France

England

World Cup | Sat 18 Jul, 22:00

France v England Stats

Data last updated: Sun 09 Aug 2026, 06:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

France face England in World Cup on Sat 18 Jul, 22:00. Recent scoring records for France and England show which side carries the more dependable attacking rhythm into this fixture. Both sides enter this match after semi-final defeats that exposed defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

At 8/15, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
The attacking talent on both teams and Miami’s taxing conditions further support the likelihood of both teams scoring.
France show a 20% BTTS rate and England show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
France average 2 goals scored and England average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. France show a 20% BTTS rate and England show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The attacking talent on both teams and Miami’s taxing conditions further support the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 65% implied

Neutral

France show a 20% BTTS rate and England show a.Visible data support

Positive

France average 2 goals scored and England average 2, so.Visible data support

Positive

The attacking talent on both teams and Miami’s taxing.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the attacking talent on both teams and Miami’s taxing conditions further support the likelihood of both teams scoring. France show a that shared-scoring rate rate and England show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. England’s pain was different but just as sharp: Anthony Gordon gave them the lead against Argentina before Thomas Tuchel’s increasingly defensive approach invited pressure and ended in a 2-1 loss.

Main risk

England’s pain was different but just as sharp: Anthony Gordon gave them the lead against Argentina before Thomas Tuchel’s increasingly defensive approach invited pressure and ended in a 2-1 loss.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

The attacking talent on both teams and Miami’s taxing conditions further support the likelihood of both teams scoring.

France show a 20% BTTS rate and England show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

France average 2 goals scored and England average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

France2

Avg goals scored

England2

France0.6

Avg goals conceded

England1.2

France20%

BTTS rate

England80%

France40%

Over 2.5 goals

England80%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 69% · edge -2.7 pts

1.44

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%

1.14

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.44

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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 20% for France and 80% for England, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 69% · edge -2.7 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%

1.67

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England to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 4

England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

France7.6

Avg corners for

England3.8

France10.2

Avg total corners

England10

France1.2

Avg yellow cards

England1.4

France18

Avg shots

England11.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.5 pts

1.67

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

France

LWWWW

Last 54W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 0D 1L

14 Jul 2026H Spain0-2

09 Jul 2026H Morocco2-0

04 Jul 2026A Paraguay1-0

30 Jun 2026H Sweden3-0

26 Jun 2026A Norway4-1

England

LWWWW

Last 54W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 1D 1L

15 Jul 2026H Argentina1-2

11 Jul 2026A Norway2-1

06 Jul 2026A Mexico3-2

01 Jul 2026H Congo DR2-1

27 Jun 2026A Panama2-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.6 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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England to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 4

England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

France to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2France wins

1Draws

0England wins

10 Dec 2022England v France1-2

13 Jun 2017France v England3-2

11 Jun 2012France v England1-1

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 69% · edge -2.7 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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England to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 4

France to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

France8

Played

England8

France2.5

Avg goals for

England2.5

France1.3

Avg goals against

England1.5

France4

Clean sheets

England2

Best odds for this sectionEngland to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 26% · edge +12.4 pts

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

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France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

France to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Season data supports England to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	France	9	3	3	0	0	8
1	England	7	3	2	1	0	4

World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%France Over 2.5

80%England Over 2.5

3.33H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: France sit at 40% and England sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

France v England Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

France

England

Next step

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Football Stats Hub

France v England Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

France

England

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