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Columbus Crew crestColumbus Crew
v
FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 00:15

Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 18:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Columbus Crew face FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Sun 26 Jul, 00:15. Columbus Crew's possession dominance contrasts with FC Cincinnati's attacking firepower, shaping a competitive fixture. Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati bring comparable attacking form into this contest.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2

  • At 9/25, Over 2 implies roughly 74%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • FC Cincinnati's high goals conceded and scored indicate a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals.
  • FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Columbus Crew.
  • Columbus Crew have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Columbus Crew sit 12 in the table, while FC Cincinnati sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 74% while the model sits nearer 27% (-46.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: FC Cincinnati Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.6.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Over 2 sits against roughly 74% implied by the current price. FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Columbus Crew. FC Cincinnati's high goals conceded and scored indicate a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 74% implied
Negative
FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
Columbus Crew have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
FC Cincinnati's high goals conceded and scored indicate a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Columbus Crew Win is the preferred angle because fC Cincinnati's high goals conceded and scored indicate a match likely to exceed that scoring level. FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Columbus Crew. Cincinnati score freely but often defend as though clean sheets are an optional subscription service.

Main risk

Cincinnati score freely but often defend as though clean sheets are an optional subscription service.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

FC Cincinnati's high goals conceded and scored indicate a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals.

FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Columbus Crew.

Columbus Crew have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Columbus Crew Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Columbus Crew sit 12 in the table, while FC Cincinnati sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Columbus Crew1.2
    Avg goals scored
    FC Cincinnati3.6
    Columbus Crew1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    FC Cincinnati3
    Columbus Crew60%
    BTTS rate
    FC Cincinnati100%
    Columbus Crew60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    FC Cincinnati100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Columbus Crew and 100% for FC Cincinnati, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Columbus Crew to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Columbus Crew3.75
    Avg corners for
    FC Cincinnati2.8
    Columbus Crew6
    Avg total corners
    FC Cincinnati9.6
    Columbus Crew2.25
    Avg yellow cards
    FC Cincinnati2.4
    Columbus Crew11
    Avg shots
    FC Cincinnati12.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 48% · edge +13.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Columbus Crew

    LWDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    23 Jul 2026H New York City FC1-2
    24 May 2026H Atlanta United FC2-0
    17 May 2026A Philadelphia Union1-1
    14 May 2026A New York Red Bulls2-3
    10 May 2026A New York City FC0-3

    FC Cincinnati

    WWDLD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 5D 1L
    23 Jul 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps4-3
    24 May 2026H Orlando City SC6-2
    17 May 2026A San Diego3-3
    14 May 2026H Inter Miami3-5
    10 May 2026A Charlotte2-2
    Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Columbus Crew wins
    2Draws
    4FC Cincinnati wins
    08 Nov 2025FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew2-1
    02 Nov 2025Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati4-0
    27 Oct 2025FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew1-0
    13 Jul 2025FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew2-4
    18 May 2025Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati1-1
    15 Sep 2024FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew0-0
    Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Columbus Crew to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    Columbus Crew20
    Played
    FC Cincinnati20
    Columbus Crew1.4
    Avg goals for
    FC Cincinnati2.4
    Columbus Crew1.7
    Avg goals against
    FC Cincinnati2.3
    Columbus Crew3
    Clean sheets
    FC Cincinnati2
    Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports Columbus Crew to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5FC Cincinnati30208662
    12Columbus Crew20205510-5
    Columbus Crew sit in position 12, while FC Cincinnati sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2 assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Columbus Crew Over 2.5
    100%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
    3.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Columbus Crew sit at 60% and FC Cincinnati sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.