Borussia Dortmund
AS RomaFriendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 16:30
Borussia Dortmund v AS Roma Stats
Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 13:58 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Borussia Dortmund and AS Roma face off in a friendly fixture that promises attacking intent from both sides. Dortmund have shown a moderate scoring rate recently, while Roma have been more prolific but also more vulnerable defensively. With both teams eager to test offensive setups ahead of their competitive seasons, this match is likely to feature open play and goal-scoring opportunities. The tactical approach suggests an emphasis on attack, with less defensive rigidity typical of pre-season friendlies, setting the stage for multiple goals.
Over 3.5 Goals
- Borussia Dortmund averages 1.25 goals per game with a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
- AS Roma scores 2 goals per game on average and concedes 2.75, indicating defensive frailty.
- AS Roma has a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, showing consistent high-scoring games.
- Both teams have moderate to high BTTS rates, with Dortmund at 50% and Roma at 75%, supporting goal exchanges.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a positive value bet with a 57% chance against a 50% implied market probability, reflecting the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. Roma's high goals conceded average and Dortmund's willingness to attack in friendlies contribute to the expectation of multiple goals. The absence of limited data concerns strengthens in this selection, making it a solid choice for bettors seeking a high-scoring encounter.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect an open and attacking friendly where both Borussia Dortmund and AS Roma prioritize offensive play over defensive caution. The high goals conceded by Roma and Dortmund's moderate scoring suggest a lively game with multiple goals. This bet aligns well with the teams' recent scoring patterns and the typical nature of pre-season fixtures.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness
“This fixture is set for an entertaining display with both sides likely to push forward aggressively, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling option given Roma's defensive lapses and Dortmund's attacking approach.”
Key Data Signals
Over 3.5 Goals evidence
Borussia Dortmund averages 1.25 goals per game with a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
AS Roma scores 2 goals per game on average and concedes 2.75, indicating defensive frailty.
AS Roma has a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, showing consistent high-scoring games.
Both teams have moderate to high BTTS rates, with Dortmund at 50% and Roma at 75%, supporting goal exchanges.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 3.5 Goals notes
- While no head-to-head data exists, recent trends over the last five matches for both teams show a propensity for games exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Roma's 100% rate and Dortmund's 50% rate suggest a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
Load more odds for this section
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Load more odds for this section
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Borussia Dortmund
AS Roma
Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Season team stats
Friendlies Clubs
Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
