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Hull City crestHull City

Premier League | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Chelsea v Hull City Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 00:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chelsea face Hull City in Premier League on Sat 12 Sep, 15:00. Hull have conceded zero goals through their opening three Premier League matches, giving Chelsea’s eight-goal attack its most resistant test so far. Their current form, though, gives this meeting more substance than the historical imbalance suggests.

BT4Y best bet

Chelsea to win and both teams to score

  • At 9/1, Chelsea to win and both teams to score implies roughly 10%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 18%.
  • Chelsea’s strong attack, led by Palmer and Rogers, supports scoring three goals, while their defensive frailty explains Hull’s likely single goal.
  • Chelsea need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Chelsea on 6 and Hull City on 7.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Chelsea and 0% for Hull City.
  • Chelsea to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.67 for Chelsea and 1 for Hull City are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 18% for Chelsea to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 10% implied by the current price. Chelsea need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Chelsea on 6 and Hull City on 7. Chelsea’s strong attack, led by Palmer and Rogers, supports scoring three goals, while their defensive frailty explains Hull’s likely single goal.

Model chance vs price18% model chance against roughly 10% implied
Positive
Chelsea need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea’s strong attack, led by Palmer and Rogers, supports.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Chelsea Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because chelsea’s strong attack, led by Palmer and Rogers, supports scoring three goals, while their defensive frailty explains Hull’s likely single goal. Chelsea need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Chelsea on 6 and Hull City on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Chelsea to win and both teams to score evidence

Chelsea’s strong attack, led by Palmer and Rogers, supports scoring three goals, while their defensive frailty explains Hull’s.

Chelsea need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Chelsea on 6 and Hull City on 7.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Chelsea and 0% for Hull City.

Chelsea Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.67 for Chelsea and 1 for Hull City are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Chelsea to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chelsea2.67
Avg goals scored
Hull City1
Chelsea2.33
Avg goals conceded
Hull City0
Chelsea100%
BTTS rate
Hull City0%
Chelsea100%
Over 2.5 goals
Hull City0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickChelsea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 89% · edge -39.5 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Chelsea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Chelsea Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chelsea

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Arsenal1-2
30 Aug 2026H Brighton4-3
24 Aug 2026A Fulham3-2

Hull City

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Aston Villa0-0
29 Aug 2026A Coventry1-0
22 Aug 2026H Manchester United2-0
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 95% · edge -26.5 pts
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
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Chelsea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Chelsea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Chelsea Over 2.5
0%Hull City Over 2.5
2.89H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chelsea sit at 100% and Hull City sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.89 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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