Cracovia Krakow

Wieczysta Kraków

Ekstraklasa | Fri 21 Aug, 19:30

Cracovia Krakow v Wieczysta Kraków Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ekstraklasa fixture features Cracovia Krakow hosting Wieczysta Kraków in a Krakow derby with contrasting recent offensive forms. Cracovia have struggled to score, averaging just 0.5 goals per game, while conceding 0.75, showing defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Wieczysta Kraków have been prolific in attack, netting 2 goals per game but also conceding heavily at 2.33 per match. Both sides are seeking to improve their league standing, with Cracovia sitting mid-table and Wieczysta near the relegation zone. The match promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities given the attacking impetus and defensive lapses on both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Wieczysta Kraków averages 2 goals per game and concedes over 2, indicating open matches.
Cracovia Krakow's low scoring but moderate conceding rate suggests vulnerability to goals.
Wieczysta Kraków has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, showing consistent high-scoring games.
Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots, with Cracovia averaging 15.75 and Wieczysta 13 per game.
No previous head-to-head data exists, adding unpredictability to the fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 62.5% chance, above the market's implied 55.6%, indicating positive value. Wieczysta Kraków's attacking strength and defensive frailty combine with Cracovia Krakow's modest scoring and conceding stats to suggest a match with multiple goals. Both teams' shot volumes and Wieczysta's perfect recent Over 2.5 record support an open, goal-rich game. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, reinforcing in this projection.

Wieczysta Kraków scoring and conceding rates2.0 goals for, 2.33 against per game

Strong positive

Cracovia Krakow scoring and conceding rates0.5 goals for, 0.75 against per game

Positive

Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5 Goals recent rate100% in recent matches

Strong positive

Shot volumesCracovia 15.75, Wieczysta 13 per game

Positive

Market value edge6.9% positive value

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively Krakow derby with Wieczysta Kraków's attacking prowess likely to test Cracovia Krakow's defense. The data points to a match with multiple goals, driven by Wieczysta's high scoring and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities. Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible call given the offensive patterns and recent form of both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Wieczysta Kraków's aggressive attacking style combined with Cracovia Krakow's defensive lapses sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The statistical signals strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Wieczysta Kraków averages 2 goals per game and concedes over 2, indicating open matches.

Wieczysta Kraków has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, showing consistent high-scoring games.

Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots, with Cracovia averaging 15.75 and Wieczysta 13 per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Although no head-to-head data exists, recent trends show Wieczysta Kraków's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, reflecting a high-tempo, attack-focused style.
Cracovia Krakow's matches less frequently reach this threshold, but the combination of Wieczysta's offensive approach and Cracovia's defensive gaps suggests a trend towards a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cracovia Krakow6.25

Avg corners for

Wieczysta Kraków2.67

Cracovia Krakow12.25

Avg total corners

Wieczysta Kraków9

Cracovia Krakow2

Avg yellow cards

Wieczysta Kraków3

Cracovia Krakow15.75

Avg shots

Wieczysta Kraków13

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.3 pts

1.57

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Cracovia Krakow averages 6.25 corners per game, indicating sustained pressure and attacking intent, while Wieczysta Kraków's 2.67 corners suggest fewer set-piece chances. Both teams have moderate yellow card averages, with Wieczysta slightly higher, reflecting a competitive and physical match. Shot volumes are healthy for both sides, supporting offensive activity.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cracovia Krakow0.5

Avg goals scored

Wieczysta Kraków2

Cracovia Krakow0.75

Avg goals conceded

Wieczysta Kraków2.33

Cracovia Krakow25%

BTTS rate

Wieczysta Kraków100%

Cracovia Krakow25%

Over 2.5 goals

Wieczysta Kraków100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +6.9 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 81%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%

Check odds @ 2

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Wieczysta Kraków's perfect recent Over 2.5 record and high goals conceded suggest open games with goals at both ends. Cracovia Krakow's lower scoring but moderate conceding rate implies they may contribute fewer goals but still concede, supporting a high total goals environment.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +6.9 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

The Over 2.5 Goals market shows positive value with a 6.9% edge, as the model's 62.5% chance exceeds the implied 55.6% . This pricing reflects the attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses, making the market attractive without being overpriced.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cracovia Krakow

WDLD

Last 51W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 2D 1L

16 Aug 2026H Raków Częstochowa2-1

09 Aug 2026A Slask Wroclaw0-0

03 Aug 2026H Pogon Szczecin0-2

25 Jul 2026A Lech Poznan0-0

Wieczysta Kraków

WLL

Last 51W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 2L

15 Aug 2026A Piast Gliwice4-3

01 Aug 2026H Lech Poznan1-2

24 Jul 2026A Radomiak Radom1-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 58% · edge +6.6 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Wieczysta Kraków's recent form shows a strong inclination towards high-scoring games, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Cracovia Krakow has a lower 25% rate, reflecting their struggles to score. This contrast suggests that Wieczysta's attacking momentum may drive the match's goal tally above 2.5, despite Cracovia's more cautious recent output.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Cracovia Krakow wins

0Draws

0Wieczysta Kraków wins

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +6.9 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

No previous meetings between Cracovia Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków exist, so historical data offers no direct guidance. This absence increases uncertainty, making current season form and player performance more critical for assessing the likely outcome and goal potential.

Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Cracovia Krakow5

Played

Wieczysta Kraków4

Cracovia Krakow1

Avg goals for

Wieczysta Kraków2

Cracovia Krakow1

Avg goals against

Wieczysta Kraków2.5

Cracovia Krakow2

Clean sheets

Wieczysta Kraków0

Best odds for this sectionWieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 44% · edge +2.4 pts

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

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Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Season-long statistics reveal Wieczysta Kraków as a high-scoring but defensively vulnerable side, averaging 2 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game, which naturally inflates total goals. Cracovia Krakow's lower scoring average of 0.5 and conceding 0.75 per game indicates a more defensive approach but still allows for goals, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals overall.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Cracovia Krakow	8	5	2	2	1	0
15	Wieczysta Kraków	3	4	1	0	3	-2

Cracovia Krakow sits mid-table with 5 points, while Wieczysta Kraków is lower with 3 points. The standings suggest Cracovia may seek to consolidate and improve position, whereas Wieczysta needs to push for points, potentially leading to an open game with attacking risks from both sides, conducive to multiple goals.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Cracovia Krakow Over 2.5

100%Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Although no head-to-head data exists, recent trends show Wieczysta Kraków's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, reflecting a high-tempo, attack-focused style. Cracovia Krakow's matches less frequently reach this threshold, but the combination of Wieczysta's offensive approach and Cracovia's defensive gaps suggests a trend towards a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.

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Betting context

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Football Stats Hub

Cracovia Krakow v Wieczysta Kraków Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Wieczysta Kraków

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Cracovia Krakow v Wieczysta Kraków Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

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Wieczysta Kraków

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