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Aalborg crestAalborg
v
Silkeborg crestSilkeborg

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 12:00

Aalborg v Silkeborg Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aalborg face Silkeborg in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 12:00. Aalborg come in with 7 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Silkeborg have 6 points and 3.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • At 2.1, Over 3.5 Goals implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Aalborg and 80% for Silkeborg, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Silkeborg are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4 goals per match, with Aalborg at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Aalborg and 60% for Silkeborg show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Aalborg and 80% for Silkeborg, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Aalborg and 80%.Visible data support
Positive
Silkeborg are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Aalborg and 80% for Silkeborg, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Aalborg and 80% for Silkeborg, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Silkeborg are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4 goals per match, with Aalborg at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 60% for Aalborg and 60% for Silkeborg show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aalborg1.4
Avg goals scored
Silkeborg3.4
Aalborg1.8
Avg goals conceded
Silkeborg1.6
Aalborg60%
BTTS rate
Silkeborg60%
Aalborg80%
Over 2.5 goals
Silkeborg80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +9 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Silkeborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Silkeborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Aalborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Aalborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aalborg

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
08 Jul 2026H Randers FC2-2
03 Jul 2026H Viborg3-1
20 Feb 2026A Sandefjord0-4
16 Feb 2026H IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-2
11 Feb 2026H Thisted FC1-0

Silkeborg

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
11 Jul 2026H Thisted FC6-0
08 Jul 2026A Aarhus Fremad0-1
04 Jul 2026A FC Midtjylland2-4
27 Jun 2026H FC Fredericia1-2
01 Jun 2026A Silkeborg KFUM8-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.8 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Silkeborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Silkeborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Aalborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Aalborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Aalborg wins
4Draws
4Silkeborg wins
18 May 2025Aalborg v Silkeborg2-3
16 Apr 2025Silkeborg v Aalborg4-0
16 Dec 2024Aalborg v Silkeborg1-2
08 Dec 2024Silkeborg v Aalborg2-2
25 Oct 2024Silkeborg v Aalborg1-1
28 Jul 2024Aalborg v Silkeborg2-1
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +9 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Silkeborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Aalborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Aalborg9
Played
Silkeborg0
Aalborg1.9
Avg goals for
Silkeborg-
Aalborg2
Avg goals against
Silkeborg-
Aalborg1
Clean sheets
Silkeborg-
Best odds for this sectionSilkeborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 58% · edge +4 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Silkeborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Aalborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Aalborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Season data supports Silkeborg Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Aalborg Over 2.5
80%Silkeborg Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aalborg sit at 80% and Silkeborg sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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