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Cremonese crestCremonese
v
Pisa crestPisa

Serie A | Sun 10 May, 14:00

Cremonese v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026, 14:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cremonese face Pisa in Serie A on Sun 10 May, 14:00. Pisa have failed to score in six consecutive away league matches, matching their miserable record of just two wins all season. Pisa have lost six consecutive matches and failed to score in six straight away games.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Cremonese Win

  • At 8/13, Cremonese Win implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Both teams have struggled significantly in front of goal, with Pisa particularly suffering during their away trips.
  • Cremonese have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa.
  • Cremonese have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Cremonese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Cremonese sit 18 in the table, while Pisa sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Cremonese Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 62% while the model sits nearer 47% (-14.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +11.7 pts edge at 2.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 47% for Cremonese Win sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Cremonese have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa. Both teams have struggled significantly in front of goal, with Pisa particularly suffering during their away trips.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Negative
Cremonese have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points.Visible data support
Positive
Cremonese have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have struggled significantly in front of goal.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cremonese Win is the preferred angle because both teams have struggled significantly in front of goal, with Pisa particularly suffering during their away trips. Cremonese have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa. That gap is not impossible, but it is dangerous enough to turn every mistake into emotional chaos.

Main risk

That gap is not impossible, but it is dangerous enough to turn every mistake into emotional chaos.

Key Data Signals

Cremonese Win evidence

Both teams have struggled significantly in front of goal, with Pisa particularly suffering during their away trips.

Cremonese have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa.

Cremonese have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Cremonese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Cremonese sit 18 in the table, while Pisa sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Cremonese Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cremonese0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Pisa0.4
    Cremonese1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Pisa1.8
    Cremonese40%
    BTTS rate
    Pisa40%
    Cremonese60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Pisa60%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.7 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 59% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Cremonese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 47%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Cremonese to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Cremonese4.2
    Avg corners for
    Pisa3.8
    Cremonese8.4
    Avg total corners
    Pisa7
    Cremonese0.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Pisa2.2
    Cremonese9.6
    Avg shots
    Pisa11.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 60% · edge -2.4 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 47%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cremonese

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 8L
    04 May 2026H Lazio1-2
    24 Apr 2026A Napoli0-4
    19 Apr 2026H Torino0-0
    11 Apr 2026A Cagliari0-1
    05 Apr 2026H Bologna1-2

    Pisa

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 9L
    01 May 2026H Lecce1-2
    25 Apr 2026A Parma0-1
    19 Apr 2026H Genoa1-2
    10 Apr 2026A AS Roma0-3
    05 Apr 2026H Torino0-1
    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 59% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Cremonese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Cremonese wins
    4Draws
    4Pisa wins
    07 Nov 2025Pisa v Cremonese1-0
    13 May 2025Pisa v Cremonese2-1
    03 Nov 2024Cremonese v Pisa1-3
    01 May 2024Cremonese v Pisa2-1
    02 Dec 2023Pisa v Cremonese0-0
    13 Mar 2022Pisa v Cremonese3-0
    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 59% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Cremonese to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Cremonese38
    Played
    Pisa38
    Cremonese0.8
    Avg goals for
    Pisa0.7
    Cremonese1.5
    Avg goals against
    Pisa1.9
    Cremonese11
    Clean sheets
    Pisa5
    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 59% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Cremonese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports Cremonese to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    18Cremonese343881020-25
    20Pisa183821224-45
    Cremonese sit in position 18, while Pisa sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Cremonese Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Cremonese Over 2.5
    60%Pisa Over 2.5
    2.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cremonese sit at 60% and Pisa sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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