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Korona Kielce crestKorona Kielce
v
Nieciecza crestNieciecza

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 13:30

Korona Kielce v Nieciecza Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Korona Kielce face Nieciecza in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 13:30. Korona Kielce come in with 9 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Nieciecza have 15 points and 3.6 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Nieciecza to Win

  • At 3.75, Nieciecza Win implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Nieciecza have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Korona Kielce.
  • Korona Kielce have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Nieciecza Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Nieciecza Win sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Nieciecza have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Korona Kielce.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Strong positive
Nieciecza have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points.Visible data support
Positive
Korona Kielce have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Nieciecza Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Nieciecza have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Korona Kielce. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Nieciecza Win evidence

Nieciecza have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Korona Kielce.

Korona Kielce have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Nieciecza Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Nieciecza Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Korona Kielce1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Nieciecza3.6
    Korona Kielce0.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Nieciecza0.8
    Korona Kielce20%
    BTTS rate
    Nieciecza40%
    Korona Kielce40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Nieciecza100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 86% · edge +0.2 pts
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Korona Kielce and 100% for Nieciecza, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNieciecza to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Nieciecza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Nieciecza to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Korona Kielce

    DDWDW
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 0L
    14 Jul 2026H Stal Rzeszów0-0
    09 Jul 2026H Omonia Nicosia0-0
    04 Jul 2026H Zemplín Michalovce4-0
    20 Jan 2026H Dynamo Kyiv0-0
    17 Jan 2026H Spartak Trnava3-1

    Nieciecza

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 1010W 0D 0L
    11 Jul 2026A Sandecja Nowy Sącz2-1
    08 Jul 2026A Puszcza Niepołomice3-0
    04 Jul 2026H Resovia Rzeszów4-0
    27 Jun 2026A Wisla Krakow4-3
    20 Jun 2026A Unia Tarnow5-0
    Market aligned with main pickNieciecza to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Nieciecza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Korona Kielce wins
    1Draws
    2Nieciecza wins
    07 Mar 2026Korona Kielce v Nieciecza2-1
    30 Aug 2025Nieciecza v Korona Kielce1-3
    06 Sep 2024Nieciecza v Korona Kielce1-2
    15 Jul 2023Korona Kielce v Nieciecza3-0
    21 Jan 2023Nieciecza v Korona Kielce1-2
    21 Jan 2023Korona Kielce v Nieciecza2-1
    Market aligned with main pickNieciecza to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Nieciecza to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Korona Kielce7
    Played
    Nieciecza12
    Korona Kielce1.3
    Avg goals for
    Nieciecza3.2
    Korona Kielce0.4
    Avg goals against
    Nieciecza0.6
    Korona Kielce5
    Clean sheets
    Nieciecza7
    Market aligned with main pickNieciecza to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Nieciecza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Season data supports Nieciecza to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Korona Kielce Over 2.5
    100%Nieciecza Over 2.5
    3.56H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Korona Kielce sit at 40% and Nieciecza sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.56 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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