Football Stats Hub

Dundalk crestDundalk
v
Waterford crestWaterford

Premier Division | Fri 26 Jun, 19:45

Dundalk v Waterford Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundalk host Waterford at Oriel Park on Friday evening in a Premier Division clash marked by contrasting fortunes. Dundalk have surged with 13 points from their last five matches, showcasing a potent attack with 12 goals scored, while conceding only four. Waterford, rooted at the bottom of the table, remain without an away league win this season, struggling defensively with 42 goals conceded. Despite Dundalk's control, recent head-to-heads reveal Waterford's ability to breach their defense, including a thrilling 3-3 draw, setting the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter where both sides are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Dundalk to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Dundalk have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals in that span.
  • Waterford remain winless away this season with 8 defeats and 2 draws.
  • Last six meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game, indicating open play.
  • Dundalk concede frequently but maintain strong home form with 6 wins.
  • Waterford’s front duo Lonergan and Amond have scored in recent clashes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates 'Dundalk to Win & Both Teams to Score' highly with a 65% chance, reflecting Dundalk's strong recent form and attacking consistency combined with their defensive vulnerability. Waterford's inability to secure away wins and their history of scoring against Dundalk supports the BTTS leg. The at 2.7 offer a positive of 28%, making this a compelling selection. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is solid for both teams, enhancing in this pick.

Recent FormDundalk earned 13 points in last 5 games, scoring 12 goals
Strong positive
Defensive RecordsDundalk conceded 29 goals this season, Waterford conceded 42
Positive
Head-to-Head GoalsAverage 3.5 goals per game in last 6 meetings
Strong positive
Away FormWaterford winless away with 8 losses
Positive
Price vs Model ChanceOdds imply 37% chance vs model 65% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Dundalk's recent momentum and home control position them well for victory, but Waterford's resilience and scoring threat make a goal for both sides likely. The combination bet captures this dynamic, reflecting Dundalk's attacking edge and the visitors' ability to find the net despite their struggles.

Main risk

The main risk lies in Dundalk's defensive lapses, which could allow Waterford to score but also expose Dundalk to counter-attacks that might affect the match outcome unpredictably.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and BTTS

“Dundalk’s blend of attacking firepower and recent form makes them well placed, yet Waterford’s history of scoring against them ensures this won’t be a straightforward clean sheet. This bet smartly balances those factors for a rewarding risk.”

Key Data Signals

Dundalk to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Dundalk have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals in that span.

Waterford remain winless away this season with 8 defeats and 2 draws.

Last six meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game, indicating open play.

Dundalk concede frequently but maintain strong home form with 6 wins.

What To Watch In The Data

Dundalk to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last ten meetings have averaged 3.2 goals per game, with recent matches featuring high-scoring draws and wins for both sides.
  • This trend suggests a fast-paced game with defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent from both teams, supporting an Over 2.5 goals scenario.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundalk1.4
Avg goals scored
Waterford2
Dundalk0.6
Avg goals conceded
Waterford1.6
Dundalk60%
BTTS rate
Waterford60%
Dundalk40%
Over 2.5 goals
Waterford80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown scoring ability recently, with Dundalk netting 12 goals in their last five matches and Waterford consistently breaching defenses despite poor away form. Their last six meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game, underscoring the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 77% · edge -0.5 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The of 2.7 for Dundalk to Win & Both Teams to Score represent a significant value opportunity, with the model assigning a 65% chance to this outcome. The price reflects the market's recognition of Dundalk's home strength and Waterford's scoring potential, making it an attractive proposition without warning flags.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Dundalk v Waterford predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundalk5.5
Avg corners for
Waterford4
Dundalk10.5
Avg total corners
Waterford7.5
Dundalk2.25
Avg yellow cards
Waterford3.5
Dundalk15.5
Avg shots
Waterford14.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Dundalk average 5.5 corners and 15.5 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure, while Waterford’s 4 corners and 14.25 shots show they can create chances. The higher card count for Waterford (3.5 yellows per game) suggests a physical approach that could disrupt play and increase set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundalk

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
19 Jun 2026A Bohemians2-1
12 Jun 2026A Galway United1-0
29 May 2026H Derry City2-1
22 May 2026A Drogheda United1-1
15 May 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-0

Waterford

LWDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
19 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers0-2
12 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers4-0
29 May 2026A Drogheda United3-3
22 May 2026A Shelbourne1-2
18 May 2026H Drogheda United2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 86% vs implied 89% · edge -3.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Dundalk’s recent run of four wins and a draw, scoring 12 and conceding 4, highlights a team in strong attacking rhythm but with some defensive vulnerability. Waterford’s two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, combined with their winless away streak, suggest they can score but struggle to secure points on the road.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Dundalk wins
3Draws
5Waterford wins
04 May 2026Waterford v Dundalk3-3
13 Mar 2026Dundalk v Waterford5-0
13 Sep 2024Waterford v Dundalk2-1
28 Jun 2024Dundalk v Waterford0-2
10 May 2024Waterford v Dundalk4-1
15 Mar 2024Dundalk v Waterford0-0
Market aligned with main pickDundalk to WinBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 68% · edge +1.1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent head-to-heads show Waterford have won three of the last five meetings, with two draws and one Dundalk win. The high-scoring nature of these games, including a 3-3 draw, indicates Waterford’s ability to challenge Dundalk defensively and contribute goals, adding complexity to the fixture outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Dundalk21
Played
Waterford21
Dundalk1.6
Avg goals for
Waterford1.2
Dundalk1.4
Avg goals against
Waterford2
Dundalk5
Clean sheets
Waterford2
Market aligned with main pickDundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 77% · edge -0.5 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over the season, Dundalk have scored 34 goals but conceded 29, reflecting an attack-oriented style with defensive gaps. Waterford’s 25 goals scored contrast with 42 conceded, indicating defensive frailty that Dundalk can exploit, but also a capacity for Waterford to score despite difficulties.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Dundalk35219845
10Waterford14212811-17
Dundalk sit 4th with 35 points, reflecting their competitive edge and home strength, while Waterford languish at 10th with 14 points, underlining their struggles. This gap creates pressure on Dundalk to assert control and on Waterford to respond, influencing the match’s intensity and openness.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Dundalk Over 2.5
80%Waterford Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The last ten meetings have averaged 3.2 goals per game, with recent matches featuring high-scoring draws and wins for both sides. This trend suggests a fast-paced game with defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent from both teams, supporting an Over 2.5 goals scenario.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Dundalk v Waterford prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Shamrock Rovers v Galway UnitedPremier Division · Fri 26 Jun 19:30Derry City v Drogheda UnitedPremier Division · Fri 26 Jun 19:45Bohemians v St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division · Fri 26 Jun 20:00

Competition and hubs

Dundalk v Waterford predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre