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CF Montreal crestCF Montreal
v
DC United crestDC United

Major League Soccer | Sun 16 Aug, 00:30

CF Montreal v DC United Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CF Montreal and DC United meet in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. DC United ranks higher and has a more potent offense, averaging 2 goals per game, while CF Montreal struggles defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per match. Both sides generate decent attacking pressure, with DC United averaging 6 corners and CF Montreal 5.2, setting the stage for a contest likely to feature sustained wide play and set-piece opportunities. The fixture's tempo and tactical openness suggest a lively encounter with multiple corner chances.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • DC United averages 6 corners per game, CF Montreal 5.2, indicating strong set-piece involvement.
  • Both teams have attacking styles that create wide play and crossing opportunities.
  • Recent form shows DC United’s higher offensive output and CF Montreal’s defensive frailties.
  • Match tempo and open play favor multiple corner situations.
  • Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, well above market .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies clear value in Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability against a 55.6% implied chance from , reflecting a 13.4% . Both teams’ average corners per game and attacking tendencies support a high corner count. DC United’s aggressive wing play and CF Montreal’s defensive lapses increase corner opportunities. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, reinforcing in this selection. The current offer a favorable risk-reward balance for this market.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Positive
Value Edge13.4%
Strong positive
Team Corner AveragesCF Montreal 5.2, DC United 6.0
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Over 9.5 Corners is a compelling pick given both teams’ attacking styles and corner generation rates. DC United’s higher offensive pressure combined with CF Montreal’s defensive vulnerabilities suggests frequent wide attacks and set-piece chances. The model’s strong and reinforce this as a viable market to target in this matchup.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture’s attacking dynamics and corner averages strongly favor a high corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a strategically sound choice with clear statistical backing.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

DC United averages 6 corners per game, CF Montreal 5.2, indicating strong set-piece involvement.

Both teams have attacking styles that create wide play and crossing opportunities.

Recent form shows DC United’s higher offensive output and CF Montreal’s defensive frailties.

Match tempo and open play favor multiple corner situations.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Analysis of recent matches and head-to-head encounters shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, indicating open play and attacking tempo.
  • This environment typically correlates with increased corner counts, as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and set-piece opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

CF Montreal5.2
Avg corners for
DC United6
CF Montreal9.4
Avg total corners
DC United10.6
CF Montreal1.6
Avg yellow cards
DC United2.4
CF Montreal13.2
Avg shots
DC United15
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The teams average a combined 11.2 corners per game, supported by high shot volumes (CF Montreal 13.2, DC United 15) and fouling rates that reflect active wide play. DC United’s higher yellow card average (2.4) also suggests aggressive challenges that can result in set-piece situations and corners.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Montreal1.2
Avg goals scored
DC United2
CF Montreal1.6
Avg goals conceded
DC United1.8
CF Montreal40%
BTTS rate
DC United100%
CF Montreal40%
Over 2.5 goals
DC United60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams show contrasting goal trends: DC United scores more frequently with a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and 100% BTTS rate, while CF Montreal has lower scoring and BTTS rates. This offensive openness supports sustained attacks and defensive pressure, which often lead to increased corner counts.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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DC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
CF Montreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with implying a 55.6% chance, while the model estimates a 69% probability, indicating positive value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners given the teams’ attacking profiles and recent corner data.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Montreal

DLLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
02 Aug 2026H New England Revolution2-2
26 Jul 2026H Inter Miami0-1
23 Jul 2026A Nashville SC0-1
17 Jul 2026H Toronto FC0-0
24 May 2026A DC United4-4

DC United

DWDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 6D 1L
02 Aug 2026H Nashville SC2-2
26 Jul 2026H Toronto FC2-1
23 Jul 2026A Houston Dynamo1-1
24 May 2026H CF Montreal4-4
17 May 2026H St. Louis City1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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DC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
CF Montreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form data shows DC United’s stronger offensive output and CF Montreal’s defensive concessions, with both teams regularly earning corners. DC United’s 6 corners per game and CF Montreal’s 5.2 reflect consistent set-piece involvement, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3CF Montreal wins
4Draws
3DC United wins
24 May 2026DC United v CF Montreal4-4
17 Aug 2025CF Montreal v DC United1-1
15 Mar 2025DC United v CF Montreal0-0
30 May 2024CF Montreal v DC United4-2
30 Mar 2024DC United v CF Montreal1-0
27 Jul 2023CF Montreal v DC United0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
CF Montreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The last 10 meetings average 2.7 goals per game, reflecting open contests that often produce multiple corners. While the sample is moderate, the attacking tendencies in these fixtures support the likelihood of a high corner count in this match.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

CF Montreal18
Played
DC United18
CF Montreal1.3
Avg goals for
DC United1.4
CF Montreal1.9
Avg goals against
DC United1.6
CF Montreal4
Clean sheets
DC United4
Best odds for this sectionDC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
CF Montreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season-long statistics reveal both teams maintain high corner averages, with DC United at 6.0 and CF Montreal at 5.2 per game. These figures align with their attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing the expectation of a corner-rich match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9DC United2419595-3
13CF Montreal17194510-11
While DC United sits higher in the standings, the table position mainly provides background context. The focus remains on attacking intent and defensive frailties that influence corner frequency rather than league pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%CF Montreal Over 2.5
60%DC United Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Analysis of recent matches and head-to-head encounters shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, indicating open play and attacking tempo. This environment typically correlates with increased corner counts, as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and set-piece opportunities.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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