Football Stats Hub

Estrela crestEstrela
v
Sporting CP crestSporting CP

Primeira Liga | Sat 08 Aug, 20:30

Estrela v Sporting CP Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 05:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Estrela face Sporting CP in Primeira Liga on Sat 08 Aug, 20:30.

BT4Y best bet

Estrela to Win

  • At 12, Estrela to Win implies roughly 8%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.
  • Estrela sit 1 in the table, while Sporting CP sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 23% for Estrela to Win sits against roughly 8% implied by the current price. Estrela sit 1 in the table, while Sporting CP sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 8% implied
Strong positive
Estrela sit 1 in the table, while Sporting CP sit.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Estrela Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Estrela sit 1 in the table, while Sporting CP sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Estrela to Win evidence

Estrela sit 1 in the table, while Sporting CP sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Estrela to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Estrela wins
    0Draws
    7Sporting CP wins
    11 Apr 2026Estrela v Sporting CP0-1
    30 Nov 2025Sporting CP v Estrela4-0
    29 Mar 2025Estrela v Sporting CP0-3
    01 Nov 2024Sporting CP v Estrela5-1
    29 Mar 2024Estrela v Sporting CP1-2
    05 Nov 2023Sporting CP v Estrela3-2
    Market aligned with main pickEstrela to WinBetUK guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    12
    Check odds @ 12
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Estrela to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Estrela

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Estrela yet.

    Sporting CP

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Sporting CP yet.

    Market aligned with main pickEstrela to WinBetUK guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    12
    Check odds @ 12
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Estrela Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 31%
    6.4
    Check odds @ 6.4
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Estrela-
    Avg goals scored
    Sporting CP-
    Estrela-
    Avg goals conceded
    Sporting CP-
    Estrela-
    BTTS rate
    Sporting CP-
    Estrela-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sporting CP-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 42% · edge +3.9 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickEstrela to WinBetUK guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    12
    Check odds @ 12
    Load more odds for this section
    Estrela Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 31%
    6.4
    Check odds @ 6.4
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Estrela to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Primeira Liga

    Estrela0
    Played
    Sporting CP0
    Estrela0
    Avg goals for
    Sporting CP-
    Estrela0
    Avg goals against
    Sporting CP-
    Estrela0
    Clean sheets
    Sporting CP-
    Market aligned with main pickEstrela to WinBetUK guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    12
    Check odds @ 12
    Load more odds for this section
    Estrela Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 31%
    6.4
    Check odds @ 6.4
    Season data supports Estrela to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Estrela000000
    9Sporting CP000000
    Estrela sit in position 1, while Sporting CP sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Estrela to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Estrela Over 2.5
    -Sporting CP Over 2.5
    3.86H2H avg goals

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    Fixture links

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