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Vasteras SK FK crestVasteras SK FK
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Sat 19 Sep, 14:00

Vasteras SK FK v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasteras SK FK face Malmo FF in Allsvenskan on Sat 19 Sep, 14:00. Vasteras SK FK come in with 7 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Malmo FF have 10 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 2.2, BTTS No implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Vasteras SK FK show a 40% BTTS rate and Malmo FF show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Vasteras SK FK average 1.4 goals scored and Malmo FF average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for BTTS No sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Vasteras SK FK show a 40% BTTS rate and Malmo FF show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Positive
Vasteras SK FK show a 40% BTTS rate and Malmo.Visible data support
Positive
Vasteras SK FK average 1.4 goals scored and Malmo FF.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Vasteras SK FK show a 40% BTTS rate and Malmo FF show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Vasteras SK FK show a 40% BTTS rate and Malmo FF show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Vasteras SK FK average 1.4 goals scored and Malmo FF average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vasteras SK FK4.2
Avg corners for
Malmo FF4.8
Vasteras SK FK7.8
Avg total corners
Malmo FF10.4
Vasteras SK FK1.8
Avg yellow cards
Malmo FF2.6
Vasteras SK FK11.8
Avg shots
Malmo FF15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 53% · edge +3.6 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vasteras SK FK1.4
Avg goals scored
Malmo FF1.2
Vasteras SK FK1.2
Avg goals conceded
Malmo FF0.8
Vasteras SK FK40%
BTTS rate
Malmo FF20%
Vasteras SK FK60%
Over 2.5 goals
Malmo FF40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionMalmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.3 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Vasteras SK FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Malmo FF Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vasteras SK FK

WLWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
12 Sep 2026A AIK Stockholm4-1
05 Sep 2026H Sirius0-1
29 Aug 2026A BK Hacken3-1
23 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF0-0
14 Aug 2026A IF Elfsborg0-3

Malmo FF

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
13 Sep 2026H Orgryte IS4-1
07 Sep 2026H AIK Stockholm0-0
31 Aug 2026A Sirius1-0
24 Aug 2026H Djurgardens IF0-3
16 Aug 2026A Gais1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 75% · edge +4.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Vasteras SK FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Vasteras SK FK wins
1Draws
2Malmo FF wins
24 May 2026Malmo FF v Vasteras SK FK2-3
02 Mar 2025Malmo FF v Vasteras SK FK3-0
19 Oct 2024Vasteras SK FK v Malmo FF1-1
20 Apr 2024Malmo FF v Vasteras SK FK1-0
21 Feb 2021Malmo FF v Vasteras SK FK1-2
Best odds for this sectionMalmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Vasteras SK FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample gives context for Malmo FF to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Vasteras SK FK21
Played
Malmo FF21
Vasteras SK FK1.5
Avg goals for
Malmo FF1.8
Vasteras SK FK1.7
Avg goals against
Malmo FF1.5
Vasteras SK FK6
Clean sheets
Malmo FF7
Best odds for this sectionMalmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.3 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Vasteras SK FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Season data supports Malmo FF Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Malmo FF332110386
8Vasteras SK FK3221957-3
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Vasteras SK FK Over 2.5
40%Malmo FF Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Vasteras SK FK sit at 60% and Malmo FF sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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