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FC Portov
AlvercaPrimeira Liga | Sat 02 May, 20:30
FC Porto v Alverca Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 4, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 25% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +51-point value edge.
- FC Porto have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Alverca have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 80%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: FC Porto have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Alverca have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 25% · edge +51 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
80%FC Porto Over 2.5
80%Alverca Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
FC Porto
WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 108W 2D 0L
26 Apr 2026A Estrela2-1
19 Apr 2026H Tondela2-0
12 Apr 2026A Estoril3-1
04 Apr 2026H Famalicao2-2
22 Mar 2026A SC Braga2-1
Alverca
WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 5D 2L
24 Apr 2026H Arouca2-1
18 Apr 2026A Nacional0-1
12 Apr 2026H Casa Pia3-1
04 Apr 2026A Rio Ave2-1
22 Mar 2026H Sporting CP1-4
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Bet HERE @ 7Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
FC Porto2.2
Avg goals scoredAlverca1.6
FC Porto1
Avg goals concededAlverca1.6
FC Porto80%
BTTS rateAlverca80%
FC Porto80%
Over 2.5 goalsAlverca80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 25% · edge +51 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1FC Porto wins
0Draws
0Alverca wins
22 Dec 2025Alverca v FC Porto0-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 25% · edge +51 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
FC Porto6.2
Avg corners forAlverca6
FC Porto8.2
Avg total cornersAlverca11.4
FC Porto3.6
Avg yellow cardsAlverca0.6
FC Porto14.6
Avg shotsAlverca10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.7 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
SamuFC Porto · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.74
SOT /902.04
Diogo MartinsAlverca · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
WilliamFC Porto · Attacker
Goal threat81/100
Shots /902.41
SOT /901.38
Tiago Rafael Fernandes LeiiteAlverca · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /905.41
SOT /902.71
G. CabezasAlverca · Midfielder
Goal threat8/100
Shots /901.7
SOT /900
D. GuiAlverca · Midfielder
Goal threat30/100
Shots /901.72
SOT /900.52
Season team stats
Primeira Liga
FC Porto32
PlayedAlverca32
FC Porto2
Avg goals forAlverca1.1
FC Porto0.5
Avg goals againstAlverca1.6
FC Porto20
Clean sheetsAlverca6
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Bet HERE @ 7Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 85 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Alverca | 38 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -16 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
