Football Stats Hub

Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
v
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

Bundesliga | Sat 29 Aug, 17:30

Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Dortmund face Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on Sat 29 Aug, 17:30. Dortmund won 13 of their 17 Bundesliga home matches last season, losing only twice, which makes Signal Iduna Park a demanding venue for HSV’s opening league assignment. Defensive absences for Dortmund and HSV’s recent cup form increase the likelihood of both teams scoring.

BT4Y best bet

Dortmund to win and both teams to score

  • Dortmund to win and both teams to score is rated around 22% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Away Defensive Test.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Dortmund to win and both teams to score around 22% on the latest available numbers. Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Away Defensive Test.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Borussia Dortmund Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Away Defensive Test. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Dortmund to win and both teams to score evidence

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Away Defensive Test.

What To Watch In The Data

Dortmund to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Borussia Dortmund wins
2Draws
2Hamburger SV wins
21 Mar 2026Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV3-2
08 Nov 2025Hamburger SV v Borussia Dortmund1-1
10 Feb 2018Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV2-0
20 Sep 2017Hamburger SV v Borussia Dortmund0-3
04 Apr 2017Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV3-0
05 Nov 2016Hamburger SV v Borussia Dortmund2-5
Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 77% · edge -33.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for Borussia Dortmund to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borussia Dortmund

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Borussia Dortmund yet.

Hamburger SV

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Hamburger SV yet.

Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +3.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Borussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borussia Dortmund-
Avg goals scored
Hamburger SV-
Borussia Dortmund-
Avg goals conceded
Hamburger SV-
Borussia Dortmund-
BTTS rate
Hamburger SV-
Borussia Dortmund-
Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 49% vs implied 38% · edge +11 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +3.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Borussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund1
Played
Hamburger SV1
Borussia Dortmund2
Avg goals for
Hamburger SV0
Borussia Dortmund0
Avg goals against
Hamburger SV2
Borussia Dortmund1
Clean sheets
Hamburger SV0
Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +3.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Borussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season data supports Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Borussia Dortmund311002
16Hamburger SV01001-2
Borussia Dortmund sit in position 3, while Hamburger SV sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Dortmund to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
-Hamburger SV Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Home Strength Meets an Away Defensive Test.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.