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Derry City crestDerry City
v
Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 07 Aug, 19:45

Derry City v Sligo Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 13:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Derry City face Sligo Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 07 Aug, 19:45. Sligo have conceded an average of 22.7 attempts per game across their last 10 league fixtures. Derry City dominate possession and create numerous chances, averaging 57.4% possession and 12.9 attempts per game.

BT4Y best bet

Derry City to win and Both Teams To Score @ 21/10 Selection: Derry City to Win and Both Teams To Score

  • At 10/1, Derry City to win and Both Teams To Score @ 21/10 Selection: Derry City to Win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
  • Derry's scoring consistency contrasts with Sligo's defensive concessions.
  • Derry City have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sligo Rovers.
  • Derry City sit 7 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 24% for Derry City to win and Both Teams To Score @ 21/10 Selection: Derry City to Win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Derry City have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sligo Rovers. Derry's scoring consistency contrasts with Sligo's defensive concessions.

Model chance vs price24% model chance against roughly 9% implied
Strong positive
Derry City have the stronger recent points return, taking 5.Visible data support
Positive
Derry City sit 7 in the table, while Sligo Rovers.Visible data support
Positive
Derry's scoring consistency contrasts with Sligo's defensive concessions.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Draw is the preferred angle because derry's scoring consistency contrasts with Sligo's defensive concessions. Derry City have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sligo Rovers. Sligo's counter-attacking threat ensures they score, but Derry's attacking firepower should secure multiple goals.

Main risk

Sligo's counter-attacking threat ensures they score, but Derry's attacking firepower should secure multiple goals.

Key Data Signals

Derry City to win and Both Teams To Score @ 21/10 Selection: Derry City to Win and Both Teams To Score evidence

Derry's scoring consistency contrasts with Sligo's defensive concessions.

Derry City have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sligo Rovers.

Derry City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

Derry City sit 7 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Derry City to win and Both Teams To Score @ 21/10 Selection: Derry City to Win and Both Teams To Score notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Derry City5
    Avg corners for
    Sligo Rovers2.2
    Derry City10.25
    Avg total corners
    Sligo Rovers10.4
    Derry City2.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Sligo Rovers1.8
    Derry City13
    Avg shots
    Sligo Rovers8.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 65% · edge -1.5 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for Derry City v Sligo Roverscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Derry City1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Sligo Rovers1.6
    Derry City1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Sligo Rovers2
    Derry City80%
    BTTS rate
    Sligo Rovers100%
    Derry City40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sligo Rovers80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDerry City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 82% · edge -20.6 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Derry City Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Derry City

    DLWDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 5D 3L
    02 Aug 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-1
    03 Jul 2026H Waterford2-4
    26 Jun 2026H Drogheda United2-0
    22 Jun 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-1
    19 Jun 2026A Galway United1-2

    Sligo Rovers

    DDLLD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 6L
    31 Jul 2026A Dundalk1-1
    25 Jul 2026H Drogheda United2-2
    11 Jul 2026A Galway United2-3
    03 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-2
    27 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
    Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 90% · edge -11 pts
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
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    Derry City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Derry City wins
    2Draws
    3Sligo Rovers wins
    06 Apr 2026Sligo Rovers v Derry City0-0
    06 Feb 2026Derry City v Sligo Rovers2-1
    09 Jan 2026Sligo Rovers v Derry City1-0
    05 Oct 2025Derry City v Sligo Rovers1-0
    12 Jul 2025Sligo Rovers v Derry City2-0
    22 Apr 2025Derry City v Sligo Rovers3-0
    Market aligned with main pickDerry City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 71% · edge -19.5 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Derry City to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Derry City28
    Played
    Sligo Rovers29
    Derry City1.4
    Avg goals for
    Sligo Rovers0.8
    Derry City1.3
    Avg goals against
    Sligo Rovers1.7
    Derry City7
    Clean sheets
    Sligo Rovers6
    Market aligned with main pickDerry City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 82% · edge -20.6 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
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    Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Season data supports Derry City Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Derry City332871291
    10Sligo Rovers23295816-25
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Derry City Over 2.5
    80%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Derry City sit at 40% and Sligo Rovers sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Derry City v Sligo Rovers prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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