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Blackpool crestBlackpool
v
Crewe crestCrewe

EFL Trophy | Tue 06 Oct, 19:00

Blackpool v Crewe Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 12:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blackpool face Crewe in EFL Trophy on Tue 06 Oct, 19:00. The Seasiders are still looking for their first Northern Group B points after losing 3-2 at Wigan Athletic, while Crewe opened with an emphatic 4-1 victory over Aston Villa U23s.

BT4Y best bet

Wins completely if Crewe win the match or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time

  • At 4.2, Wins completely if Crewe win the match or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Both teams have scored in most recent matches, and Crewe's defence limits goals conceded.
  • Crewe have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Blackpool.
  • Crewe have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Wins completely if Crewe win the match or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for Wins completely if Crewe win the match or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. Crewe have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Blackpool. Both teams have scored in most recent matches, and Crewe's defence limits goals conceded.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Neutral
Crewe have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Crewe have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have scored in most recent matches.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Crewe Win is the preferred angle because both teams have scored in most recent matches, and Crewe's defence limits goals conceded. Crewe have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Blackpool. Their biggest concern is not a lack of attacking threat.

Main risk

Their biggest concern is not a lack of attacking threat.

Key Data Signals

Wins completely if Crewe win the match or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time evidence

Both teams have scored in most recent matches, and Crewe's defence limits goals conceded.

Crewe have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Blackpool.

Crewe have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Crewe Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins completely if Crewe win the match or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Blackpool2
    Avg goals scored
    Crewe4
    Blackpool3
    Avg goals conceded
    Crewe1
    Blackpool100%
    BTTS rate
    Crewe100%
    Blackpool100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Crewe100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCrewe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 24% · edge +5.6 pts
    4.2
    Check odds @ 4.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Crewe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Crewe to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Blackpool

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    22 Sep 2026A Wigan2-3

    Crewe

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    22 Sep 2026H Aston Villa U214-1
    Market aligned with main pickCrewe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 24% · edge +5.6 pts
    4.2
    Check odds @ 4.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Crewe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Blackpool Over 2.5
    100%Crewe Over 2.5
    2.75H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Blackpool sit at 100% and Crewe sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.75 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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