Football Stats Hub

Tigre crestTigre
v
Club Nacional crestClub Nacional

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Tue 28 Jul, 23:00

Tigre v Club Nacional Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 05:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tigre returns to Estadio José Dellagiovanna with a commanding 3-0 lead over Club Nacional in this Copa Sudamericana knockout second leg. Tigre’s unbeaten home form, with 15 wins or draws in their last 17 matches, provides a solid base to manage the advantage. Nacional faces a daunting task, needing to score at least three goals without conceding to stay alive. Their recent away struggles and the suspension of key midfielder Bruno Zuculini complicate their comeback hopes. Tigre’s disciplined defensive structure and quick counter-attacks, led by forwards Ignacio Russo and Jalil Elias, set the stage for a tactical battle between Tigre’s control and Nacional’s urgency.

BT4Y best bet

Tigre to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Tigre unbeaten in 15 of last 17 home matches across all competitions.
  • Nacional must attack aggressively to overturn a 3-0 deficit, increasing defensive risk.
  • Tigre have conceded just 0.71 goals per match in Copa Sudamericana this season.
  • Nacional failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches, highlighting scoring challenges.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Tigre to Win & Both Teams to Score at 32.8% chance, above the implied 23.1% , showing a 9.7% . Tigre’s strong home record and defensive solidity underpin in their win, while Nacional’s necessity to attack and recent scoring difficulties suggest both sides will find the net. The tactical scenario favors Tigre’s counter-attacking threat exploiting spaces left by Nacional’s forward push. No data limitations affect , and the price reflects a positive value opportunity with standard staking recommended.

Tigre Home FormUnbeaten in 15 of 17 home matches
Strong positive
Nacional Away ScoringFailed to score in 3 of last 4 away matches
Neutral
Defensive StabilityTigre concede 0.71 goals per match in Sudamericana
Positive
Match StakesNacional must attack to overturn 3-0 deficit
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tigre’s home resilience and tactical discipline make them well placed to secure victory while conceding a goal due to Nacional’s urgent attacking approach. Nacional’s need to score quickly will open spaces for Tigre’s counter-attacks, making this a balanced contest where Tigre’s control and Nacional’s desperation combine to produce goals at both ends.

Main risk

Scoring has become another concern.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based match analysis

“Tigre’s ability to balance defensive compactness with swift counter-attacks against a Nacional side forced into aggressive offense creates a compelling scenario for a home win with goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Tigre to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Tigre unbeaten in 15 of last 17 home matches across all competitions.

Nacional must attack aggressively to overturn a 3-0 deficit, increasing defensive risk.

Tigre have conceded just 0.71 goals per match in Copa Sudamericana this season.

Nacional failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches, highlighting scoring challenges.

What To Watch In The Data

Tigre to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent head-to-head data shows an average of 3 goals in their only meeting, supporting a moderately high-scoring game.
  • Tigre’s last seven home matches have produced under three goals, indicating controlled tempo.
  • Nacional’s need to score multiple goals suggests an open game with transitions, making Over 2.5 Goals a plausible trend given the match stakes and tactical setups.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tigre3.2
Avg corners for
Club Nacional2
Tigre6.8
Avg total corners
Club Nacional4
Tigre2.6
Avg yellow cards
Club Nacional2
Tigre11
Avg shots
Club Nacional7
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2
Check odds @ 2
Tigre average 2.5 corners and 7 shots per match, reflecting moderate attacking pressure and territorial control. Their average of 3 yellow cards per game indicates a disciplined but competitive defensive approach. Nacional’s lack of available data limits detailed analysis, but their forced offensive posture likely increases fouls and set-piece opportunities, contributing to an open, contested match environment.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Tigre v Club Nacionalfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tigre2
Avg goals scored
Club Nacional0
Tigre0.6
Avg goals conceded
Club Nacional3
Tigre40%
BTTS rate
Club Nacional0%
Tigre40%
Over 2.5 goals
Club Nacional100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 75% · edge +9.7 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Tigre have scored in all of their last five matches, demonstrating consistent attacking output, while Nacional’s recent away scoring drought contrasts with their urgent need to find the net. This tension suggests a match where Tigre’s defense may be breached but their counter-attacking threat ensures goals at both ends, fitting the Both Teams to Score scenario.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTigre Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +13.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Tigre to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 4.33 for Tigre to Win & Both Teams to Score represent a positive value opportunity as the model’s 32.8% chance exceeds the implied 23.1%. Tigre’s strong home form and Nacional’s need to attack create a scenario where both teams scoring is plausible. The price is attractive given the tactical dynamics and recent form, supporting a confident but measured stake.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tigre

WWDDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 1L
21 Jul 2026A Club Nacional3-0
29 May 2026H Alianza Atletico2-0
20 May 2026A America de Cali1-1
07 May 2026A Macara2-2
01 May 2026H America de Cali2-0

Club Nacional

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
21 Jul 2026H Tigre0-3
Market aligned with main pickTigre Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +13.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Tigre to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Tigre’s recent form shows 11 points from their last matches with a solid defensive record conceding only 0.6 goals per game, reflecting stability and . Nacional’s form is poor with zero points and 3 goals conceded per game, highlighting defensive frailty and scoring struggles. This contrast supports Tigre’s favored status and the likelihood of both teams scoring due to Nacional’s attacking necessity.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Tigre wins
0Draws
0Club Nacional wins
21 Jul 2026Club Nacional v Tigre0-3
Market aligned with main pickTigre to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The single recent meeting between Tigre and Nacional averaged 3 goals, indicating a tendency for open play and scoring opportunities. While the sample size is limited, this supports the expectation of goals from both sides. However, Tigre’s current home form and defensive discipline provide a counterbalance, suggesting a competitive but not excessively high-scoring encounter.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Tigre7
Played
Club Nacional1
Tigre1.6
Avg goals for
Club Nacional0
Tigre0.7
Avg goals against
Club Nacional3
Tigre3
Clean sheets
Club Nacional0
Market aligned with main pickTigre Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +13.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Tigre to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Tigre’s season statistics reveal a strong defensive record with just 0.71 goals conceded per match in the Copa Sudamericana, underpinning their ability to manage leads effectively. Their consistent scoring in recent matches complements this, while Nacional’s season shows scoring challenges and defensive lapses, reinforcing the expectation of Tigre controlling the match but conceding at least once.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Tigre962313
While specific league standings are not available, Tigre’s unbeaten home streak and Copa Sudamericana progress provide psychological and tactical advantages. Nacional’s position as the chasing team in this knockout tie adds pressure, forcing them into risky attacking strategies that influence match dynamics more than league context.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tigre Over 2.5
100%Club Nacional Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent head-to-head data shows an average of 3 goals in their only meeting, supporting a moderately high-scoring game. Tigre’s last seven home matches have produced under three goals, indicating controlled tempo. Nacional’s need to score multiple goals suggests an open game with transitions, making Over 2.5 Goals a plausible trend given the match stakes and tactical setups.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Tigre v Club Nacional prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Santos v UCVCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed 29 Jul 01:30Vasco DA Gama v Independiente MedellinCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed 29 Jul 23:00

Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Tigre v Club Nacionalfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre