Football Stats Hub

Vasco DA Gama crestVasco DA Gama
v
Olimpia crestOlimpia

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 13 Aug, 23:00

Vasco DA Gama v Olimpia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This CONMEBOL Sudamericana clash features Vasco DA Gama hosting Olimpia in a high-stakes encounter where both sides have shown attacking intent. Vasco DA Gama currently ranks second with 10 points, while Olimpia leads the group with 13 points. Both teams have averaged over 1.5 goals per game recently and maintain aggressive offensive styles, suggesting an open and dynamic match. The fixture's importance for group positioning adds to the likelihood of offensive risks and goal-scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring contest.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Average goals per game in their two previous meetings is 3.5, indicating open games.
  • Both teams average over 14 shots per game, with strong shots on target rates.
  • Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia concede around 1.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 74.2% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the implied market chance of 52.6%, indicating strong value. Both teams have consistently produced high-scoring matches recently, with 80% Over 2.5 rates and an average of 3.5 goals in their head-to-head clashes. Offensive players like S. Ferreira and Adson contribute significant shot volume and goal threat, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals. Defensive concessions near 1.2 goals per game further enhance the probability of a high-scoring game.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate80% for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.5 goals per game
Strong positive
Shots per GameVasco DA Gama 14.8, Olimpia 18.4
Positive
Goals Conceded per Game1.2 for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter as both Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia possess attacking firepower and have shown a tendency for open games. The strong recent scoring form and head-to-head history suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting call, reflecting the offensive quality and defensive lapses likely to shape this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match openness

“This fixture promises an open battle with both sides demonstrating consistent goal-scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Average goals per game in their two previous meetings is 3.5, indicating open games.

Both teams average over 14 shots per game, with strong shots on target rates.

Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia concede around 1.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 3.5, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games.
  • This recent sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams frequently involved in goal-rich encounters.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vasco DA Gama1.8
Avg goals scored
Olimpia1.6
Vasco DA Gama1.2
Avg goals conceded
Olimpia1.2
Vasco DA Gama60%
BTTS rate
Olimpia60%
Vasco DA Gama80%
Over 2.5 goals
Olimpia80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, with 60% BTTS rates, indicating frequent goal exchanges. Their head-to-head average of 3.5 goals per game further supports expectations of multiple goals and both teams finding the net.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Olimpia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Olimpia to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Vasco DA Gama to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The Over 2.5 Goals market offers clear value with a of 74.2% versus an implied market chance of 52.6%. This significant edge reflects the attacking tendencies and defensive concessions of both teams, making the attractive for a high-scoring outcome.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vasco DA Gama5
Avg corners for
Olimpia6.2
Vasco DA Gama10.2
Avg total corners
Olimpia8.6
Vasco DA Gama2.8
Avg yellow cards
Olimpia3.2
Vasco DA Gama14.8
Avg shots
Olimpia18.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams generate high shot volumes, with Vasco DA Gama averaging 14.8 shots and Olimpia 18.4 per match, alongside solid shots on target. Corner counts are moderate but combined with aggressive fouling rates, these factors suggest sustained attacking pressure and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vasco DA Gama

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
29 Jul 2026H Independiente Medellin1-0
22 Jul 2026A Independiente Medellin2-2
27 May 2026H Barracas Central3-0
20 May 2026A Olimpia1-3
06 May 2026A A. Italiano2-1

Olimpia

WWWLD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
27 May 2026H A. Italiano3-1
20 May 2026H Vasco DA Gama3-1
07 May 2026A Barracas Central2-1
30 Apr 2026A Vasco DA Gama0-3
16 Apr 2026H Barracas Central0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Olimpia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Olimpia to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Vasco DA Gama to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Recent form data shows both teams scoring over 1.5 goals per game and maintaining high Over 2.5 rates at 80%. This consistent offensive output underlines the likelihood of a goal-rich match, reflecting attacking and defensive lapses.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Vasco DA Gama wins
0Draws
1Olimpia wins
20 May 2026Olimpia v Vasco DA Gama3-1
30 Apr 2026Vasco DA Gama v Olimpia3-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Olimpia to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Vasco DA Gama to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The two previous meetings between Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia have averaged 3.5 goals per game, demonstrating a history of open contests with multiple goals. This head-to-head trend supports expectations for a high-scoring match in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Vasco DA Gama8
Played
Olimpia7
Vasco DA Gama1.6
Avg goals for
Olimpia1.6
Vasco DA Gama1
Avg goals against
Olimpia0.9
Vasco DA Gama4
Clean sheets
Olimpia3
Best odds for this sectionOlimpia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Olimpia to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Vasco DA Gama to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Season-long statistics reveal both teams average around 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, supporting an open game with multiple goals. Their attacking profiles combined with defensive vulnerabilities align well with the Over 2.5 Goals projection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Olimpia1364114
2Vasco DA Gama1063124
Olimpia leads the group with 13 points, closely followed by Vasco DA Gama with 10 points. The tight standings increase the stakes, encouraging both sides to pursue attacking football to secure qualification, which bodes well for a high-scoring fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
80%Olimpia Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 3.5, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games. This recent sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams frequently involved in goal-rich encounters.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Tigre v Atletico TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed 12 Aug 23:00RB Bragantino v Atletico-MGCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed 12 Aug 23:00Santa Fe v River PlateCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu 13 Aug 01:30Santos v MacaraCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu 13 Aug 23:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre