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Cavese crestCavese
v
Savoia crestSavoia

Serie C - Girone C | Sat 26 Sep, 19:30

Cavese v Savoia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cavese and Savoia meet in a Serie C - Girone C clash where both teams have shown attacking intent despite their mid-lower table positions. Cavese has scored 1.6 goals per game but also concedes heavily, while Savoia has a tighter defense but still manages to score regularly. Recent form indicates both sides are capable of finding the net, setting up an open contest with potential for goals at both ends. The fixture's balanced stakes and tactical openness suggest a lively match with chances for both teams to score.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Cavese scores and concedes frequently, with an 80% BTTS rate.
  • Savoia has a 60% BTTS rate, showing consistent goal threat.
  • Cavese averages 1.6 goals per game, Savoia 1.0, indicating attacking potential.
  • Both teams have shown willingness to attack despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent form supports a match where both sides find the net regularly.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% chance, significantly above the implied market chance of 52.4%, indicating strong value at 1.91 . Cavese's high BTTS rate of 80% and Savoia's 60% reflect consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns. The attacking tendencies and defensive openness from both sides create a favorable environment for goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , making this a solid pick based on recent form and season trends.

Model Probability73.3% chance for BTTS Yes
Strong positive
Cavese BTTS Rate80% of matches with goals both sides
Strong positive
Savoia BTTS Rate60% of matches with goals both sides
Positive
Implied Market Chance52.4%, lower than model chance
Strong positive
Value Edge+20.9%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a clear pattern of scoring and conceding goals this season, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Cavese's attacking output combined with Savoia's ability to find the net despite a solid defense suggests an open game with goals at both ends. The data supports this tactical expectation, making the BTTS bet a sound selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking tendencies of Cavese paired with Savoia's consistent goal threat create a compelling case for both teams to find the net. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further enhance the likelihood of goals at each end.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Cavese scores and concedes frequently, with an 80% BTTS rate.

Savoia has a 60% BTTS rate, showing consistent goal threat.

Cavese averages 1.6 goals per game, Savoia 1.0, indicating attacking potential.

Both teams have shown willingness to attack despite defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In recent matches, Cavese has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, while Savoia's rate is 20%.
  • The combined trend suggests a moderate tempo with potential for multiple goals, especially given Cavese's attacking style.
  • This supports an expectation of a lively game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cavese1.6
Avg goals scored
Savoia1
Cavese1.8
Avg goals conceded
Savoia0.8
Cavese80%
BTTS rate
Savoia60%
Cavese60%
Over 2.5 goals
Savoia20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Cavese has an 80% BTTS rate and averages 1.6 goals per game, reflecting an attacking style that often leaves defensive gaps. Savoia, with a 60% BTTS rate and 1.0 goals per game, also contributes to a pattern of matches featuring goals at both ends. These trends suggest a high probability of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Savoia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Savoia to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cavese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cavese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.91 with an implied chance of 52.4%, while the model estimates a 73.3% probability. This significant of +20.9% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, making this a positive-value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cavese

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Potenza2-4
15 Sep 2026H Sorrento2-3
12 Sep 2026A Cosenza0-0
06 Sep 2026A Salernitana1-1
28 Aug 2026H Audace Cerignola3-1

Savoia

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 2L
19 Sep 2026H Casarano1-1
15 Sep 2026A Foggia0-0
12 Sep 2026H Crotone1-1
06 Sep 2026A Team Altamura2-0
29 Aug 2026H Casertana1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.3 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Savoia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Savoia to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cavese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cavese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Recent form data shows Cavese earning 5 points with a high BTTS rate of 80%, while Savoia has 6 points and a 60% BTTS rate. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede in recent matches, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Cavese wins
0Draws
0Savoia wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Savoia to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cavese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
No previous meetings exist between Cavese and Savoia, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. Therefore, current season form and tactical tendencies carry more weight in assessing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Cavese6
Played
Savoia6
Cavese1.3
Avg goals for
Savoia1.2
Cavese2
Avg goals against
Savoia1.2
Cavese1
Clean sheets
Savoia2
Best odds for this sectionSavoia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +14.4 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Load more odds for this section
Savoia to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Cavese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cavese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over the season, Cavese's attack has produced 1.6 goals per game but conceded 1.8, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Savoia's defense is tighter, conceding 0.8 goals per game, but their 1.0 goals scored per match shows offensive capability. These season-long stats underpin the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Savoia661320
17Cavese56123-4
Cavese sits 17th and Savoia 15th in the Serie C - Girone C standings, both with modest points totals. The mid-lower table positions suggest both teams are motivated to secure points, likely encouraging open play and goal attempts rather than overly cautious tactics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cavese Over 2.5
20%Savoia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches, Cavese has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, while Savoia's rate is 20%. The combined trend suggests a moderate tempo with potential for multiple goals, especially given Cavese's attacking style. This supports an expectation of a lively game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

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