Football Stats Hub

Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad
v
Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Sun 16 Aug, 18:15

Fredrikstad v Kristiansund BK Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK meet in an Eliteserien clash where both sides have shown contrasting attacking outputs but similar defensive vulnerabilities. Fredrikstad ranks 11th with 20 points, while Kristiansund BK sits lower at 14th with 15 points, reflecting a battle for stability. Both teams have struggled to score consistently, but their matches often feature sustained pressure and territorial battles, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter. Kristiansund BK's slightly higher attacking threat and Fredrikstad's resilience suggest a game with frequent wide plays and set-piece opportunities, increasing corner potential.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Fredrikstad averages 4.2 corners per game, Kristiansund BK 3.6, combining for 7.8 corners on average.
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with positive value at 1.73 .
  • Recent matches show both teams engaging in wide attacks and defensive clearances leading to corners.
  • Player data indicates active attackers and midfielders who generate shots and fouls near the box, fueling corner chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, supported by both teams' average corner counts and aggressive wide play styles. Fredrikstad's 4.2 and Kristiansund BK's 3.6 corners per game combine to nearly 8 corners on average, with match tempo and defensive pressure likely to push this higher. Player-level data shows attackers like Promise Meliga generating numerous shots and fouls, increasing set-piece frequency. The level at 81% reflects consistent corner trends and tactical patterns favoring flank play and defensive clearances. No price warnings apply, making this a solid value bet.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Combined Average Corners7.8 per game
Positive
Player ActivityHigh shots and fouls near box
Positive
Confidence Level81%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a corner-heavy match as Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK engage in wide attacking plays and defensive clearances. Both teams' average corner counts and active attacking roles suggest frequent set-piece situations. This bet leverages tactical tendencies and statistical corner volume rather than goal scoring, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“This fixture's tactical setup and player activity strongly indicate a high corner count, with both teams relying on wing play and defensive clearances that typically generate corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Fredrikstad averages 4.2 corners per game, Kristiansund BK 3.6, combining for 7.8 corners on average.

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with positive value at 1.73 .

Recent matches show both teams engaging in wide attacks and defensive clearances leading to corners.

Player data indicates active attackers and midfielders who generate shots and fouls near the box, fueling corner chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 2.22, indicating moderate scoring but not directly influencing corner counts.
  • However, recent matches show a trend toward open play and set-piece opportunities, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel as a context for attacking tempo that also favors corner accumulation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fredrikstad0.4
Avg goals scored
Kristiansund BK0.8
Fredrikstad1.4
Avg goals conceded
Kristiansund BK1.6
Fredrikstad0%
BTTS rate
Kristiansund BK60%
Fredrikstad20%
Over 2.5 goals
Kristiansund BK80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Both teams have low goal-scoring rates, with Fredrikstad averaging 0.4 and Kristiansund BK 0.8 goals per game, and mixed BTTS rates. This suggests a cautious approach in front of goal but does not diminish the likelihood of set-piece situations. The low scoring does not conflict with the corner market, as defensive pressure and wide play still create corner chances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 74% · edge +1.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Kristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.73 with an implied chance of 57.8%, while the model estimates a 69% probability, indicating clear value. This positive is supported by consistent corner generation from both teams and tactical patterns favoring wide attacks and defensive clearances. The price is stable and reflects a solid opportunity rather than a risky punt.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fredrikstad4.2
Avg corners for
Kristiansund BK3.6
Fredrikstad11.4
Avg total corners
Kristiansund BK11
Fredrikstad1.6
Avg yellow cards
Kristiansund BK2.2
Fredrikstad10
Avg shots
Kristiansund BK11.6
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Fredrikstad averages 4.2 corners and 1.6 yellow cards per game, while Kristiansund BK averages 3.6 corners and 2.2 yellows. Both teams take around 10-12 shots per game with moderate shots on target, indicating active attacking phases and defensive fouling. This combination of pressure, fouls, and wide attacks supports a higher corner count.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fredrikstad

WWLLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
08 Aug 2026A Start1-0
01 Aug 2026H Sandefjord1-0
27 Jul 2026A Rosenborg0-4
17 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-1
11 Jul 2026H Lillestrom0-2

Kristiansund BK

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
09 Aug 2026H Molde2-1
02 Aug 2026A KFUM Oslo1-2
25 Jul 2026H Start1-2
18 Jul 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
12 Jul 2026A Rosenborg0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Kristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Recent form shows Fredrikstad earning 6 points with a low scoring rate but maintaining steady corner counts, while Kristiansund BK has 4 points and a higher over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting more open play. Both teams' matches have featured multiple corners, consistent with the model's in Over 9.5 Corners for this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Fredrikstad wins
2Draws
3Kristiansund BK wins
19 Apr 2026Kristiansund BK v Fredrikstad2-0
02 Nov 2025Fredrikstad v Kristiansund BK3-1
11 May 2025Kristiansund BK v Fredrikstad0-1
03 Nov 2024Fredrikstad v Kristiansund BK1-1
08 Jul 2024Kristiansund BK v Fredrikstad3-1
20 Aug 2023Fredrikstad v Kristiansund BK4-1
Best odds for this sectionKristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 26% · edge +9 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The nine previous meetings between Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK average 2.22 goals per game, suggesting moderately open contests. While this does not directly confirm corner volume, the competitive nature and tactical balance in these fixtures imply sustained attacking phases and defensive clearances that typically produce corners, providing relevant background support for the corner market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Fredrikstad17
Played
Kristiansund BK17
Fredrikstad1.1
Avg goals for
Kristiansund BK0.9
Fredrikstad1.6
Avg goals against
Kristiansund BK1.6
Fredrikstad3
Clean sheets
Kristiansund BK2
Best odds for this sectionKristiansund BK to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 26% · edge +9 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long data reveals Fredrikstad averages 4.2 corners per game and Kristiansund BK 3.6, combining for nearly 8 corners per match. Defensive vulnerabilities and tactical setups favor wing play and set-piece creation, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Fredrikstad2317728-9
14Kristiansund BK15174310-12
Fredrikstad sits 11th and Kristiansund BK 14th in the Eliteserien, both fighting to improve their standings. This competitive pressure encourages active wing play and defensive urgency, often leading to more corners as teams push for advantage in tight matches.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
80%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
2.22H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 2.22, indicating moderate scoring but not directly influencing corner counts. However, recent matches show a trend toward open play and set-piece opportunities, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel as a context for attacking tempo that also favors corner accumulation.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Brann v Ham-KamEliteserien · Sun 16 Aug 16:00Molde v TromsoEliteserien · Sun 16 Aug 16:00Sarpsborg 08 FF v SandefjordEliteserien · Sun 16 Aug 16:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre