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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki crestPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
v
Wigry Suwałki crestWigry Suwałki

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 14:00

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Wigry Suwałki Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mazowiecki face Wigry Suwałki in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 14:00. Mazowiecki come in with 6 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Wigry Suwałki have 3 points and 1.67 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Wigry Suwałki or Draw

  • At 3.6, Wigry Suwałki or Draw implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • Mazowiecki have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Wigry Suwałki.
  • Mazowiecki have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Wigry Suwałki or Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Wigry Suwałki or Draw sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. Mazowiecki have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Wigry Suwałki.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Strong positive
Mazowiecki have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Mazowiecki have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Wigry Suwałki or Draw is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Mazowiecki have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Wigry Suwałki. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Wigry Suwałki or Draw evidence

Mazowiecki have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Wigry Suwałki.

Mazowiecki have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Wigry Suwałki or Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Wigry Suwałki or Draw notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Wigry Suwałki1.67
    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Wigry Suwałki2
    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki80%
    BTTS rate
    Wigry Suwałki100%
    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Wigry Suwałki100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 84% · edge -6.3 pts
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and 100% for Wigry Suwałki, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWigry Suwałki Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 17% · edge +25.1 pts
    5.9
    Check odds @ 5.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Wigry Suwałki to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
    7.5
    Check odds @ 7.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Wigry Suwałki Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

    DDWLD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 5D 4L
    11 Jul 2026H Pogoń Siedlce2-2
    07 Jul 2026H AS Trencin1-1
    04 Jul 2026A Unia Skierniewice1-0
    27 Jun 2026A Wisla Plock1-2
    31 Jan 2026H Olimpia Grudziądz2-2

    Wigry Suwałki

    LLW
    Last 51W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 2L
    07 Feb 2026A Suduva Marijampole2-3
    31 Jan 2026A Hegelmann Litauen1-2
    24 Jan 2026A FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-1
    Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 28% · edge +25.4 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Wigry Suwałki Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
    5.9
    Check odds @ 5.9
    Wigry Suwałki to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
    7.5
    Check odds @ 7.5
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki wins
    0Draws
    1Wigry Suwałki wins
    22 May 2022Wigry Suwałki v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki4-0
    13 Nov 2021Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Wigry Suwałki3-1
    Market aligned with main pickWigry Suwałki to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 13% · edge +14.1 pts
    7.5
    Check odds @ 7.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Wigry Suwałki to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki11
    Played
    Wigry Suwałki4
    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1
    Avg goals for
    Wigry Suwałki1.8
    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1.7
    Avg goals against
    Wigry Suwałki1.5
    Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1
    Clean sheets
    Wigry Suwałki1
    Market aligned with main pickWigry Suwałki Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 17% · edge +25.1 pts
    5.9
    Check odds @ 5.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Wigry Suwałki to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
    7.5
    Check odds @ 7.5
    Season data supports Wigry Suwałki Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Over 2.5
    100%Wigry Suwałki Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit at 60% and Wigry Suwałki sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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