Football Stats Hub

Congo DR crestCongo DR
v
Uzbekistan crestUzbekistan

World Cup | Sun 28 Jun, 00:30

Congo DR v Uzbekistan Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 16:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Congo DR face Uzbekistan in World Cup on Sun 28 Jun, 00:30. Win-or-Bust Energy in Atlanta as Group K Reaches Boiling Point. Sebastien Desabre’s side have not been blown away, and his record of avoiding defeats by more than one goal continued in the 1-0 loss to Colombia.

BT4Y best bet

The superior organisation of Congo DR offers solid value as both sides are forced to play for a win

  • At 3/4, The superior organisation of Congo DR offers solid value as both sides are forced to play for a win implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • Uzbekistan's record of leaking eight defensive goals highlights a trend that encourages prospects of a higher-scoring encounter in Atlanta.
  • Congo DR have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Uzbekistan.
  • Congo DR have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the The superior organisation of Congo DR offers solid value as both sides are forced to play for a win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for The superior organisation of Congo DR offers solid value as both sides are forced to play for a win sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Congo DR have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan's record of leaking eight defensive goals highlights a trend that encourages prospects of a higher-scoring encounter in Atlanta.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Neutral
Congo DR have the stronger recent points return, taking 1.Visible data support
Positive
Congo DR have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Uzbekistan's record of leaking eight defensive goals highlights a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Congo DR Win is the preferred angle because uzbekistan's record of leaking eight defensive goals highlights a trend that encourages prospects of a higher-scoring encounter in Atlanta. Congo DR have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan, still without a point and carrying a heavy goal difference, have a much narrower path, but they are not mathematically finished.

Main risk

Uzbekistan, still without a point and carrying a heavy goal difference, have a much narrower path, but they are not mathematically finished.

Key Data Signals

The superior organisation of Congo DR offers solid value as both sides are forced to play for a win evidence

Uzbekistan's record of leaking eight defensive goals highlights a trend that encourages prospects of a higher-scoring encounter in.

Congo DR have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Uzbekistan.

Congo DR have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Congo DR Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

The superior organisation of Congo DR offers solid value as both sides are forced to play for a win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Congo DR0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Uzbekistan0.5
    Congo DR1
    Avg goals conceded
    Uzbekistan4
    Congo DR50%
    BTTS rate
    Uzbekistan50%
    Congo DR0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Uzbekistan100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 59% · edge +3.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Congo DR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Congo DR to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Congo DR4
    Avg corners for
    Uzbekistan2.5
    Congo DR9
    Avg total corners
    Uzbekistan6
    Congo DR1
    Avg yellow cards
    Uzbekistan1
    Congo DR7.5
    Avg shots
    Uzbekistan7.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
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    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 45%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Congo DR

    LD
    Last 50W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 1L
    24 Jun 2026A Colombia0-1
    17 Jun 2026A Portugal1-1

    Uzbekistan

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    23 Jun 2026A Portugal0-5
    18 Jun 2026H Colombia1-3
    Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 59% · edge +3.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
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    Congo DR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Congo DR wins
    0Draws
    0Uzbekistan wins
    Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 59% · edge +3.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Congo DR to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Congo DR4
    Played
    Uzbekistan3
    Congo DR1.3
    Avg goals for
    Uzbekistan0.7
    Congo DR1.3
    Avg goals against
    Uzbekistan3.7
    Congo DR0
    Clean sheets
    Uzbekistan0
    Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 59% · edge +3.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Congo DR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Season data supports Congo DR to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Congo DR431111
    4Uzbekistan03003-9
    1Congo DR431111
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Congo DR Over 2.5
    100%Uzbekistan Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Congo DR sit at 0% and Uzbekistan sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.