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FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland
v
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 18:00

FC Nordsjaelland v FC ST. Gallen Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League clash features FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen, two teams with contrasting offensive and defensive profiles. FC Nordsjaelland has demonstrated a strong defensive record recently but also a capacity to score, while FC ST. Gallen boasts a potent attack with a perfect over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches. The fixture promises an open contest with both sides capable of contributing to a high-scoring game, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter with significant goal potential.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Gallen has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • FC Nordsjaelland concedes very few goals but has a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, showing occasional goal-rich matches.
  • Both teams average over 22 shots per game, reflecting attacking intent and shot volume.
  • Key players like A. Walker (FC Nordsjaelland) contribute significantly to goal threats and shot creation.
  • The model estimates a 57% chance for over 3.5 goals, offering positive value at current around 2.1.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals due to FC ST. Gallen's consistent high-scoring matches and FC Nordsjaelland's ability to generate numerous shots and goals despite a solid defense. Both teams' recent form shows an inclination towards open play and goal opportunities, supported by strong attacking players like A. The current provide a favorable , making this an attractive selection for bettors seeking a high-scoring game.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals RateFC ST. Gallen 100%, FC Nordsjaelland 50%
Strong positive
Shot VolumeFC Nordsjaelland 22 avg, FC ST. Gallen 23.5 avg
Positive
Key Goal Threat PlayersA. Hunziker (2.84 goals/90), M. Walker (2 goals/90)
Strong positive
Model Probability vs Implied Odds57% model chance vs 47.6% implied chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game given FC ST. Gallen's prolific offense and FC Nordsjaelland's willingness to press forward. The high shot volumes and goal threats from key attackers suggest multiple scoring opportunities. This match is well poised for a goal-heavy outcome, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice based on tactical openness and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“Gallen's relentless attacking pressure combined with FC Nordsjaelland's offensive contributions sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The statistical indicators and player roles strongly support a match with multiple goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Gallen has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

FC Nordsjaelland concedes very few goals but has a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, showing occasional goal-rich matches.

Both teams average over 22 shots per game, reflecting attacking intent and shot volume.

Key players like A. Walker (FC Nordsjaelland) contribute significantly to goal threats and shot creation.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last five matches, FC ST.
  • Gallen has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, while FC Nordsjaelland has a 50% rate.
  • The average goals in recent encounters involving these teams indicate a tempo favoring multiple goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive gaps, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring game in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Nordsjaelland3.25
Avg goals scored
FC ST. Gallen4
FC Nordsjaelland0.25
Avg goals conceded
FC ST. Gallen1
FC Nordsjaelland0%
BTTS rate
FC ST. Gallen100%
FC Nordsjaelland50%
Over 2.5 goals
FC ST. Gallen100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +4.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent matches show FC ST. Gallen consistently involved in games exceeding 2.5 goals, while FC Nordsjaelland has a 50% rate, indicating a reasonable frequency of goal-rich encounters. Gallen's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with FC Nordsjaelland's 0%, highlighting a defensive solidity but also the potential for goals from the away side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance. The model's 57% probability indicates positive value, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game given the attacking profiles and recent form of both teams.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Nordsjaelland8.33
Avg corners for
FC ST. Gallen6
FC Nordsjaelland12.67
Avg total corners
FC ST. Gallen9
FC Nordsjaelland0.33
Avg yellow cards
FC ST. Gallen1
FC Nordsjaelland22
Avg shots
FC ST. Gallen21
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams average around 7 corners per match, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles. Shot volumes are high, with FC ST. Gallen averaging 23.5 shots and FC Nordsjaelland 22, supporting an open game with frequent goal attempts. Discipline is moderate, with low yellow card averages, suggesting a focus on attacking play rather than physical disruption.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Nordsjaelland

WWWL
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
13 Aug 2026H Valur Reykjavik5-0
06 Aug 2026A Valur Reykjavik2-0
30 Jul 2026H Gais6-0
23 Jul 2026A Gais0-1

FC ST. Gallen

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
13 Aug 2026H Sheriff Tiraspol5-1
06 Aug 2026A Sheriff Tiraspol3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Gallen's recent form includes a perfect record of over 2.5 goals in all matches, reflecting consistent high-scoring games. FC Nordsjaelland's recent matches show a solid defense but also a 50% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating occasional goal bursts. This combination suggests a match likely to feature several goals, aligning with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FC Nordsjaelland wins
0Draws
0FC ST. Gallen wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
No previous head-to-head matches exist between FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen, so historical data offers no direct guidance. The analysis relies on current form, player profiles, and tactical tendencies to assess goal potential rather than past meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Nordsjaelland4
Played
FC ST. Gallen2
FC Nordsjaelland3.3
Avg goals for
FC ST. Gallen4
FC Nordsjaelland0.3
Avg goals against
FC ST. Gallen1
FC Nordsjaelland3
Clean sheets
FC ST. Gallen0
Best odds for this sectionFC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 36% · edge +5.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season-long data shows FC ST. Gallen averaging 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, highlighting offensive strength and moderate defensive vulnerability. FC Nordsjaelland averages 3.25 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded, indicating a strong defense but capable offense. These statistics support a scenario where multiple goals can be expected, especially given FC ST. Gallen's attacking volume.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
100%FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, FC ST. Gallen has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, while FC Nordsjaelland has a 50% rate. The average goals in recent encounters involving these teams indicate a tempo favoring multiple goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive gaps, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring game in this fixture.

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