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Göztepe crestGöztepe
v
Rizespor crestRizespor

Süper Lig | Sun 20 Sep, 18:00

Göztepe v Rizespor Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 18:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rizespor visits Göztepe in a Süper Lig clash where the away side holds a clear form advantage, sitting fifth with nine points compared to Göztepe's 18th place and just two points. Rizespor's disciplined defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, contrasts with Göztepe's leaky backline allowing 2.6 goals per match. While Göztepe tends to engage in higher-scoring games, Rizespor's tactical setup focuses on defensive solidity and efficient counterattacks, making them strong contenders for an away victory in this early-season fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Rizespor to Win

  • Rizespor ranks 5th with 9 points; Göztepe is 18th with 2 points.
  • Rizespor concedes just 0.8 goals per game, Göztepe concedes 2.6.
  • Göztepe's matches have an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate; Rizespor's only 20%.
  • Rizespor averages 16.4 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showing attacking threat.
  • Head-to-head average goals are high at 4.6, indicating open games historically.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Rizespor to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior defensive record and better recent form. Despite Göztepe's higher scoring games, Rizespor's ability to limit goals against and maintain consistent attacking pressure through players like Mihăilă and Diakité underpins this . The at 2.8 offer strong value given the implied chance is only 35.7%, making this a compelling selection based on tactical discipline and statistical trends.

Defensive SolidityRizespor concedes 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Recent FormRizespor has 9 points vs Göztepe's 2
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatRizespor averages 16.4 shots per game
Positive
Price ValueOdds 2.8 imply 35.7% chance vs model 70%
Strong positive
Göztepe's High Concession Rate2.6 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Rizespor's defensive discipline and superior recent form make them the tactical favorite to secure an away win against a struggling Göztepe side. Their ability to limit chances and capitalize on counterattacks provides a solid data-backed foundation for this selection.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Rizespor's structured defense and efficient attack patterns position them well to exploit Göztepe's defensive vulnerabilities, making the away win a logical and statistically supported choice.”

Key Data Signals

Rizespor to Win evidence

Rizespor ranks 5th with 9 points; Göztepe is 18th with 2 points.

Rizespor concedes just 0.8 goals per game, Göztepe concedes 2.6.

Göztepe's matches have an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate; Rizespor's only 20%.

Rizespor averages 16.4 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showing attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Rizespor to Win notes

  • The last ten head-to-head meetings average 4.6 goals per game, indicating historically open and high-scoring encounters.
  • However, current season trends show a divergence with Rizespor favoring lower-scoring, defensively disciplined matches.
  • This suggests the fixture may balance between open play and tactical containment, with goal totals potentially moderated by Rizespor's defensive approach.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Göztepe1.8
Avg goals scored
Rizespor1
Göztepe2.6
Avg goals conceded
Rizespor0.8
Göztepe80%
BTTS rate
Rizespor20%
Göztepe80%
Over 2.5 goals
Rizespor20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Göztepe's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals with an 80% rate and 80% BTTS, reflecting an open style. Conversely, Rizespor's games are more contained, with only 20% Over 2.5 and BTTS rates. This contrast suggests a tactical battle between Göztepe's attacking openness and Rizespor's defensive control, likely resulting in a moderately scored game favoring Rizespor.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRizespor to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Rizespor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The current of 2.8 for a Rizespor win represent strong value compared to the model's 70% win probability. This price sensitivity suggests a market underestimation of Rizespor's defensive strengths and form advantage, highlighting a profitable betting angle with standard stake .
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Göztepe5.4
Avg corners for
Rizespor6.75
Göztepe10.8
Avg total corners
Rizespor11
Göztepe2.4
Avg yellow cards
Rizespor2.25
Göztepe15.6
Avg shots
Rizespor18
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams average similar corner counts around 5.4 per game, indicating balanced territorial exchanges. Rizespor's slightly higher shots on target (5.2) versus Göztepe's 5.0 reflect efficient attacking pressure. Discipline is comparable with yellow cards averaging 2.2 and 2.4 respectively, suggesting a competitive but controlled match environment.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Göztepe

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 3L
12 Sep 2026A Alanyaspor2-2
07 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-4
29 Aug 2026A Galatasaray2-3
23 Aug 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-1
17 Aug 2026A Samsunspor3-3

Rizespor

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Eyüpspor2-0
07 Sep 2026H Alanyaspor0-1
29 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK2-1
22 Aug 2026H Samsunspor0-2
15 Aug 2026A Konyaspor1-0
Market aligned with main pickRizespor to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Rizespor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Rizespor's accumulation of 9 points early in the season contrasts sharply with Göztepe's 2 points, reflecting better momentum and . Rizespor's defensive record of 0.8 goals conceded per game underpins their form, while Göztepe's struggles to prevent goals (2.6 conceded) highlight vulnerabilities that Rizespor can exploit.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Göztepe wins
1Draws
4Rizespor wins
19 Jan 2026Göztepe v Rizespor3-1
10 Aug 2025Rizespor v Göztepe0-3
18 May 2025Rizespor v Göztepe6-3
22 Dec 2024Göztepe v Rizespor3-0
16 May 2023Göztepe v Rizespor3-3
16 Dec 2022Rizespor v Göztepe0-2
Market aligned with main pickRizespor to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The ten previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 4.6 goals per game, highlighting a history of open contests. While this suggests potential for goals, the current defensive form of Rizespor may temper scoring opportunities, making historical data a background factor rather than a decisive influence.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Süper Lig

Göztepe6
Played
Rizespor6
Göztepe1.8
Avg goals for
Rizespor1.2
Göztepe2.5
Avg goals against
Rizespor1
Göztepe0
Clean sheets
Rizespor2
Market aligned with main pickRizespor to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Rizespor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Season-long data shows Rizespor's defensive resilience with only 0.8 goals conceded per match, supporting their capacity to control games and limit opposition chances. Their average of 1 goal scored per game, while modest, is supplemented by efficient shot creation from key players. Göztepe's higher goals for (1.8) and against (2.6) indicate a more open but fragile defensive setup, reinforcing the away side's advantage.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Rizespor1063121
17Göztepe36033-4
Rizespor's 5th place standing with 9 points reflects a strong start and competitive edge in the Süper Lig, while Göztepe's 18th place with 2 points signals early struggles and pressure to improve. This table context underscores the stakes for Göztepe to avoid further slip-ups against a confident Rizespor.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Göztepe Over 2.5
20%Rizespor Over 2.5
4.6H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head meetings average 4.6 goals per game, indicating historically open and high-scoring encounters. However, current season trends show a divergence with Rizespor favoring lower-scoring, defensively disciplined matches. This suggests the fixture may balance between open play and tactical containment, with goal totals potentially moderated by Rizespor's defensive approach.

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