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Cordoba crestCordoba
v
Girona crestGirona

Segunda División | Fri 21 Aug, 20:00

Cordoba v Girona Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cordoba and Girona meet in a Segunda División clash with both sides showing attacking intent early in the season. Cordoba's opening matches have featured high goal counts and open play, while Girona's attacking talent, led by forwards like Abel Ruiz and Y. Asprilla, suggests a lively offensive contest. Girona's data is thinner, adding uncertainty, but their known offensive threats and Cordoba's willingness to engage in open games set the stage for a match likely to see multiple goals. Tactical openness and early-season momentum make goal-scoring opportunities probable for both teams.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 57%, above the 52% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Cordoba has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Cordoba's matches have seen both teams score 100% of the time.
  • Cordoba averages 20 shots and 8 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Girona features high-volume shooters like C. Asprilla, increasing goal potential.
Price warning

Over 2.5 Goals is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 57% while the model sits nearer 52% (-5.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.67.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model assigns a strong 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting Cordoba's recent matches all exceeding this threshold and their high shot volumes. Girona's attacking players, including Abel Ruiz and Y. Asprilla, contribute to this outlook despite thinner data. The price at 1.85 offers positive value with a 23.9% edge, supported by the attacking styles and early-season form of both teams. The thinner Girona data advises cautious optimism, but the overall attacking profiles and recent form justify the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Price / value52% model chance vs 57% implied (-5.6 pts)
Negative
Cordoba Over 2.5 Rate100% in recent matches
Strong positive
Cordoba Shots per Game20 shots, 8 on target
Positive
Girona Attacking PlayersHigh shot volume from Stuani and Asprilla
Positive
Data QualityLimited Girona data
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with multiple goal-scoring chances as Cordoba's aggressive offense meets Girona's potent attackers. Cordoba's perfect Over 2.5 record and Girona's shot-heavy forwards suggest a lively match likely to surpass 2.5 goals. Tactical openness and early-season attacking form underpin this selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking styles

“Cordoba's high shot volume and perfect Over 2.5 record combined with Girona's attacking threats create a compelling case for goals. The match promises offensive intensity from both sides, making Over 2.5 Goals a strong tactical and statistical angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Cordoba has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Cordoba's matches have seen both teams score 100% of the time.

Cordoba averages 20 shots and 8 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Girona features high-volume shooters like C. Asprilla, increasing goal potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 2.5 goals, supporting a trend toward multiple goals in this fixture.
  • Combined with Cordoba's recent 100% Over 2.5 rate and Girona's attacking profiles, the trend panel reinforces the likelihood of a high-tempo, goal-filled game.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cordoba7
Avg corners for
Girona9
Cordoba8
Avg total corners
Girona9
Cordoba3
Avg yellow cards
Girona2
Cordoba20
Avg shots
Girona27
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Cordoba averages 7 corners and 3 yellow cards per game, reflecting active attacking play and physical engagement. Their high shot volume (20 shots, 8 on target) indicates sustained pressure. Girona's thinner data limits detailed analysis, but their attacking players' shot profiles suggest they will also generate chances and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cordoba2
Avg goals scored
Girona1
Cordoba3
Avg goals conceded
Girona1
Cordoba100%
BTTS rate
Girona100%
Cordoba100%
Over 2.5 goals
Girona0%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 57% · edge -5.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Cordoba's recent matches have consistently featured both teams scoring and Over 2.5 Goals, highlighting open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Girona's attacking players, such as Abel Ruiz and Y. Asprilla, contribute to expected goal volume despite limited data. This suggests a match with multiple goals and likely BTTS occurrence.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 57% · edge -5.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Girona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.85 with a of 78%, indicating positive value. The 23.9% reflects in a high-scoring game, driven by Cordoba's recent goal-rich matches and Girona's attacking personnel. This price is attractive given the attacking tendencies and early-season momentum of both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cordoba

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
16 Aug 2026A Burgos2-3

Girona

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
16 Aug 2026H Leganes1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.1 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Girona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cordoba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Cordoba's recent form shows a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded across matches, indicating open games with multiple goals. Girona's limited recent data prevents firm conclusions, but their attacking player stats suggest they can contribute to a high-scoring encounter. Overall, recent form supports an expectation of goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Cordoba wins
0Draws
1Girona wins
10 Jun 2017Cordoba v Girona2-1
15 Jan 2017Girona v Cordoba2-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 57% · edge -5.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The two recent meetings between Cordoba and Girona have averaged 2.5 goals per match, indicating a balanced history of goal-scoring. While the sample is small, it suggests a pattern of open encounters that aligns with the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Season team stats

Segunda División

Cordoba1
Played
Girona1
Cordoba2
Avg goals for
Girona1
Cordoba3
Avg goals against
Girona1
Cordoba0
Clean sheets
Girona0
Best odds for this sectionGirona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 51% · edge +6.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cordoba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Cordoba's season stats reveal a strong attacking profile with high shot and goal rates, supporting Over 2.5 Goals. Girona's thinner data sample limits season-long conclusions, but their top attackers' shot volumes align with an offensive approach. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further enhance the likelihood of a goal-rich match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Girona110100
16Cordoba01001-1
Standings data is unavailable, but the Segunda División context and early-season timing suggest both teams will seek attacking momentum to build . This competitive environment encourages open play and goal opportunities rather than cautious tactics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Cordoba Over 2.5
0%Girona Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches averaged 2.5 goals, supporting a trend toward multiple goals in this fixture. Combined with Cordoba's recent 100% Over 2.5 rate and Girona's attacking profiles, the trend panel reinforces the likelihood of a high-tempo, goal-filled game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.