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Barracas Central crestBarracas Central
v
Olimpia crestOlimpia

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 07 May, 01:00

Barracas Central v Olimpia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Barracas Central face Olimpia in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thu 07 May, 01:00. Barracas Central come in with 3 recent points and 0.33 goals per match, while Olimpia have 7 points and 0.75 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Olimpia to Win

  • At 2.6, Olimpia Win implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Olimpia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Barracas Central.
  • Barracas Central have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Olimpia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Olimpia Win sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. Olimpia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Barracas Central.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Strong positive
Olimpia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Barracas Central have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Olimpia Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Olimpia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Barracas Central. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Olimpia Win evidence

Olimpia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Barracas Central.

Barracas Central have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Olimpia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Olimpia Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Barracas Central4.67
    Avg corners for
    Olimpia4.25
    Barracas Central9
    Avg total corners
    Olimpia8.5
    Barracas Central3.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Olimpia2.75
    Barracas Central9
    Avg shots
    Olimpia13.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Barracas Central0.33
    Avg goals scored
    Olimpia0.75
    Barracas Central0.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Olimpia0.75
    Barracas Central33%
    BTTS rate
    Olimpia0%
    Barracas Central0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Olimpia25%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 20% · edge +12 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOlimpia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 39% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
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    Olimpia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Olimpia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Barracas Central

    DDD
    Last 50W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 0L
    29 Apr 2026H A. Italiano1-1
    16 Apr 2026A Olimpia0-0
    07 Apr 2026H Vasco DA Gama0-0

    Olimpia

    LDWW
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    30 Apr 2026A Vasco DA Gama0-3
    16 Apr 2026H Barracas Central0-0
    09 Apr 2026A A. Italiano2-0
    05 Mar 2026A Sportivo Trinidense1-0
    Market aligned with main pickOlimpia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 39% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
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    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Olimpia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Barracas Central wins
    1Draws
    0Olimpia wins
    16 Apr 2026Olimpia v Barracas Central0-0
    Market aligned with main pickOlimpia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 39% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Olimpia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Barracas Central6
    Played
    Olimpia7
    Barracas Central0.3
    Avg goals for
    Olimpia1.6
    Barracas Central1.3
    Avg goals against
    Olimpia0.9
    Barracas Central2
    Clean sheets
    Olimpia3
    Market aligned with main pickOlimpia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 39% · edge +20.4 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Olimpia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Season data supports Olimpia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Olimpia1364114
    4Barracas Central36033-6
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Barracas Central Over 2.5
    25%Olimpia Over 2.5
    0H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Barracas Central sit at 0% and Olimpia sit at 25% with the H2H average at 0 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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