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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Brentford crestBrentford

Premier League | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Bournemouth v Brentford Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 11:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bournemouth face Brentford in Premier League on Sat 12 Sep, 15:00. Marcus Tavernier has three goals in his last four Premier League appearances and five shots on target this season, giving Bournemouth an in-form source of end product in a fixture where small attacking advantages may need to be.

BT4Y best bet

Question after his midweek hat-trick in a 4-0 EFL Cup win over Lincoln City, while Alex Scott is also in form

  • At 1/2, Question after his midweek hat-trick in a 4-0 EFL Cup win over Lincoln City, while Alex Scott is also in form implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • This combination supports a Both Teams To Score outcome as both sides are likely to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Bournemouth show a 100% BTTS rate and Brentford show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bournemouth average 1.33 goals scored and Brentford average 1.67, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Question after his midweek hat-trick in a 4-0 EFL Cup win over Lincoln City, while Alex Scott is also in form sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Bournemouth show a 100% BTTS rate and Brentford show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This combination supports a Both Teams To Score outcome as both sides are likely to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Positive
Bournemouth show a 100% BTTS rate and Brentford show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bournemouth average 1.33 goals scored and Brentford average 1.Visible data support
Positive
This combination supports a Both Teams To Score outcome.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because this combination supports a Both Teams To Score outcome as both sides are likely to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities. Bournemouth show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Brentford show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Question after his midweek hat-trick in a 4-0 EFL Cup win over Lincoln City, while Alex Scott is also in form evidence

This combination supports a Both Teams To Score outcome as both sides are likely to find the net.

Bournemouth show a 100% BTTS rate and Brentford show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bournemouth average 1.33 goals scored and Brentford average 1.67, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Question after his midweek hat-trick in a 4-0 EFL Cup win over Lincoln City, while Alex Scott is also in form notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bournemouth1.33
Avg goals scored
Brentford1.67
Bournemouth1.67
Avg goals conceded
Brentford0.67
Bournemouth100%
BTTS rate
Brentford67%
Bournemouth67%
Over 2.5 goals
Brentford33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Brentford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Brentford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Bournemouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bournemouth

DDL
Last 50W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Newcastle2-2
29 Aug 2026H Everton1-1
23 Aug 2026A Manchester City1-2

Brentford

DDW
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Sunderland1-1
30 Aug 2026A Leeds1-1
22 Aug 2026H Tottenham3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Brentford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Brentford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Bournemouth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Bournemouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Bournemouth Over 2.5
33%Brentford Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bournemouth sit at 67% and Brentford sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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