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Columbus Crew crestColumbus Crew
v
FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 00:15

Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 13:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The Ohio rivalry between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati sets up a high-stakes clash marked by contrasting styles and defensive vulnerabilities. Columbus Crew rely on possession control but struggle to convert control into goals, while FC Cincinnati boasts a potent attack yet concedes frequently, creating an open, high-scoring environment. Both teams have shown recent defensive frailties, with Cincinnati conceding 40 goals in 16 matches and Columbus facing a tough run of results. The fixture promises intense pressure, tactical battles around midfield spaces, and emotional intensity that could fuel a goal-rich encounter at Lower.com Field.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • FC Cincinnati averages 3.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over their last 10 league games, indicating open play.
  • Columbus Crew controls possession but averages only 1.4 goals per match, highlighting conversion issues.
  • Both teams have defensive weaknesses, with Cincinnati conceding the second-most goals in MLS.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, supporting a high-scoring expectation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Over 2.5 Goals with a 73.6% chance, closely matching the implied probability of 73.5% at 1.36 . The attacking firepower of FC Cincinnati combined with Columbus Crew's possession and chance creation suggests a match likely to exceed two goals. Both teams' defensive fragility and recent high-scoring encounters reinforce this outlook. No data limitations affect , and the current offer a slight positive , making this a solid selection for goal markets.

Model Chance73.6%
Strong positive
Implied Probability73.5%
Strong positive
Value Edge+0.1%
Positive
Attacking FormHigh goals scored by Cincinnati and decent chance creation by Columbus
Strong positive
Defensive WeaknessBoth teams concede frequently, increasing goal likelihood
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic and open contest as Columbus Crew's possession style meets FC Cincinnati's attacking intensity. The defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest multiple goal-scoring opportunities, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical choice. Tactical battles around midfield and transitions will likely fuel a lively, goal-filled match.

Main risk

Cincinnati score freely but often defend as though clean sheets are an optional subscription service.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal markets and tactical interplay

“This fixture's contrasting styles and defensive lapses create a perfect storm for goals. Cincinnati's attacking threat combined with Columbus's possession and chance creation sets the stage for an entertaining, high-scoring game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

FC Cincinnati averages 3.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over their last 10 league games, indicating open play.

Columbus Crew controls possession but averages only 1.4 goals per match, highlighting conversion issues.

Both teams have defensive weaknesses, with Cincinnati conceding the second-most goals in MLS.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, supporting a high-scoring expectation.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 3.2, indicating a history of open and high-scoring encounters.
  • Recent matches have featured aggressive tempo and attacking transitions, with both teams frequently scoring.
  • This trend supports the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, driven by tactical openness and defensive gaps.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Columbus Crew3.8
Avg corners for
FC Cincinnati2.8
Columbus Crew6.4
Avg total corners
FC Cincinnati9.6
Columbus Crew2
Avg yellow cards
FC Cincinnati2.4
Columbus Crew9.8
Avg shots
FC Cincinnati12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Columbus Crew averages nearly 10 shots per game with 3 on target, while FC Cincinnati averages 12.6 shots and 6.2 on target, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Both teams commit fouls at a moderate rate, with Cincinnati slightly higher, indicating a competitive and physical match that may generate set-piece opportunities and cards.

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Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hubfull betting preview for Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnaticorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Columbus Crew1.2
Avg goals scored
FC Cincinnati3.6
Columbus Crew1.8
Avg goals conceded
FC Cincinnati3
Columbus Crew60%
BTTS rate
FC Cincinnati100%
Columbus Crew60%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.2 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches, with FC Cincinnati averaging over 3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded recently. Columbus Crew's possession control creates chances, but their conversion rate is modest. Combined with defensive frailties on both sides, this match is likely to see goals from both teams and exceed 2.5 goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.2 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Columbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.36, reflecting a high implied probability of 73.5%, which aligns closely with the model's 73.6% chance. This pricing indicates a fair market valuation with a slight positive edge, suggesting the are reasonable and the bet is well supported by data and tactical context.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Columbus Crew

LWDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
23 Jul 2026H New York City FC1-2
24 May 2026H Atlanta United FC2-0
17 May 2026A Philadelphia Union1-1
14 May 2026A New York Red Bulls2-3
10 May 2026A New York City FC0-3

FC Cincinnati

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
23 Jul 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps4-3
24 May 2026H Orlando City SC6-2
17 May 2026A San Diego3-3
14 May 2026H Inter Miami3-5
10 May 2026A Charlotte2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Columbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form data shows FC Cincinnati scoring 3.6 goals per match and conceding 3, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, highlighting their open games. Columbus Crew scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8 on average, with a 60% Over 2.5 rate. These figures underline the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture, especially given Cincinnati's attacking consistency and Columbus's home advantage.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Columbus Crew wins
2Draws
4FC Cincinnati wins
08 Nov 2025FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew2-1
02 Nov 2025Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati4-0
27 Oct 2025FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew1-0
13 Jul 2025FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew2-4
18 May 2025Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati1-1
15 Sep 2024FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.2 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Columbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head record over the last 10 matches shows a balanced rivalry with an average of 3.2 goals per game. Both teams have shared wins and draws, reflecting fluctuating momentum. The goal averages and competitive nature of these fixtures support the expectation of multiple goals in this upcoming match.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew17
Played
FC Cincinnati17
Columbus Crew1.4
Avg goals for
FC Cincinnati2.4
Columbus Crew1.5
Avg goals against
FC Cincinnati2.5
Columbus Crew3
Clean sheets
FC Cincinnati2
Best odds for this sectionFC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Columbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long stats reveal FC Cincinnati's attack as prolific but paired with a porous defense, conceding 40 goals in 16 matches. Columbus Crew's possession-heavy approach yields fewer goals but still contributes to matches with multiple scoring chances. Both teams' defensive records suggest susceptibility to conceding, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals expectation.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7FC Cincinnati2317656-1
11Columbus Crew1917548-2
FC Cincinnati sits 5th with 23 points, reflecting a competitive and attacking team, while Columbus Crew ranks 11th with 16 points, underlining their struggles. The standings highlight Cincinnati's stronger form and offensive output, while Columbus's need for points at home adds urgency, likely encouraging open play and goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Columbus Crew Over 2.5
100%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 3.2, indicating a history of open and high-scoring encounters. Recent matches have featured aggressive tempo and attacking transitions, with both teams frequently scoring. This trend supports the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, driven by tactical openness and defensive gaps.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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