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Feyenoord crestFeyenoord
v
Charleroi crestCharleroi

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 12:30

Feyenoord v Charleroi Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Feyenoord face Charleroi in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 12:30. Feyenoord come in with 6 recent points and 4.5 goals per match, while Charleroi have 1 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • At 1.85, Over 3.5 Goals implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Feyenoord are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.5 goals per match, with Charleroi at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Feyenoord and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Feyenoord are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.5.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Feyenoord are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.5 goals per match, with Charleroi at 2.

BTTS rates of 50% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Feyenoord4.5
Avg goals scored
Charleroi2
Feyenoord0.5
Avg goals conceded
Charleroi2.5
Feyenoord50%
BTTS rate
Charleroi100%
Feyenoord100%
Over 2.5 goals
Charleroi100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 54% · edge +3.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 3.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Feyenoord and 100% for Charleroi, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 76% · edge +2.2 pts
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Load more odds for this section
Feyenoord to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Charleroi Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Feyenoord Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Charleroi to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Feyenoord

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
11 Jul 2026H Club Brugge KV3-1
04 Jul 2026A Dordrecht6-0

Charleroi

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
11 Jul 2026H Reims2-2
08 Jan 2026A SC Paderborn 072-3
Best odds for this sectionFeyenoord to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Charleroi Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Feyenoord Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Charleroi to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Feyenoord wins
0Draws
0Charleroi wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 76% · edge +2.2 pts
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Load more odds for this section
Feyenoord to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Charleroi to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Feyenoord3
Played
Charleroi3
Feyenoord4
Avg goals for
Charleroi1.7
Feyenoord0.7
Avg goals against
Charleroi2.7
Feyenoord1
Clean sheets
Charleroi0
Best odds for this sectionFeyenoord to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Charleroi Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Feyenoord Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Charleroi to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season data supports Feyenoord to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Feyenoord Over 2.5
100%Charleroi Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Feyenoord sit at 100% and Charleroi sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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