Football Stats Hub

England crestEngland
v
Congo DR crestCongo DR

World Cup | Wed 01 Jul, 17:00

England v Congo DR Stats

Data last updated: Tue 30 Jun 2026, 03:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

England face Congo DR in a World Cup Round-of-32 clash in Atlanta, with England entering as group winners unbeaten and Congo DR advancing as the strongest third-placed team. England's approach is built on possession control, high attacking volume, and tactical patience, while Congo DR rely on a compact low block and clinical finishing. England's defensive solidity and territorial control contrast with Congo DR's efficiency on limited chances, setting up a tactical battle where England aims to break down a stubborn defense and Congo DR look to frustrate and counter. The match promises a test of England's patience and discipline against Congo DR's resilience and transition threat.

BT4Y lean · price warning

BTTS No

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 69%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • England kept two clean sheets in three group matches, showing strong defensive organization.
  • Congo DR scored 4 goals from only 7 shots on target, highlighting clinical finishing but low attacking volume.
  • England averaged 58 shots and 20 shots on target in the group stage, indicating sustained pressure.
  • Congo DR operate a low block defensive style, limiting high-quality chances for both sides.
Price warning

BTTS No is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 69% while the model sits nearer 43% (-26.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Congo DR Draw No Bet shows a +26.8 pts edge at 6.6.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The tactical setup and recent form data strongly support a low-scoring match with at least one team failing to score. England's defensive compactness and two clean sheets contrast with Congo DR's low attacking volume and reliance on efficiency rather than chance creation. The model recognizes the football logic behind a BTTS No outcome but flags the current as short compared to the , advising reduced stakes or waiting for price improvement. This is a football-led pick reflecting defensive control and tactical discipline rather than a pure value bet.

Defensive stabilityEngland kept 2 clean sheets in 3 matches
Strong positive
Attacking volume disparityEngland 58 shots vs Congo DR 7 shots on target
Strong positive
Congo DR efficiency4 goals from 7 shots on target
Neutral
Price vs model chanceImplied chance 68% vs model chance 42.8%
Negative
Main risk

The main risk is that Congo DR's clinical finishing could produce a rare goal despite England's defensive control, or an isolated defensive lapse could allow Congo DR to score, affecting the BTTS No outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and defensive control

“England's ability to maintain possession and suppress Congo DR's transition threat underlines the likelihood of a clean sheet, making BTTS No a tactically sound choice despite the short price.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

England kept two clean sheets in three group matches, showing strong defensive organization.

Congo DR scored 4 goals from only 7 shots on target, highlighting clinical finishing but low attacking volume.

England averaged 58 shots and 20 shots on target in the group stage, indicating sustained pressure.

Congo DR operate a low block defensive style, limiting high-quality chances for both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Over the last three group matches, both teams have a 33% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating generally low-scoring games.
  • England's matches featured high shot volume but controlled finishing, while Congo DR's compact defensive style limits goal opportunities.
  • The trend suggests a tactical, low-tempo match with few goals, aligning with the BTTS No selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

England8
Avg corners for
Congo DR3.33
England10.33
Avg total corners
Congo DR8
England0.67
Avg yellow cards
Congo DR1.67
England19.33
Avg shots
Congo DR11.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 51% · edge +16.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
England averaged 8 corners and 19.33 shots per game, reflecting territorial control and sustained pressure. Congo DR averaged fewer corners (3.33) and shots (11.33), consistent with a defensive low block approach. England's lower yellow card average (0.67) versus Congo DR's (1.67) suggests disciplined defending, supporting a controlled match with limited fouls and set-piece threats.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

World Cup hubEngland v Congo DR predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

England2
Avg goals scored
Congo DR1.33
England0.67
Avg goals conceded
Congo DR1
England33%
BTTS rate
Congo DR67%
England33%
Over 2.5 goals
Congo DR33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 69% · edge -26.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
England's defensive record with two clean sheets contrasts with Congo DR conceding in all group matches. Congo DR's low attacking volume and reliance on a compact low block suggest limited goal-scoring opportunities. England's high xG and shot volume indicate they will dominate possession but may face a stubborn defense, supporting a low-scoring game with at least one team failing to score.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 38% · edge +23 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
6.6
Check odds @ 6.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The BTTS No market is priced short at 1.47 with an implied chance of 68%, while the model estimates a 42.8% chance, indicating a negative . This reflects strong market in England's defensive control but advises caution and reduced stakes due to the price discrepancy. Price drift or late team news improving defensive certainty would enhance value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

England

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
27 Jun 2026A Panama2-0
23 Jun 2026H Ghana0-0
17 Jun 2026H Croatia4-2

Congo DR

WLD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
28 Jun 2026H Uzbekistan3-1
24 Jun 2026A Colombia0-1
17 Jun 2026A Portugal1-1
Best odds for this sectionCongo DR Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +26.8 pts
6.6
Check odds @ 6.6
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
England's recent form shows 7 points with 2 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game, with a 33% BTTS rate indicating frequent clean sheets. Congo DR have 4 points, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1 goal per game, with a 67% BTTS rate reflecting more open matches. The form data supports a cautious approach favoring defensive solidity and a BTTS No outcome in this knockout fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0England wins
0Draws
0Congo DR wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 38% · edge +23 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
There are no previous head-to-head meetings between England and Congo DR, so historical data offers no direct insight. The analysis relies on current tournament form, tactical styles, and player performances to assess likely match dynamics rather than past encounters.
Season team stats

World Cup

England3
Played
Congo DR3
England2
Avg goals for
Congo DR1.3
England0.7
Avg goals against
Congo DR1
England2
Clean sheets
Congo DR0
Best odds for this sectionCongo DR Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +26.8 pts
6.6
Check odds @ 6.6
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
England's season stats reveal a strong attacking output with high shot volume and expected goals, coupled with solid defensive numbers including two clean sheets. Congo DR's stats show lower attacking volume but efficient finishing and a tendency to concede goals, reinforcing the expectation of a match controlled by England's defense and limited scoring from Congo DR.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Congo DR431111
1England732104
1Congo DR431111
England topped Group L with 7 points, demonstrating consistent performance and control, while Congo DR qualified as the strongest third-placed team with 4 points. The standings reflect England's superiority and tactical maturity, suggesting they will manage the match tempo and defensive responsibilities effectively in this knockout stage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%England Over 2.5
33%Congo DR Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last three group matches, both teams have a 33% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating generally low-scoring games. England's matches featured high shot volume but controlled finishing, while Congo DR's compact defensive style limits goal opportunities. The trend suggests a tactical, low-tempo match with few goals, aligning with the BTTS No selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

England v Congo DR prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Ivory Coast v NorwayWorld Cup · Tue 30 Jun 18:00France v SwedenWorld Cup · Tue 30 Jun 22:00Mexico v EcuadorWorld Cup · Wed 01 Jul 02:00Belgium v SenegalWorld Cup · Wed 01 Jul 21:00

Competition and hubs

World Cup hubWorld Cup hubEngland v Congo DR predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre