Fredrikstad

Lillestrom

Eliteserien | Sat 11 Jul, 13:00

Fredrikstad v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026, 13:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad face Lillestrom in Eliteserien on Sat 11 Jul, 13:00. Fredrikstad FK host Lillestrøm SK at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion on 11 July 2026 in an Eliteserien clash shaped by form swings, defensive questions and attacking intent.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

At 6/10, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
🎯 Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale
Fredrikstad show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Fredrikstad average 1.4 goals scored and Lillestrom average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Fredrikstad show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 63% implied

Positive

Fredrikstad show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a.Visible data support

Positive

Fredrikstad average 1.4 goals scored and Lillestrom average 1.Visible data support

Positive

🎯 Both Teams to Score (Yes) RationaleArticle support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale Fredrikstad show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Lillestrom show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That five-point gap matters, but it does not tell the full story.

Main risk

That five-point gap matters, but it does not tell the full story.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale

Fredrikstad show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Fredrikstad average 1.4 goals scored and Lillestrom average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fredrikstad1.4

Avg goals scored

Lillestrom1.6

Fredrikstad1.6

Avg goals conceded

Lillestrom1.4

Fredrikstad100%

BTTS rate

Lillestrom40%

Fredrikstad80%

Over 2.5 goals

Lillestrom60%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts

1.62

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%

1.22

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%

1.75

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Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.75

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.05

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

2.2

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Useful next reads

full betting preview for Fredrikstad v Lillestrom corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts

1.62

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Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%

Check odds @ 3

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Fredrikstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fredrikstad3.4

Avg corners for

Lillestrom6

Fredrikstad9

Avg total corners

Lillestrom8.8

Fredrikstad2.4

Avg yellow cards

Lillestrom1.6

Fredrikstad11.4

Avg shots

Lillestrom13.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

1.9

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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%

1.67

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fredrikstad

WDWLL

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 2D 4L

29 May 2026H Start2-1

25 May 2026A Sandefjord1-1

16 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-1

09 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2

02 May 2026A Brann1-3

Lillestrom

LLWLW

Last 52W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 1D 4L

25 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-2

20 May 2026H Kristiansund BK1-2

16 May 2026H Sandefjord3-1

10 May 2026A Rosenborg0-2

03 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF4-0

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.5 pts

1.57

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Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%

Check odds @ 3

Fredrikstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%

1.98

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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 69%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Fredrikstad wins

3Draws

1Lillestrom wins

31 Jan 2026Lillestrom v Fredrikstad2-2

21 May 2025Lillestrom v Fredrikstad1-1

22 Mar 2025Fredrikstad v Lillestrom1-0

20 Oct 2024Fredrikstad v Lillestrom2-1

20 May 2024Lillestrom v Fredrikstad0-3

27 Jan 2024Lillestrom v Fredrikstad2-1

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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Fredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%

Check odds @ 3

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Fredrikstad16

Played

Lillestrom16

Fredrikstad1.1

Avg goals for

Lillestrom1.4

Fredrikstad1.7

Avg goals against

Lillestrom1.3

Fredrikstad2

Clean sheets

Lillestrom5

Best odds for this sectionFredrikstad to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.4 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Fredrikstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Season data supports Fredrikstad to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4	Lillestrom	25	16	8	1	7	2
11	Fredrikstad	20	16	6	2	8	-10

Fredrikstad sit in position 11, while Lillestrom sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Fredrikstad Over 2.5

60%Lillestrom Over 2.5

2.57H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fredrikstad sit at 80% and Lillestrom sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.57 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Fredrikstad v Lillestrom Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Fredrikstad

Lillestrom

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Football Stats Hub

Fredrikstad v Lillestrom Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Fredrikstad

Lillestrom

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