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FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland
v
Jagiellonia crestJagiellonia

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 14:00

FC Nordsjaelland v Jagiellonia Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Nordsjaelland face Jagiellonia in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 14:00. FC Nordsjaelland come in with 5 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Jagiellonia have 13 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Jagiellonia to Win

  • At 1.9, Jagiellonia Win implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Jagiellonia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Nordsjaelland.
  • Jagiellonia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Jagiellonia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Jagiellonia Win sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Jagiellonia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Nordsjaelland.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Strong positive
Jagiellonia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Jagiellonia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Jagiellonia Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Jagiellonia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Nordsjaelland. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Jagiellonia Win evidence

Jagiellonia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Nordsjaelland.

Jagiellonia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Jagiellonia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Jagiellonia Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Nordsjaelland1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Jagiellonia1.8
    FC Nordsjaelland2
    Avg goals conceded
    Jagiellonia0.2
    FC Nordsjaelland60%
    BTTS rate
    Jagiellonia20%
    FC Nordsjaelland60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Jagiellonia40%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 44% · edge +9.8 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Nordsjaelland

    WLLDD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    17 Jul 2026H Sparta Praha5-1
    10 Jul 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-2
    10 Jul 2026H Hradec Králové0-3
    04 Jul 2026A Brondby3-3
    27 Jun 2026H AC Horsens1-1

    Jagiellonia

    WWDWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 1L
    16 Jul 2026H Sparta Praha1-0
    12 Jul 2026H Pafos1-0
    09 Jul 2026A Polessya0-0
    04 Jul 2026H Pogoń Siedlce4-1
    23 Jan 2026H Cukaricki3-0
    Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Jagiellonia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0FC Nordsjaelland wins
    0Draws
    0Jagiellonia wins
    Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Jagiellonia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    FC Nordsjaelland12
    Played
    Jagiellonia8
    FC Nordsjaelland1.5
    Avg goals for
    Jagiellonia1.6
    FC Nordsjaelland1.8
    Avg goals against
    Jagiellonia0.9
    FC Nordsjaelland2
    Clean sheets
    Jagiellonia4
    Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Season data supports Jagiellonia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
    40%Jagiellonia Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Nordsjaelland sit at 60% and Jagiellonia sit at 40%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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