Football Stats Hub

Cienciano crestCienciano
v
Botafogo crestBotafogo

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 14 Aug, 01:30

Cienciano v Botafogo Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 05:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture features Botafogo visiting Cienciano in a high-stakes clash. Botafogo leads the standings with 16 points and has shown strong attacking form, averaging 2.8 goals per game, while Cienciano sits second with 8 points but has struggled offensively, scoring just one goal in recent matches. Botafogo's defensive solidity, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, contrasts with Cienciano's 1.6 average goals conceded. The match promises tactical intensity with Botafogo aiming to extend their lead at the top and Cienciano seeking to close the gap in a contest where Botafogo's momentum and efficiency make them favorites.

BT4Y best bet

Botafogo to Win

  • Botafogo leads the standings with 16 points, double Cienciano's 8 points.
  • Botafogo averages 2.8 goals per game versus Cienciano's 1.0, showing superior attack.
  • Botafogo concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating defensive strength.
  • Botafogo averages 22 shots and 8.8 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.
  • Cienciano's recent form includes just 4 points and a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, less prolific than Botafogo.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Botafogo's of 70% reflects their dominant recent form, superior attack and defense, and top league position. They create significantly more shots and shots on target, with key attackers like Kauan Toledo and J. Correa contributing high shot volumes and goal threat. Cienciano's lower scoring and defensive frailties further tilt the balance. The price offers positive value with a 35.5% edge, making Botafogo to win a strong selection based on data and football context. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Goal ScoringBotafogo 2.8 vs Cienciano 1.0 goals/game
Strong positive
Shots & SOTBotafogo 22 shots, 8.8 SOT vs Cienciano 10 shots, 2.8 SOT
Strong positive
Defensive RecordBotafogo concedes 0.8 goals/game vs Cienciano 1.6
Positive
Standings PositionBotafogo 1st vs Cienciano 2nd
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Botafogo's superior attacking firepower and defensive discipline make them the clear favorites to secure victory. Their consistent form and ability to generate high-quality chances contrast with Cienciano's struggles to score and defend effectively, suggesting Botafogo will control the match and claim the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Botafogo's attacking efficiency and defensive resilience set them apart in this fixture, making their win the most logical outcome given the current form and squad strengths.”

Key Data Signals

Botafogo to Win evidence

Botafogo leads the standings with 16 points, double Cienciano's 8 points.

Botafogo averages 2.8 goals per game versus Cienciano's 1.0, showing superior attack.

Botafogo concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating defensive strength.

Botafogo averages 22 shots and 8.8 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Botafogo to Win notes

  • In the last five matches, Botafogo's games have consistently gone over 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking tempo and openness.
  • Cienciano's lower over 2.5 rate of 40% suggests a more cautious approach.
  • This trend indicates a likelihood of a higher-scoring match driven by Botafogo's offensive style.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cienciano2.2
Avg corners for
Botafogo6.6
Cienciano8.4
Avg total corners
Botafogo11
Cienciano2.2
Avg yellow cards
Botafogo2.2
Cienciano10
Avg shots
Botafogo22
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Botafogo averages 6.6 corners and 22 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Both teams average 2.2 yellow cards, suggesting a balanced disciplinary profile. Botafogo's higher shot volume and corner count reflect their offensive intent and ability to create set-piece opportunities.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cienciano1
Avg goals scored
Botafogo2.8
Cienciano1.6
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo0.8
Cienciano20%
BTTS rate
Botafogo60%
Cienciano40%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 49% · edge +12.5 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 79%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Botafogo's high scoring average of 2.8 goals per game and 60% BTTS rate contrast with Cienciano's lower 1.0 goals per game and 20% BTTS rate. This suggests Botafogo's matches are more open and goal-rich, while Cienciano tends to have tighter games, influencing the goal and BTTS dynamics for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBotafogo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Botafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The current for Botafogo to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model indicating a 70% chance against an implied market chance of 34.5%. This significant suggests the price is attractive for bettors backing Botafogo's strong form and statistical control.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cienciano

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
30 Jul 2026H Lanus4-0
23 Jul 2026A Lanus0-2
27 May 2026H Juventud1-1
21 May 2026A Atletico-MG0-2
06 May 2026A Puerto Cabello0-3

Botafogo

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
27 May 2026A Caracas FC3-1
21 May 2026A Independiente Petrolero3-0
07 May 2026H Racing Club2-1
28 Apr 2026H Independiente Petrolero3-0
15 Apr 2026A Racing Club3-2
Market aligned with main pickBotafogo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Botafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Botafogo's recent form is strong, accumulating 15 points with a high goal output of 2.8 per game, while Cienciano has managed only 4 points and 1 goal in recent matches. This contrast in momentum and scoring efficiency underlines Botafogo's advantage heading into this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Cienciano wins
0Draws
0Botafogo wins
Market aligned with main pickBotafogo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Cienciano and Botafogo, so historical data offers no direct insight. The focus should remain on current form, team strengths, and tactical setups to assess the likely outcome.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Cienciano9
Played
Botafogo6
Cienciano1.2
Avg goals for
Botafogo2.5
Cienciano1.1
Avg goals against
Botafogo0.8
Cienciano3
Clean sheets
Botafogo2
Market aligned with main pickBotafogo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over the season, Botafogo has demonstrated a potent attack averaging 2.8 goals per game and a solid defense conceding just 0.8 goals, underpinning their top-table position. Cienciano's season stats show a less effective attack and more porous defense, reinforcing Botafogo's superiority.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Cienciano86222-2
1Botafogo16651010
Botafogo sits atop the CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings with 16 points, doubling Cienciano's 8 points in second place. This gap highlights Botafogo's consistency and control in the competition, adding pressure on Cienciano to close the deficit in this crucial fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cienciano Over 2.5
100%Botafogo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Botafogo's games have consistently gone over 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking tempo and openness. Cienciano's lower over 2.5 rate of 40% suggests a more cautious approach. This trend indicates a likelihood of a higher-scoring match driven by Botafogo's offensive style.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Santos v MacaraCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu 13 Aug 23:00Vasco DA Gama v OlimpiaCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu 13 Aug 23:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre