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Cracovia Krakow crestCracovia Krakow
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Gornik Zabrze crestGornik Zabrze

Ekstraklasa | Sun 06 Sep, 13:45

Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cracovia Krakow face Gornik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa on Sun 06 Sep, 13:45. Cracovia Krakow come in with 7 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Gornik Zabrze have 12 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.95, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Cracovia Krakow and 100% for Gornik Zabrze, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Gornik Zabrze are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Cracovia Krakow at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Cracovia Krakow and 100% for Gornik Zabrze show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Cracovia Krakow and 100% for Gornik Zabrze, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Cracovia Krakow.Visible data support
Positive
Gornik Zabrze are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Cracovia Krakow and 100% for Gornik Zabrze, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Cracovia Krakow and 100% for Gornik Zabrze, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Gornik Zabrze are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Cracovia Krakow at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 60% for Cracovia Krakow and 100% for Gornik Zabrze show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cracovia Krakow8.33
Avg corners for
Gornik Zabrze4.5
Cracovia Krakow16.33
Avg total corners
Gornik Zabrze7
Cracovia Krakow1.67
Avg yellow cards
Gornik Zabrze3.5
Cracovia Krakow20.33
Avg shots
Gornik Zabrze15
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 74% · edge -4.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cracovia Krakow1.2
Avg goals scored
Gornik Zabrze2.2
Cracovia Krakow1.4
Avg goals conceded
Gornik Zabrze1.4
Cracovia Krakow60%
BTTS rate
Gornik Zabrze100%
Cracovia Krakow60%
Over 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Gornik Zabrze to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cracovia Krakow

LWWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
29 Aug 2026A Radomiak Radom1-2
21 Aug 2026H Wieczysta Kraków3-2
16 Aug 2026H Raków Częstochowa2-1
09 Aug 2026A Slask Wroclaw0-0
03 Aug 2026H Pogon Szczecin0-2

Gornik Zabrze

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 1L
03 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa2-1
30 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice2-3
16 Aug 2026H Wisla Krakow2-1
08 Aug 2026A Radomiak Radom3-1
25 Jul 2026H Slask Wroclaw2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Gornik Zabrze to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Cracovia Krakow wins
1Draws
4Gornik Zabrze wins
04 Apr 2026Gornik Zabrze v Cracovia Krakow3-0
27 Sep 2025Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze1-1
28 Feb 2025Gornik Zabrze v Cracovia Krakow0-1
24 Aug 2024Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze3-2
03 May 2024Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze5-0
11 Feb 2024Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze1-4
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Gornik Zabrze to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Cracovia Krakow6
Played
Gornik Zabrze5
Cracovia Krakow1
Avg goals for
Gornik Zabrze2.2
Cracovia Krakow1.2
Avg goals against
Gornik Zabrze1.4
Cracovia Krakow2
Clean sheets
Gornik Zabrze0
Best odds for this sectionGornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Gornik Zabrze to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Cracovia Krakow to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Season data supports Gornik Zabrze Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Gornik Zabrze1254014
11Cracovia Krakow86222-1
Cracovia Krakow sit in position 11, while Gornik Zabrze sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cracovia Krakow Over 2.5
100%Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cracovia Krakow sit at 60% and Gornik Zabrze sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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