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Eibar crestEibar
v
Valladolid crestValladolid

Segunda División | Sun 23 Aug, 16:00

Eibar v Valladolid Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eibar and Valladolid meet in a Segunda División clash where both sides are eager to open their accounts after a slow start to the season. Eibar's attacking approach has been aggressive, reflected in their high shot volumes and a 100% rate of matches with both teams scoring last season. Valladolid, despite a more cautious style, have shown vulnerabilities at the back, conceding in recent fixtures. This match promises open play with both teams likely to find the net, given their offensive tendencies and defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Eibar has a 100% BTTS rate last season, indicating consistent goal-scoring and conceding.
  • Valladolid's defense has conceded in recent matches, increasing BTTS likelihood.
  • Eibar averages 16 shots per game with 5 on target, showing offensive pressure.
  • Valladolid's lower shot volume contrasts with defensive frailties, supporting BTTS chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 52.4%, indicating positive value at 1.91 . Eibar's aggressive attack, averaging 16 shots and 5 on target per game, combined with Valladolid's defensive vulnerabilities, supports this view. The high BTTS rate for Eibar and the goal concessions by Valladolid reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. is solid at 66%, making BTTS a compelling selection for this fixture.

Model Chance66.7%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance52.4%
Positive
Eibar BTTS Rate100% last season
Strong positive
Valladolid Defensive RecordConceded multiple goals recently
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, especially Eibar with their high attacking output. Valladolid's defensive struggles make it likely both sides will find the net. This BTTS pick aligns with tactical openness and recent goal data, making it a sensible choice for this match.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Eibar's offensive pressure combined with Valladolid's defensive lapses creates a strong case for both teams scoring. The match dynamics and recent stats point to an open game with goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Eibar has a 100% BTTS rate last season, indicating consistent goal-scoring and conceding.

Valladolid's defense has conceded in recent matches, increasing BTTS likelihood.

Eibar averages 16 shots per game with 5 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Valladolid's lower shot volume contrasts with defensive frailties, supporting BTTS chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.8, with a strong trend towards matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This suggests a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS and over 2.5 goals betting angles for this encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Eibar7
Avg corners for
Valladolid3
Eibar10
Avg total corners
Valladolid6
Eibar0
Avg yellow cards
Valladolid2
Eibar16
Avg shots
Valladolid12
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 55% · edge -1.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Eibar averages 7 corners and 16 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Valladolid's lower averages (3 corners, 12 shots) suggest a more defensive posture but with vulnerabilities. Valladolid's higher yellow card average (2 per game) indicates potential defensive aggression, which can lead to set-piece chances and scoring opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eibar1
Avg goals scored
Valladolid0
Eibar3
Avg goals conceded
Valladolid2
Eibar100%
BTTS rate
Valladolid0%
Eibar100%
Over 2.5 goals
Valladolid0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Eibar's 100% BTTS rate last season and Valladolid's recent goal concessions highlight a strong trend for both teams scoring. The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 2.8, supporting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Valladolid to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Valladolid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Eibar to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Eibar Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.91 with an implied chance of 52.4%, while the model estimates a 66.7% probability, indicating clear value. This positive edge suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, making the BTTS bet attractive at current .
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eibar

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
16 Aug 2026H Tenerife1-3

Valladolid

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
15 Aug 2026A Mallorca0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +7.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Valladolid to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Valladolid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Eibar to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Eibar Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows Eibar scoring 1 goal but conceding 3, while Valladolid has yet to score and conceded 2 goals. Eibar's matches have consistently featured both teams scoring, reinforcing the BTTS trend. Valladolid's defensive frailties and lack of goals scored increase the likelihood of both teams finding the net in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Eibar wins
2Draws
4Valladolid wins
13 Apr 2026Valladolid v Eibar0-0
19 Dec 2025Eibar v Valladolid3-0
24 Mar 2024Valladolid v Eibar3-1
27 Oct 2023Eibar v Valladolid5-1
08 May 2022Eibar v Valladolid0-2
31 Oct 2021Valladolid v Eibar2-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Valladolid to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Eibar to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.8 goals per game, indicating relatively open contests. While the sample size is moderate, it supports the expectation of goals from both teams, though tactical changes and current form remain important factors.
Season team stats

Segunda División

Eibar1
Played
Valladolid1
Eibar1
Avg goals for
Valladolid0
Eibar3
Avg goals against
Valladolid2
Eibar0
Clean sheets
Valladolid0
Best odds for this sectionValladolid to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 28% · edge +10.7 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Load more odds for this section
Valladolid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Eibar to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Eibar Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Eibar's season stats reveal a strong attacking profile with high shot volumes and a perfect BTTS record, indicating offensive potency and defensive openness. Valladolid's stats show fewer shots and a lower BTTS rate, but their defensive concessions support the chance of goals against them, aligning with the BTTS selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
19Eibar01001-2
20Valladolid01001-2
Both teams sit near the bottom of the Segunda División table with zero points, increasing the urgency to attack and secure points. This pressure may lead to open play and defensive risks, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Eibar Over 2.5
0%Valladolid Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.8, with a strong trend towards matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This suggests a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS and over 2.5 goals betting angles for this encounter.

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Fixture links

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