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Amed crestAmed
v
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

Süper Lig | Sun 20 Sep, 18:00

Amed v Beşiktaş Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Süper Lig clash features Amed hosting Beşiktaş, two sides near the top of the table with 10 and 12 points respectively. Both teams have shown attacking intent early in the season, averaging 2.4 goals scored per game. Amed's home form and Beşiktaş's consistent offensive output set the stage for an open encounter with potential for multiple goals. Tactical setups suggest both sides will seek to press and exploit defensive gaps, making goal-scoring opportunities likely in this competitive fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Amed averages 2.4 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per game, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate.
  • Beşiktaş also scores 2.4 goals per game, conceding only 0.8, with a 60% Over 2.5 rate.
  • Both teams have strong shot volumes: Amed 15.6 shots/game, Beşiktaş 17.2, indicating offensive pressure.
  • No previous head-to-head data, but current form and attacking stats support a high-scoring match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Amed's 80% Over 2.5 rate and Beşiktaş's 60% rate underline a trend toward matches with multiple goals. High shot volumes and solid goal averages from both sides suggest an open game with chances at both ends. The price offers positive value with an 8.3% edge, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice based on current season data and attacking profiles.

Amed Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Beşiktaş Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Average Goals Scored per Game2.4 each
Strong positive
Shot Volume15.6 (Amed), 17.2 (Beşiktaş)
Positive
Model Confidence70%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with both sides pushing forward given their strong attacking form. The high average goals per game and aggressive shot profiles suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick. Tactical openness and recent scoring trends support a match where multiple goals are likely, making this bet a solid choice for goal-oriented punters.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Both Amed and Beşiktaş have demonstrated attacking prowess and willingness to engage offensively, which should translate into a match with several goal-scoring opportunities. This fixture's statistical profile strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Amed averages 2.4 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per game, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate.

Beşiktaş also scores 2.4 goals per game, conceding only 0.8, with a 60% Over 2.5 rate.

Both teams have strong shot volumes: Amed 15.6 shots/game, Beşiktaş 17.2, indicating offensive pressure.

No previous head-to-head data, but current form and attacking stats support a high-scoring match.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the current season sample, Amed's matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals 80% of the time, while Beşiktaş's matches have done so 60%.
  • This recent trend indicates a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, with both teams engaging in open play and creating chances consistently.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Amed5
Avg corners for
Beşiktaş8
Amed8.4
Avg total corners
Beşiktaş11.6
Amed2.2
Avg yellow cards
Beşiktaş2
Amed15.6
Avg shots
Beşiktaş17.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 58% · edge +6.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Beşiktaş averages 8 corners per game compared to Amed's 5, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Both teams maintain high shot counts, with Beşiktaş averaging 17.2 shots and Amed 15.6, indicating frequent offensive incursions. Discipline is balanced with around two yellow cards per team, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Amed2.4
Avg goals scored
Beşiktaş2.4
Amed1
Avg goals conceded
Beşiktaş0.8
Amed40%
BTTS rate
Beşiktaş40%
Amed80%
Over 2.5 goals
Beşiktaş60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams average 2.4 goals scored per game, with Amed conceding 1.0 and Beşiktaş 0.8. Despite a moderate BTTS rate of 40% for each, the high goal averages and shot volumes point to a game where goals from either side are plausible, supporting an Over 2.5 scenario.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Amed Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.62 with a of 70%, indicating positive value. The 8.3% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Amed

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
13 Sep 2026H Başakşehir5-0
06 Sep 2026A Kasımpaşa2-2
31 Aug 2026H Trabzonspor2-1
24 Aug 2026A Kocaelispor0-2
16 Aug 2026H Erzurumspor FK3-0

Beşiktaş

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 1L
11 Sep 2026H Erzurumspor FK3-0
05 Sep 2026A Fenerbahçe2-1
31 Aug 2026H Çorum FK6-2
23 Aug 2026A Alanyaspor0-1
16 Aug 2026H Eyüpspor1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +10.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Amed Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Recent form shows Amed with 10 points and Beşiktaş with 12, both maintaining strong attacking outputs. Amed's 80% Over 2.5 rate this season contrasts with Beşiktaş's 60%, suggesting Amed's matches more frequently exceed two goals. This form data aligns with expectations for a high-scoring fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Amed wins
0Draws
0Beşiktaş wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
No previous head-to-head data exists for these teams, so historical matchups provide no direct insight. The focus should remain on current season form and attacking statistics to gauge goal potential in this fixture.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Amed5
Played
Beşiktaş5
Amed2.4
Avg goals for
Beşiktaş2.4
Amed1
Avg goals against
Beşiktaş0.8
Amed2
Clean sheets
Beşiktaş2
Best odds for this sectionAmed Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 39% · edge +6.5 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Season-long statistics reveal both teams average 2.4 goals scored per game, with Amed conceding slightly more than Beşiktaş. The high Over 2.5 rate for Amed (80%) and a solid rate for Beşiktaş (60%) reflect offensive-minded approaches and some defensive openness, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals pick.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Beşiktaş1254018
6Amed1053117
Amed sits 3rd and Beşiktaş 2nd in the Süper Lig, both with strong point totals early in the season. While table position alone is not decisive, their proximity and offensive form suggest a competitive match where both sides seek to assert control through attack, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Amed Over 2.5
60%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the current season sample, Amed's matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals 80% of the time, while Beşiktaş's matches have done so 60%. This recent trend indicates a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, with both teams engaging in open play and creating chances consistently.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.