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Egnatia Rrogozhinë crestEgnatia Rrogozhinë
v
Petrocub crestPetrocub

UEFA Champions League | Wed 15 Jul, 20:00

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Petrocub Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 11:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë face Petrocub in UEFA Champions League on Wed 15 Jul, 20:00. Their recent travel form indicates a lack of penetration, which could make unlocking Egnatia difficult. Egnatia are formidable at home, having secured consecutive 2-0 wins recently. In a highly cautious return match, a single moment of transition quality can resolve the tie.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 6/10, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • A 1-1 first-leg draw suggests a highly cagey return match where single-goal margins dominate the tactical setup.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0% for Petrocub, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Petrocub at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 100% for Petrocub show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0% for Petrocub, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A 1-1 first-leg draw suggests a highly cagey return match where single-goal margins dominate the tactical setup.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.Visible data support
Positive
Egnatia Rrogozhinë are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
A 1-1 first-leg draw suggests a highly cagey return.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because both teams have seen under three goals in four of their last six matches, highlighting a low-scoring trend. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Petrocub at 1. Jaime and Yago can offer width, but their starting positions will reveal plenty about Dede’s intentions.

Main risk

Jaime and Yago can offer width, but their starting positions will reveal plenty about Dede’s intentions.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have seen under three goals in four of their last six matches, highlighting a low-scoring trend.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Petrocub at 1.

BTTS rates of 100% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 100% for Petrocub show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1
Avg goals scored
Petrocub1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1
Avg goals conceded
Petrocub1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%
BTTS rate
Petrocub100%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë0%
Over 2.5 goals
Petrocub0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 61% · edge +5.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0% for Petrocub, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Jul 2026A Petrocub1-1

Petrocub

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Jul 2026H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Petrocub Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Petrocub to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Petrocub Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Petrocub to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins
1Draws
0Petrocub wins
08 Jul 2026Petrocub v Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Petrocub to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë4
Played
Petrocub2
Egnatia Rrogozhinë3
Avg goals for
Petrocub1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2
Avg goals against
Petrocub3.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë0
Clean sheets
Petrocub0
Best odds for this sectionPetrocub Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Petrocub to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Season data supports Petrocub Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Egnatia Rrogozhinë Over 2.5
0%Petrocub Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit at 0% and Petrocub sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.