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Brann crestBrann
v
Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam

Eliteserien | Sun 16 Aug, 16:00

Brann v Ham-Kam Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brann hosts Ham-Kam in an Eliteserien clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Brann has been prolific recently, scoring in every match and maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, while Ham-Kam has contributed to high-scoring games in 60% of their outings. Both sides sit mid-table with identical points, adding competitive edge to this fixture. The match promises open play and goalmouth action, with Brann's offensive trio and Ham-Kam's counter-attacking threats shaping the tactical battle.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Brann has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
  • Ham-Kam's games feature over 2.5 goals 60% of the time.
  • Average goals in their last seven meetings is 3, indicating open games.
  • Brann averages 12 shots and 4.2 shots on target per game, showing attacking volume.
  • Ham-Kam concedes 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailty.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 57.8% chance, reflecting the attacking profiles and recent high-scoring trends of both teams. Brann's perfect record for over 2.5 goals and high shot volume, combined with Ham-Kam's defensive concessions and moderate scoring, create conditions for multiple goals. The seven-match head-to-head average of 3 goals supports an open game scenario. No data limitations affect , and the current offer positive value with a 10.2% edge, making this a strong selection for goal-hungry football.

Brann Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Ham-Kam Defensive Record1.8 goals conceded per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals per match (7 games)
Positive
Shot VolumeBrann 12 shots per game
Positive
Value Edge10.2% positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open, attacking contest with Brann pushing forward aggressively and Ham-Kam seeking to exploit transitions. Brann's consistent goal-scoring and high shot volume combined with Ham-Kam's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match ripe for multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice based on tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Brann's offensive trio, supported by high shot and key pass metrics, combined with Ham-Kam's defensive lapses, sets the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The data clearly points to an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Brann has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Ham-Kam's games feature over 2.5 goals 60% of the time.

Average goals in their last seven meetings is 3, indicating open games.

Brann averages 12 shots and 4.2 shots on target per game, showing attacking volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last seven meetings, the average goals scored is 3 per match, indicating a history of open games.
  • This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, which naturally extends to Over 3.5 Goals given current attacking and defensive profiles.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brann2
Avg goals scored
Ham-Kam1
Brann1.8
Avg goals conceded
Ham-Kam1.8
Brann100%
BTTS rate
Ham-Kam40%
Brann100%
Over 2.5 goals
Ham-Kam60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.2 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Recent form shows Brann's matches always exceed 2.5 goals and feature both teams scoring, while Ham-Kam's games reach this threshold 60% of the time. The head-to-head average of 3 goals per match further confirms a pattern of open, attacking games with goals at both ends, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals angle.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance versus the model's 57.8% probability. This positive of over 10% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making this a favorable bet with strong statistical backing.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Brann6.2
Avg corners for
Ham-Kam3.2
Brann12.6
Avg total corners
Ham-Kam8.4
Brann1.6
Avg yellow cards
Ham-Kam1.4
Brann12
Avg shots
Ham-Kam9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Brann averages 6.2 corners and 12 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Ham-Kam's lower corner count and similar fouling rate suggest they may concede set-piece opportunities, increasing scoring chances. Both teams maintain moderate card averages, implying a competitive but not overly physical match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brann

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 4L
02 Aug 2026H Rosenborg3-2
26 Jul 2026H Valerenga2-3
18 Jul 2026A Molde2-1
12 Jul 2026H Start2-1
29 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2

Ham-Kam

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
09 Aug 2026H Aalesund1-1
31 Jul 2026A Valerenga3-0
26 Jul 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF0-1
22 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-3
18 Jul 2026H Tromso1-4
Best odds for this sectionBrann to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 63% · edge +9.1 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Brann's recent matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, scoring 2 goals per game while conceding 1.8, highlighting an open style. Ham-Kam's form includes fewer goals scored but a similar defensive concession rate, indicating matches with multiple goals. This recent output aligns well with the Over 3.5 Goals prediction for this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Brann wins
1Draws
0Ham-Kam wins
06 Apr 2026Ham-Kam v Brann1-5
30 Nov 2025Brann v Ham-Kam3-1
05 Jul 2025Ham-Kam v Brann1-1
01 Jun 2024Ham-Kam v Brann1-2
17 Apr 2024Brann v Ham-Kam1-0
06 Aug 2023Ham-Kam v Brann0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The seven head-to-head matches between Brann and Ham-Kam have averaged 3 goals per game, reflecting a pattern of open contests with multiple scoring opportunities. This historical data supports the expectation of a high-scoring match, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Brann17
Played
Ham-Kam17
Brann2.1
Avg goals for
Ham-Kam1.4
Brann1.6
Avg goals against
Ham-Kam1.8
Brann2
Clean sheets
Ham-Kam4
Best odds for this sectionBrann to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 63% · edge +9.1 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season-long data shows Brann with a strong attacking output averaging 2 goals per game and conceding nearly 2, creating high-scoring encounters. Ham-Kam's defensive record mirrors this, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while their attack is less prolific but still capable. These season stats underline the likelihood of a goal-heavy match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Brann25178189
10Ham-Kam2217647-6
Both teams sit mid-table with 22 points, reflecting competitive balance but no pressing relegation or promotion pressure. This positioning suggests both sides can focus on attacking play without excessive defensive caution, supporting an open game with multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Brann Over 2.5
60%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last seven meetings, the average goals scored is 3 per match, indicating a history of open games. This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, which naturally extends to Over 3.5 Goals given current attacking and defensive profiles.

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