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CF Montreal crestCF Montreal
v
Inter Miami crestInter Miami

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 00:30

CF Montreal v Inter Miami Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CF Montreal face Inter Miami in Major League Soccer on Sun 26 Jul, 00:30. Inter Miami pursue a sixth straight MLS win, boasting a potent attack with 42 goals in 16 matches and a league-high seven away victories. The problem is that defensive stability has not produced enough victories.

BT4Y best bet

Inter Miami CF to win and both teams to score

  • At 12/1, Inter Miami CF to win and both teams to score implies roughly 8%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.
  • Miami’s offensive firepower contrasts with Montreal’s home attacking efforts.
  • Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 3 for CF Montreal.
  • CF Montreal sit 14 in the table, while Inter Miami sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 23% for Inter Miami CF to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 8% implied by the current price. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 3 for CF Montreal. Miami’s offensive firepower contrasts with Montreal’s home attacking efforts.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 8% implied
Strong positive
Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
CF Montreal sit 14 in the table, while Inter Miami.Visible data support
Positive
Miami’s offensive firepower contrasts with Montreal’s home attacking efforts.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: CF Montreal Win is the preferred angle because miami’s offensive firepower contrasts with Montreal’s home attacking efforts. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 3 for CF Montreal. They remained competitive, but competitiveness without attacking threat can become a polite way of losing.

Main risk

They remained competitive, but competitiveness without attacking threat can become a polite way of losing.

Key Data Signals

Inter Miami CF to win and both teams to score evidence

Miami’s offensive firepower contrasts with Montreal’s home attacking efforts.

Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 3 for CF Montreal.

CF Montreal have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the CF Montreal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

CF Montreal sit 14 in the table, while Inter Miami sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Inter Miami CF to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    CF Montreal1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Inter Miami4
    CF Montreal1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Inter Miami2.2
    CF Montreal40%
    BTTS rate
    Inter Miami80%
    CF Montreal40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Inter Miami80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 83% vs implied 90% · edge -6.7 pts
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for CF Montreal and 80% for Inter Miami, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 35% · edge -7.5 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    CF Montreal to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    CF Montreal7.4
    Avg corners for
    Inter Miami6
    CF Montreal12.2
    Avg total corners
    Inter Miami9.75
    CF Montreal3
    Avg yellow cards
    Inter Miami2.75
    CF Montreal16.2
    Avg shots
    Inter Miami16
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    CF Montreal

    LDDLD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    23 Jul 2026A Nashville SC0-1
    17 Jul 2026H Toronto FC0-0
    24 May 2026A DC United4-4
    16 May 2026H Chicago Fire0-2
    14 May 2026H Portland Timbers2-2

    Inter Miami

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 2D 1L
    23 Jul 2026H Chicago Fire3-2
    25 May 2026H Philadelphia Union6-4
    17 May 2026H Portland Timbers2-0
    14 May 2026A FC Cincinnati5-3
    09 May 2026A Toronto FC4-2
    Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 35% · edge -7.5 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
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    CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4CF Montreal wins
    1Draws
    5Inter Miami wins
    06 Jul 2025CF Montreal v Inter Miami1-4
    29 May 2025Inter Miami v CF Montreal4-2
    12 May 2024CF Montreal v Inter Miami2-3
    10 Mar 2024Inter Miami v CF Montreal2-3
    28 May 2023CF Montreal v Inter Miami1-0
    26 Feb 2023Inter Miami v CF Montreal2-0
    Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 35% · edge -7.5 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    The head-to-head sample gives context for CF Montreal to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    CF Montreal19
    Played
    Inter Miami19
    CF Montreal1.3
    Avg goals for
    Inter Miami2.4
    CF Montreal1.9
    Avg goals against
    Inter Miami1.9
    CF Montreal4
    Clean sheets
    Inter Miami4
    Market aligned with main pickCF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 35% · edge -7.5 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
    Load more odds for this section
    CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports CF Montreal to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Inter Miami3819115310
    14CF Montreal17194510-11
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%CF Montreal Over 2.5
    80%Inter Miami Over 2.5
    3.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: CF Montreal sit at 40% and Inter Miami sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.