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Vejle crestVejle
v
HB Koge crestHB Koge

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 12:00

Vejle v HB Koge Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vejle face HB Koge in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 12:00. Vejle come in with 4 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while HB Koge have 8 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

HB Koge to Win

  • At 3.6, HB Koge Win implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • HB Koge have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Vejle.
  • HB Koge have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the HB Koge Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for HB Koge Win sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. HB Koge have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Vejle.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Strong positive
HB Koge have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
HB Koge have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: HB Koge Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers HB Koge have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Vejle. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

HB Koge Win evidence

HB Koge have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Vejle.

HB Koge have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the HB Koge Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

HB Koge Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Vejle1.4
    Avg goals scored
    HB Koge1.4
    Vejle2
    Avg goals conceded
    HB Koge0.8
    Vejle80%
    BTTS rate
    HB Koge20%
    Vejle60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    HB Koge40%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 37% · edge +18.4 pts
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Vejle

    DDDLD
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 6D 2L
    11 Jul 2026H Hillerød1-1
    03 Jul 2026H Randers FC2-2
    27 Jun 2026A Esbjerg3-3
    04 Feb 2026H Aarhus Fremad0-3
    28 Jan 2026A Botev Vratsa1-1

    HB Koge

    WLWDD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 2L
    11 Jul 2026H Roskilde1-0
    03 Jul 2026A Hvidovre0-1
    21 Feb 2026H Ishøj3-0
    14 Feb 2026A Kyzyl-Zhar0-0
    12 Feb 2026A Obolon'-Brovar3-3
    Market aligned with main pickHB Koge to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 28% · edge +36 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    HB Koge Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHB Koge to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 28% · edge +36 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    HB Koge Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    HB Koge to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Vejle wins
    4Draws
    3HB Koge wins
    24 Feb 2023HB Koge v Vejle0-0
    03 Sep 2022Vejle v HB Koge1-2
    30 Jun 2020HB Koge v Vejle2-1
    01 Mar 2020Vejle v HB Koge1-0
    02 Oct 2019HB Koge v Vejle0-0
    02 Apr 2018HB Koge v Vejle1-1
    Market aligned with main pickHB Koge to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 28% · edge +36 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    The head-to-head sample gives context for HB Koge to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Vejle9
    Played
    HB Koge9
    Vejle1.7
    Avg goals for
    HB Koge1.9
    Vejle1.7
    Avg goals against
    HB Koge1.6
    Vejle1
    Clean sheets
    HB Koge3
    Market aligned with main pickHB Koge to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 28% · edge +36 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    HB Koge Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Season data supports HB Koge to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Vejle Over 2.5
    40%HB Koge Over 2.5
    1.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Vejle sit at 60% and HB Koge sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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