Botafogo

RB Bragantino

Serie A | Sun 13 Sep, 00:30

Botafogo v RB Bragantino Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 17:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino visits Botafogo in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown mixed recent form but Bragantino holds a slight edge in points and league position. Botafogo has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals per game recently, while Bragantino has been more consistent in attack and defense. The match presents a tactical battle with Bragantino likely to leverage their sharper offensive threat and more stable defensive shape to secure a valuable away victory in this competitive fixture.

BT4Y best bet

RB Bragantino to Win

RB Bragantino ranks 9th with 35 points, ahead of Botafogo's 14th place and 31 points.
Bragantino averages 1 goal per game recently versus Botafogo's 0.6, showing better attacking form.
Both teams have identical defensive concession rates at 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a balanced defensive contest.
Bragantino's BTTS rate is 60%, higher than Botafogo's 40%, indicating more frequent goal exchanges in their matches.
Bragantino's Davi Gomes leads with 11.25 shots per 90 minutes, highlighting their attacking intent.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors RB Bragantino to win with a 52.4% chance, reflecting their stronger recent offensive output and higher league standing. Despite similar defensive records, Bragantino's greater shot volume and goal threat, especially from key players like Davi Gomes and Fernando, underpin this . The offer positive value with a 19.1% edge, making the away win a compelling selection. No data limitations affect this view, and the model suggests a standard stake approach given the clear statistical advantage.

Model Win Probability52.4%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance33.3%

Positive

Value Edge19.1%

Strong positive

Recent Goals ForBragantino 1.0 vs Botafogo 0.6

Positive

Defensive ConcessionBoth teams 1.6 goals/game

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

RB Bragantino's superior attacking metrics and higher league position make them the likely winners in this Serie A fixture. Their ability to generate more shots and goal threats, combined with Botafogo's recent scoring struggles, suggests Bragantino can secure a crucial away victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking superiority

“Bragantino's offensive dynamism, led by prolific shooters like Davi Gomes, gives them a clear edge over Botafogo, whose recent goal drought undermines their home advantage.”

Key Data Signals

RB Bragantino to Win evidence

RB Bragantino ranks 9th with 35 points, ahead of Botafogo's 14th place and 31 points.

Bragantino averages 1 goal per game recently versus Botafogo's 0.6, showing better attacking form.

Both teams have identical defensive concession rates at 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a balanced defensive contest.

Bragantino's BTTS rate is 60%, higher than Botafogo's 40%, indicating more frequent goal exchanges in their matches.

What To Watch In The Data

RB Bragantino to Win notes

In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent games, suggesting this fixture could see a balanced number of goals, driven by Bragantino's attacking intent and Botafogo's defensive resilience.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Botafogo6.4

Avg corners for

RB Bragantino6.6

Botafogo12.6

Avg total corners

RB Bragantino13

Botafogo2.8

Avg yellow cards

RB Bragantino1.8

Botafogo19.4

Avg shots

RB Bragantino17

Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

The corner counts are balanced with Bragantino averaging 6.6 and Botafogo 6.4 per game, reflecting fairly even territorial battles. Botafogo accumulates more yellow cards (2.8 vs 1.8), which may indicate a more aggressive or pressured defensive approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities for Bragantino.

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Serie A hub corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Botafogo0.6

Avg goals scored

RB Bragantino1

Botafogo1.6

Avg goals conceded

RB Bragantino1.6

Botafogo40%

BTTS rate

RB Bragantino60%

Botafogo40%

Over 2.5 goals

RB Bragantino40%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.2 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 3

Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but Bragantino's 60% BTTS rate indicates their games more often feature goals at both ends. This suggests a moderate likelihood of goals from both sides, with Bragantino's attack more capable of breaking through.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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RB Bragantino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The for RB Bragantino to win present a positive value opportunity, with the model assigning a 52.4% chance compared to the market's 33.3% implied probability. This discrepancy highlights the market underestimating Bragantino's chances, making the away win a price-sensitive but attractive bet.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Botafogo

DLLLD

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 4D 4L

06 Sep 2026H Palmeiras0-0

30 Aug 2026A Flamengo0-3

25 Aug 2026H Atletico Paranaense2-3

16 Aug 2026A Vitoria0-1

09 Aug 2026H Fluminense1-1

RB Bragantino

LLWDL

Last 51W 1D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 3D 3L

05 Sep 2026H Bahia2-3

30 Aug 2026A Sao Paulo1-2

23 Aug 2026H Gremio1-0

15 Aug 2026A Atletico Paranaense1-1

09 Aug 2026H Corinthians0-2

Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

RB Bragantino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Recent form data shows Bragantino earning 4 points in their last matches compared to Botafogo's 2, reflecting a slight momentum advantage. Bragantino's higher goal output and better defensive stability underpin their favored status in this fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Botafogo wins

2Draws

1RB Bragantino wins

21 Mar 2026RB Bragantino v Botafogo1-2

30 Aug 2025Botafogo v RB Bragantino4-1

06 Aug 2025RB Bragantino v Botafogo0-1

29 Jul 2025Botafogo v RB Bragantino2-0

12 Apr 2025RB Bragantino v Botafogo1-0

27 Oct 2024RB Bragantino v Botafogo0-1

Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The ten previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, showing a balanced scoring trend. While the sample size is moderate, it suggests neither side dominates decisively, making current form and player quality more relevant for predicting the outcome.

Season team stats

Serie A

Botafogo26

Played

RB Bragantino26

Botafogo1.5

Avg goals for

RB Bragantino1.2

Botafogo1.6

Avg goals against

RB Bragantino1.1

Botafogo4

Clean sheets

RB Bragantino8

Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

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RB Bragantino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Over the season, Bragantino has maintained a more effective attack, averaging higher goals per game and generating more shots, while both teams concede at similar rates. This offensive edge supports Bragantino's chances to secure a win in this matchup.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	RB Bragantino	36	26	10	6	10	3
14	Botafogo	32	26	8	8	10	-3

Bragantino sits comfortably in 9th place with 35 points, ahead of Botafogo's 14th position and 31 points. This gap reflects Bragantino's more consistent season performance, suggesting they have the quality and to claim victory away from home.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Botafogo Over 2.5

40%RB Bragantino Over 2.5

2.5H2H avg goals

In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent games, suggesting this fixture could see a balanced number of goals, driven by Bragantino's attacking intent and Botafogo's defensive resilience.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Botafogo v RB Bragantino Stats

Match Report

RB Bragantino to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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RB Bragantino

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Botafogo v RB Bragantino Stats

Match Report

RB Bragantino to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Botafogo

RB Bragantino

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