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Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar

Primera A | Wed 26 Aug, 02:00

Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 07:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A clash features Cucuta hosting Alianza Valledupar in a contest where both sides have struggled for consistent defensive solidity. Cucuta has conceded 1.8 goals per game recently, while Alianza Valledupar allows 1.6, indicating an open game likely to see goals at both ends. Cucuta's recent form shows a slight edge with five points from their last matches, while Alianza Valledupar has managed three points, suggesting competitive but vulnerable defenses. Both teams rely on attacking players like J. Palacios to create chances, setting the stage for a potentially open and goal-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Cucuta concedes 1.8 goals per game, Alianza Valledupar concedes 1.6
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Cucuta) and 80% (Alianza Valledupar)
  • Alianza Valledupar averages 1.2 goals scored per match, Cucuta 0.8
  • Palacios show strong shot and goal threat
  • Recent form points: Cucuta 5, Alianza Valledupar 3, indicating competitive but open matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar. Both sides have high BTTS rates, with Alianza Valledupar reaching 80%, supported by their average goals scored and conceded. Key attackers such as J. Palacios contribute significant shot volume and goal threat, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 26% edge, making this a compelling selection based on recent form and player influence.

BTTS Rate Cucuta60%
Positive
BTTS Rate Alianza Valledupar80%
Strong positive
Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Value Edge26%
Strong positive
Key Player ThreatHigh shot and goal involvement from J. Peralta and L. Palacios
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive frailties and possess attacking players capable of breaking through, making both teams to score a logical choice. Cucuta's and Alianza Valledupar's recent matches frequently feature goals at both ends, supported by their BTTS percentages and attacking statistics. This bet aligns well with the tactical openness and player roles evident in this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities of Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar strongly suggest a match where both sides will find the net. Their recent BTTS rates and key players' shot volumes reinforce this expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Cucuta concedes 1.8 goals per game, Alianza Valledupar concedes 1.6

Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Cucuta) and 80% (Alianza Valledupar)

Alianza Valledupar averages 1.2 goals scored per match, Cucuta 0.8

Palacios show strong shot and goal threat

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Cucuta's low 20% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Alianza Valledupar's 60%, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's games tend to be more open.
  • This trend points to a fixture with potential for multiple goals, supporting the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cucuta4
Avg corners for
Alianza Valledupar3.75
Cucuta8.5
Avg total corners
Alianza Valledupar7.25
Cucuta3
Avg yellow cards
Alianza Valledupar3.25
Cucuta15.5
Avg shots
Alianza Valledupar11.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 40% vs implied 36% · edge +3.9 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cucuta averages 4 corners per game and Alianza Valledupar 3.75, reflecting moderate attacking pressure and territorial exchanges. Both teams commit around 3 yellow cards per match, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive style. Shot volumes are healthy, with Cucuta averaging 15.5 shots and Alianza Valledupar 11.5, supporting sustained offensive efforts that can lead to scoring chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cucuta0.8
Avg goals scored
Alianza Valledupar1.2
Cucuta1.8
Avg goals conceded
Alianza Valledupar1.6
Cucuta60%
BTTS rate
Alianza Valledupar80%
Cucuta20%
Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar have shown tendencies toward open games, with BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively. Their average goals conceded per match are high, and Alianza Valledupar's 1.2 goals scored per game supports the expectation of goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 2 goals per match further confirms a moderate scoring trend.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Cucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with a 2.0 odd implying a 50% chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. This positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth backing at standard stakes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cucuta

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
23 Aug 2026A Independiente Medellin1-0
20 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota1-1
08 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC0-2
04 Aug 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
27 Jul 2026A Once Caldas1-5

Alianza Valledupar

DLLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
22 Aug 2026H Deportivo Pereira0-0
09 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga2-3
01 Aug 2026H Deportes Tolima1-2
27 Jul 2026H Fortaleza FC1-1
03 May 2026H Millonarios2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 60% · edge +5.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Cucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form data shows Cucuta with 5 points and Alianza Valledupar with 3 points from their latest matches. Both teams have conceded multiple goals recently, and their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% reflect a pattern of matches where both sides score. This form supports the likelihood of goals from both teams in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Cucuta wins
3Draws
1Alianza Valledupar wins
17 Feb 2026Alianza Valledupar v Cucuta1-1
08 Feb 2020Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar0-2
06 Oct 2019Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar1-1
14 Apr 2019Alianza Valledupar v Cucuta0-1
21 Mar 2019Alianza Valledupar v Cucuta1-1
15 Mar 2019Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The six previous meetings between Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar have averaged 2 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate that supports the possibility of goals from both sides. While not overwhelmingly high, this sample indicates a balanced history with opportunities for both teams to find the net, complementing the BTTS selection.
Season team stats

Primera A

Cucuta24
Played
Alianza Valledupar23
Cucuta1.1
Avg goals for
Alianza Valledupar0.7
Cucuta1.8
Avg goals against
Alianza Valledupar1.4
Cucuta4
Clean sheets
Alianza Valledupar5
Best odds for this sectionCucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 55% · edge +2.5 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Alianza Valledupar to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Season-long statistics reveal Cucuta's defensive struggles, conceding 1.8 goals per game, and Alianza Valledupar's similar defensive record with 1.6 goals conceded. Both teams have moderate scoring rates, with Alianza Valledupar slightly higher at 1.2 goals per game. These profiles support the expectation of goals at both ends and align with the BTTS market selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
17Alianza Valledupar1719388-14
19Cucuta1619379-13
14Cucuta55122-5
17Alianza Valledupar24022-2
Cucuta sits 14th and Alianza Valledupar 17th in the standings, both near the lower end, which often correlates with defensive vulnerabilities and open matches. The pressure to gain points may encourage attacking play, increasing the chances of both teams scoring in this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Cucuta Over 2.5
60%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring. Cucuta's low 20% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Alianza Valledupar's 60%, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's games tend to be more open. This trend points to a fixture with potential for multiple goals, supporting the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.

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