's higher average of 2.4 yellow cards per game suggests a physical approach that could influence game flow and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fredrikstad

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
29 May 2026H Start2-1
25 May 2026A Sandefjord1-1
16 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-1
09 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
02 May 2026A Brann1-3

Lillestrom

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
25 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-2
20 May 2026H Kristiansund BK1-2
16 May 2026H Sandefjord3-1
10 May 2026A Rosenborg0-2
03 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF4-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Fredrikstad have scored in all recent matches while conceding at a high rate, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate and an 80% rate of matches over 2.5 goals. Lillestrom's form shows a 40% BTTS rate and 60% over 2.5 goals, reflecting some defensive solidity but also offensive potency. Both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns reinforce the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Fredrikstad wins
3Draws
1Lillestrom wins
31 Jan 2026Lillestrom v Fredrikstad2-2
21 May 2025Lillestrom v Fredrikstad1-1
22 Mar 2025Fredrikstad v Lillestrom1-0
20 Oct 2024Fredrikstad v Lillestrom2-1
20 May 2024Lillestrom v Fredrikstad0-3
27 Jan 2024Lillestrom v Fredrikstad2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The recent seven meetings between Fredrikstad and Lillestrom have averaged 2.57 goals per game, with Fredrikstad winning three times and Lillestrom once. The last encounter ended 1-1, reflecting a competitive balance. This head-to-head history supports the expectation of goals from both teams, reinforcing the BTTS market rationale.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Fredrikstad11
Played
Lillestrom11
Fredrikstad1.4
Avg goals for
Lillestrom1.5
Fredrikstad1.8
Avg goals against
Lillestrom1
Fredrikstad0
Clean sheets
Lillestrom4
Best odds for this sectionFredrikstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +4.5 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Fredrikstad's season stats reveal a high goals conceded average (1.6 per game) and a perfect BTTS record in recent matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Lillestrom's 31 goals scored in 17 matches and superior passing accuracy demonstrate their offensive efficiency. These season-long trends support the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Lillestrom19116146
10Fredrikstad1411425-5
Fredrikstad sit 10th with 14 points, showing resilience at home but defensive frailty, while Lillestrom are 4th with 19 points, reflecting stronger overall performance but recent inconsistency. The standings highlight a competitive gap but also underline Fredrikstad's home strength and Lillestrom's need to assert their higher league position, suggesting an open contest with goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
60%Lillestrom Over 2.5
2.57H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.57, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Fredrikstad's six consecutive BTTS matches and Lillestrom's attacking volume suggest a match tempo conducive to goals. These trends point to a fixture where offensive transitions and defensive lapses could combine to produce multiple scoring opportunities.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Fredrikstad v Lillestrom prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Aalesund v MoldeEliteserien · Sat 11 Jul 15:00Tromso v ValerengaEliteserien · Sat 11 Jul 17:00

Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Fredrikstad v Lillestromcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre