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Alianza Atletico crestAlianza Atletico
v
America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 07 May, 03:00

Alianza Atletico v America de Cali Stats

BT4Y best bet

Alianza Atletico or America de Cali to Win

  • At 1.73, Alianza Atletico or America de Cali to Win is priced at roughly 58% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +24.2-point value edge.
  • Alianza Atletico have a recent record of 1W-1D-2L, while America de Cali come in at 2W-1D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Alianza Atletico or America de Cali to Win angle: Alianza Atletico have taken 1 win from their last 4 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Alianza Atletico or America de Cali to Win angle: America de Cali have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 75% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.73, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 50% · edge +25 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

25%Alianza Atletico Over 2.5
50%America de Cali Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Alianza Atletico

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
01 May 2026H Macara0-2
16 Apr 2026A America de Cali1-2
08 Apr 2026H Tigre1-1
04 Mar 2026H Deportivo Garcilaso2-0

America de Cali

LWDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
01 May 2026A Tigre0-2
16 Apr 2026H Alianza Atletico2-1
10 Apr 2026A Macara1-1
06 Mar 2026H Bucaramanga2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 44% · edge +11.1 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Alianza Atletico1
Avg goals scored
America de Cali1.25
Alianza Atletico1.25
Avg goals conceded
America de Cali1.25
Alianza Atletico50%
BTTS rate
America de Cali75%
Alianza Atletico25%
Over 2.5 goals
America de Cali50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 50% · edge +25 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Alianza Atletico wins
0Draws
1America de Cali wins
16 Apr 2026America de Cali v Alianza Atletico2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 50% · edge +25 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Alianza Atletico4
Avg corners for
America de Cali2.5
Alianza Atletico9.25
Avg total corners
America de Cali5.75
Alianza Atletico2.75
Avg yellow cards
America de Cali2.75
Alianza Atletico12.75
Avg shots
America de Cali11.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 48% · edge -2.6 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJoel Romero Anytime GoalscorerJoel Romero · 0 goals · 11.25 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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Joel Romero 1+ Shot On TargetJoel Romero · 11.25 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Joel Romero 2+ ShotsJoel Romero · 11.25 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
T. Ángel To Assist / Key Pass AngleT. Ángel · 2 assists · 2.34 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
T. Palacios To Be FouledT. Palacios · 3.44 fouls won/90
74/100
Bet HERE
G. Larios Card RiskG. Larios · 1 yellows · 7.09 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Joel Romero
Joel RomeroAmerica de Cali · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
Y. Guzman
Y. GuzmanAmerica de Cali · Midfielder
Goal threat51/100
Shots /901.66
SOT /901.38
J. Valencia
J. ValenciaAmerica de Cali · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /901.42
SOT /901.13
J. Lucumí
J. LucumíAmerica de Cali · Midfielder
Goal threat41/100
Shots /903.95
SOT /902.37
C. Penilla
C. PenillaAlianza Atletico · Attacker
Goal threat30/100
Shots /902.67
SOT /901.78
D. Borrero
D. BorreroAmerica de Cali · Attacker
Goal threat33/100
Shots /904.43
SOT /901.48
G. Larios
G. LariosAlianza Atletico · Attacker
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.71
SOT /900.71
A. Gordillo
A. GordilloAlianza Atletico · Defender
Goal threat12/100
Shots /900.6
SOT /900.3
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Alianza Atletico4
Played
America de Cali4
Alianza Atletico1
Avg goals for
America de Cali1.3
Alianza Atletico1.3
Avg goals against
America de Cali1.3
Alianza Atletico1
Clean sheets
America de Cali0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 44% · edge +11.1 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3America de Cali43111-1
4Alianza Atletico13012-3

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.