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England crestEngland

World Cup | Sat 18 Jul, 22:00

France v England Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This World Cup bronze medal match between France and England promises a tactical and emotional battle shaped by defensive vulnerabilities and attacking prowess. France, with a strong scoring run but defensive absences, face an England side also missing key defenders yet boasting consistent goal-scoring form. Both teams have shown offensive quality but fragile defenses, setting the stage for an open contest where both sides are likely to find the net. The match carries high stakes for pride and momentum, with tactical discipline and emotional control expected to influence the rhythm and outcome.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams to Score

  • France and England both have key defensive absences increasing goal likelihood at both ends
  • France have scored in seven consecutive World Cup matches, showing strong attacking continuity
  • England have scored in 16 consecutive league matches but conceded multiple goals recently
  • Both teams’ defensive fragility and attacking talent support a Both Teams to Score outcome

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 66.7% chance, above the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating positive value. France’s consistent scoring streak combined with England’s high scoring but leaky defense creates a strong football read for goals at both ends. The attacking talents of Mbappé and Kane, plus defensive absences, increase scoring opportunities. No data limitations affect , and the price reflects a fair value opportunity with a solid level of 74%.

France scoring consistency7 consecutive World Cup matches with goals
Strong positive
England scoring streak16 consecutive league matches with goals
Strong positive
Defensive vulnerabilitiesBoth teams have conceded multiple goals recently
Positive
Price vs model chanceModel chance 66.7% vs implied 59.9%
Positive
Main risk

A cautious defensive approach by either team due to match pressure could reduce scoring chances and delay goals, impacting the Both Teams to Score outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture’s blend of attacking firepower and defensive instability practically demands goals at both ends. The tactical battle will hinge on which side can balance aggression with resilience, but the scoring potential is undeniable.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

France and England both have key defensive absences increasing goal likelihood at both ends

France have scored in seven consecutive World Cup matches, showing strong attacking continuity

England have scored in 16 consecutive league matches but conceded multiple goals recently

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.33, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This aligns with recent form and scoring patterns, suggesting a tempo that favors multiple goals.
  • The trend supports an Over 2.5 goals environment, consistent with the Both Teams to Score selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

France2
Avg goals scored
England2
France0.6
Avg goals conceded
England1.2
France20%
BTTS rate
England80%
France40%
Over 2.5 goals
England80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 69% · edge -2.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both France and England have demonstrated strong scoring continuity, with France scoring in seven straight World Cup matches and England in sixteen consecutive league games. Defensive weaknesses on both sides have led to multiple goals conceded recently, increasing the plausibility of both teams scoring. The attacking talents and tactical openness forecast a match where goals from both teams are highly probable.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 69% · edge -2.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
England to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.67 with an implied chance of 59.9%, while the model estimates a 66.7% probability, indicating a positive . This suggests the market slightly underestimates the likelihood of both teams scoring, supported by recent scoring and defensive trends. The price is attractive without warning flags, making it a sensible selection based on current and football context.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

France7.25
Avg corners for
England4.25
France10.25
Avg total corners
England9
France1.5
Avg yellow cards
England0.75
France16.25
Avg shots
England13
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 60% · edge +5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
France averages 7.6 corners per match compared to England’s 3.8, reflecting France’s slightly greater territorial pressure and attacking delivery. Both teams maintain moderate yellow card averages (France 1.2, England 1.4), indicating a balanced fouling profile. Shot data shows France with higher average shots (18) and shots on target (7.4) than England (11.6 shots, 5.6 on target), supporting France’s offensive threat and England’s capacity to create chances despite defensive issues.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

France

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 1L
14 Jul 2026H Spain0-2
09 Jul 2026H Morocco2-0
04 Jul 2026A Paraguay1-0
30 Jun 2026H Sweden3-0
26 Jun 2026A Norway4-1

England

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
15 Jul 2026H Argentina1-2
11 Jul 2026A Norway2-1
06 Jul 2026A Mexico3-2
01 Jul 2026H Congo DR2-1
27 Jun 2026A Panama2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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England to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
France to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Recent form data shows both teams scoring an average of 2 goals per match, with France conceding fewer goals (0.6) than England (1.2). England’s higher BTTS rate (80%) compared to France (20%) reflects their more open games and defensive fragility. Both teams have shown offensive consistency but also vulnerabilities at the back, reinforcing the likelihood of a match where both sides score.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2France wins
1Draws
0England wins
10 Dec 2022England v France1-2
13 Jun 2017France v England3-2
11 Jun 2012France v England1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 69% · edge -2.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
England to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
France to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The recent head-to-head sample of three matches shows an average of 3.33 goals per game, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides. England have been unbeaten in their last eight World Cup meetings with France, but France’s recent scoring runs and home advantage add complexity. The historical data moderately supports an open game with goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

France7
Played
England7
France2.3
Avg goals for
England2
France0.6
Avg goals against
England1.1
France4
Clean sheets
England2
Best odds for this sectionEngland to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 26% · edge +12.4 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
France to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long statistics reveal France’s balanced attack and defense, with a moderate over 2.5 goals rate of 40% and a lower BTTS rate of 20%. England’s season is marked by a higher over 2.5 goals rate (80%) and BTTS rate (80%), indicating more open matches with goals at both ends. These profiles align with the expectation of an open, goal-involved game in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1France933008
1England732104
Both teams sit at the top of their league standings, with France and England ranked first, holding 9 and 7 points respectively. While the standings reflect strong overall performance, the match stakes and defensive issues suggest the contest will be more about tactical resilience and scoring opportunities than table pressure alone.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%France Over 2.5
80%England Over 2.5
3.33H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.33, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters. This aligns with recent form and scoring patterns, suggesting a tempo that favors multiple goals. The trend supports an Over 2.5 goals environment, consistent with the Both Teams to Score selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

France v England prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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