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Alianza Atletico crestAlianza Atletico
v
America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 07 May, 03:00

Alianza Atletico v America de Cali Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 10:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alianza Atletico face America de Cali in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thu 07 May, 03:00. Alianza Atletico come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while America de Cali have 7 points and 1.25 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Alianza Atletico show a 50% BTTS rate and America de Cali show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Alianza Atletico average 1 goals scored and America de Cali average 1.25, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Alianza Atletico show a 50% BTTS rate and America de Cali show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Alianza Atletico show a 50% BTTS rate and America de.Visible data support
Positive
Alianza Atletico average 1 goals scored and America de Cali.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Alianza Atletico show a 50% BTTS rate and America de Cali show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Alianza Atletico show a 50% BTTS rate and America de Cali show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Alianza Atletico average 1 goals scored and America de Cali average 1.25, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alianza Atletico1
Avg goals scored
America de Cali1.25
Alianza Atletico1.25
Avg goals conceded
America de Cali1.25
Alianza Atletico50%
BTTS rate
America de Cali75%
Alianza Atletico25%
Over 2.5 goals
America de Cali50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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America de Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
America de Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Alianza Atletico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Alianza Atletico to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Alianza Atletico4
Avg corners for
America de Cali2.5
Alianza Atletico9.25
Avg total corners
America de Cali5.75
Alianza Atletico2.75
Avg yellow cards
America de Cali2.75
Alianza Atletico12.75
Avg shots
America de Cali11.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -6.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alianza Atletico

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
01 May 2026H Macara0-2
16 Apr 2026A America de Cali1-2
08 Apr 2026H Tigre1-1
04 Mar 2026H Deportivo Garcilaso2-0

America de Cali

LWDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
01 May 2026A Tigre0-2
16 Apr 2026H Alianza Atletico2-1
10 Apr 2026A Macara1-1
06 Mar 2026H Bucaramanga2-1
Best odds for this sectionAmerica de Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
America de Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Alianza Atletico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Alianza Atletico to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Alianza Atletico wins
0Draws
1America de Cali wins
16 Apr 2026America de Cali v Alianza Atletico2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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America de Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Alianza Atletico to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Alianza Atletico7
Played
America de Cali7
Alianza Atletico0.6
Avg goals for
America de Cali1.1
Alianza Atletico1.3
Avg goals against
America de Cali0.9
Alianza Atletico2
Clean sheets
America de Cali2
Best odds for this sectionAmerica de Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
America de Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Alianza Atletico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Alianza Atletico to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Season data supports America de Cali to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3America de Cali962311
4Alianza Atletico26024-7
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Alianza Atletico Over 2.5
50%America de Cali Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Alianza Atletico sit at 25% and America de Cali sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.