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De Graafschap crestDe Graafschap
v
Telstar crestTelstar

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 13:00

De Graafschap v Telstar Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

De Graafschap face Telstar in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 13:00. De Graafschap come in with 3 recent points and 1.67 goals per match, while Telstar have 0 points and 0.5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

De Graafschap to Win

  • At 2.7, De Graafschap Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • De Graafschap have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Telstar.
  • Telstar have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the De Graafschap Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for De Graafschap Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. De Graafschap have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Telstar.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Strong positive
De Graafschap have the stronger recent points return, taking 3.Visible data support
Positive
Telstar have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: De Graafschap Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers De Graafschap have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Telstar. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

De Graafschap Win evidence

De Graafschap have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Telstar.

Telstar have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the De Graafschap Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

De Graafschap Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    De Graafschap1.67
    Avg goals scored
    Telstar0.5
    De Graafschap3.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Telstar1.5
    De Graafschap100%
    BTTS rate
    Telstar50%
    De Graafschap100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Telstar50%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 88% vs implied 85% · edge +3.3 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for De Graafschap and 50% for Telstar, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDe Graafschap to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 37% · edge +18.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    De Graafschap Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    De Graafschap to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    De Graafschap

    LLW
    Last 51W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 2L
    12 Jul 2026H AEK Athens FC1-2
    03 Jul 2026A Heerenveen2-7
    27 Jun 2026A Utrecht2-1

    Telstar

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    11 Jul 2026A Sparta Rotterdam0-1
    04 Jul 2026A Almere City FC1-2
    Market aligned with main pickDe Graafschap to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 37% · edge +18.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 81%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    De Graafschap Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    7De Graafschap wins
    2Draws
    1Telstar wins
    02 May 2025De Graafschap v Telstar2-1
    12 Oct 2024Telstar v De Graafschap2-2
    12 Apr 2024De Graafschap v Telstar5-1
    10 Nov 2023Telstar v De Graafschap1-2
    03 Feb 2023De Graafschap v Telstar0-1
    01 Sep 2022Telstar v De Graafschap0-1
    Market aligned with main pickDe Graafschap to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 37% · edge +18.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    The head-to-head sample gives context for De Graafschap to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    De Graafschap4
    Played
    Telstar3
    De Graafschap2
    Avg goals for
    Telstar2.3
    De Graafschap4
    Avg goals against
    Telstar2
    De Graafschap0
    Clean sheets
    Telstar0
    Market aligned with main pickDe Graafschap to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 37% · edge +18.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    De Graafschap Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports De Graafschap to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%De Graafschap Over 2.5
    50%Telstar Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: De Graafschap sit at 100% and Telstar sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

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    Betting context

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