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Auxerre crestAuxerre
v
Angers crestAngers

Ligue 1 | Sat 29 Aug, 19:45

Auxerre v Angers Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 03:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Auxerre face Angers in Ligue 1 on Sat 29 Aug, 19:45. Auxerre are unbeaten in five successive home league matches, while Angers have gone 10 Ligue 1 games without a victory.

BT4Y best bet

Auxerre to win and both teams to score

  • At 16/5, Auxerre to win and both teams to score implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Auxerre vs Angers: Home Strength Meets a Serious Attacking Problem.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Auxerre and 0% for Angers.
  • Auxerre to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Auxerre and 0 for Angers are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 32% for Auxerre to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Auxerre and 0% for Angers. Auxerre vs Angers: Home Strength Meets a Serious Attacking Problem.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Auxerre to win and both teams to score needs both.Visible data support
Positive
Auxerre vs Angers: Home Strength Meets a Serious Attacking.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Auxerre Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because auxerre vs Angers: Home Strength Meets a Serious Attacking Problem. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Auxerre and 0% for Angers. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Auxerre to win and both teams to score evidence

Auxerre vs Angers: Home Strength Meets a Serious Attacking Problem.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Auxerre and 0% for Angers.

Auxerre Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Auxerre and 0 for Angers are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Auxerre to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Auxerre7
Avg corners for
Angers8
Auxerre11
Avg total corners
Angers11
Auxerre1
Avg yellow cards
Angers2
Auxerre10
Avg shots
Angers20
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Auxerre2
Avg goals scored
Angers0
Auxerre5
Avg goals conceded
Angers2
Auxerre100%
BTTS rate
Angers0%
Auxerre100%
Over 2.5 goals
Angers0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAuxerre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 49% · edge +7.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Auxerre to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Auxerre Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Auxerre

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Lens2-5

Angers

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
23 Aug 2026H Lille0-2
Market aligned with main pickAuxerre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 49% · edge +7.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Auxerre to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Auxerre wins
4Draws
3Angers wins
03 May 2026Auxerre v Angers3-1
09 Nov 2025Angers v Auxerre2-0
19 Jan 2025Angers v Auxerre2-0
24 Nov 2024Auxerre v Angers1-0
10 Feb 2024Auxerre v Angers1-0
19 Aug 2023Angers v Auxerre2-2
Market aligned with main pickAuxerre to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 51% · edge -4.4 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Auxerre to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Auxerre4
Played
Angers5
Auxerre1.3
Avg goals for
Angers1.2
Auxerre2.8
Avg goals against
Angers1
Auxerre1
Clean sheets
Angers2
Market aligned with main pickAuxerre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 49% · edge +7.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Auxerre to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season data supports Auxerre Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Angers752121
16Auxerre34103-6
Auxerre sit in position 16, while Angers sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Auxerre to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Auxerre Over 2.5
0%Angers Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Auxerre sit at 100% and Angers sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.