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Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor
v
Göztepe crestGöztepe

Süper Lig | Sat 12 Sep, 18:00

Alanyaspor v Göztepe Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alanyaspor hosts Göztepe in a Süper Lig clash where Alanyaspor's early season form contrasts sharply with Göztepe's struggles. Alanyaspor has collected 7 points from their opening matches, showing defensive solidity with only 0.75 goals conceded per game, while Göztepe has managed just 1 point and concedes 2.75 goals on average. The home side's tactical discipline and recent momentum position them as favorites, although Göztepe's attacking threat, especially through Juan, adds an element of unpredictability to the contest.

BT4Y best bet

Alanyaspor to Win

  • Alanyaspor has earned 7 points with strong defensive performances so far this season
  • Göztepe has scored more on average but concedes significantly more goals
  • Alanyaspor averages fewer shots but maintains defensive control and efficiency
  • Göztepe's Juan is a key attacking threat with 3 goals and high shots on target rate

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Alanyaspor to win with a 72.6% chance, reflecting their superior defensive record and home advantage. Despite Göztepe's higher attacking numbers, their defensive vulnerabilities and poor form reduce their winning prospects. The at 2.15 offer good value given the model's implied chance of 46.5%, making Alanyaspor a strong pick. No data limitations affect , and the model's high score supports this selection.

Defensive strengthAlanyaspor concedes 0.75 goals per game
Strong positive
Recent formAlanyaspor has 7 points vs Göztepe's 1 point
Strong positive
Attacking threatGöztepe scores 1.75 goals per game but concedes 2.75
Negative
Price valueOdds imply 46.5% chance vs model 72.6%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Alanyaspor's solid defensive form and home advantage make them the tactical favorite in this fixture. Their ability to limit goals conceded contrasts with Göztepe's defensive frailties, giving Alanyaspor a clear edge supported by both form and statistical data.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Alanyaspor's disciplined defensive setup and recent points haul position them well to capitalize on Göztepe's defensive weaknesses, making a home win the most logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Alanyaspor to Win evidence

Alanyaspor has earned 7 points with strong defensive performances so far this season

Göztepe has scored more on average but concedes significantly more goals

Alanyaspor averages fewer shots but maintains defensive control and efficiency

Göztepe's Juan is a key attacking threat with 3 goals and high shots on target rate

What To Watch In The Data

Alanyaspor to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, suggesting moderately open contests.
  • However, Alanyaspor's recent defensive form and Göztepe's inconsistency imply this match may see fewer goals, with tempo controlled by the home side to limit Göztepe's attacking chances.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Alanyaspor5
Avg corners for
Göztepe6
Alanyaspor9
Avg total corners
Göztepe10.5
Alanyaspor1.25
Avg yellow cards
Göztepe2.5
Alanyaspor9
Avg shots
Göztepe16
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 56% · edge +3.8 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Göztepe averages more shots (16) and corners (6) than Alanyaspor, indicating they push forward more aggressively. However, Alanyaspor's lower yellow card average (1.25 vs 2.5) suggests better discipline, which could help them manage Göztepe's pressure and limit dangerous set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alanyaspor1
Avg goals scored
Göztepe1.75
Alanyaspor0.75
Avg goals conceded
Göztepe2.75
Alanyaspor50%
BTTS rate
Göztepe75%
Alanyaspor25%
Over 2.5 goals
Göztepe75%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
While Göztepe averages 1.75 goals scored per game and a high BTTS rate of 75%, Alanyaspor's more conservative 50% BTTS rate and lower goals conceded suggest a tighter game. This dynamic points to a contest where goals may be limited by Alanyaspor's defensive discipline despite Göztepe's attacking intent.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAlanyaspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The current of 2.15 for an Alanyaspor win represent strong value compared to the model's 72.6% win probability. This pricing reflects market recognition of Alanyaspor's defensive solidity and home form, making the bet attractive rather than just a favorite's price.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alanyaspor

WLWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
07 Sep 2026A Rizespor1-0
30 Aug 2026A Eyüpspor1-2
23 Aug 2026H Beşiktaş1-0
15 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK1-1

Göztepe

LLLD
Last 50W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 3L
07 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-4
29 Aug 2026A Galatasaray2-3
23 Aug 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-1
17 Aug 2026A Samsunspor3-3
Market aligned with main pickAlanyaspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Alanyaspor's accumulation of 7 points early in the season reflects consistent performances and defensive resilience. In contrast, Göztepe's single point and higher goals conceded highlight ongoing struggles, reinforcing Alanyaspor's momentum and advantage heading into this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Alanyaspor wins
5Draws
1Göztepe wins
14 Mar 2026Göztepe v Alanyaspor2-2
19 Oct 2025Alanyaspor v Göztepe1-0
02 Feb 2025Göztepe v Alanyaspor0-1
23 Aug 2024Alanyaspor v Göztepe1-1
19 Mar 2022Göztepe v Alanyaspor0-2
31 Oct 2021Alanyaspor v Göztepe2-2
Market aligned with main pickAlanyaspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating competitive but not high-scoring encounters. Past meetings provide some support for Alanyaspor's chances given their home advantage and defensive strength, though the sample suggests matches can be closely contested.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Alanyaspor4
Played
Göztepe4
Alanyaspor1
Avg goals for
Göztepe1.8
Alanyaspor0.8
Avg goals against
Göztepe2.8
Alanyaspor2
Clean sheets
Göztepe0
Market aligned with main pickAlanyaspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Alanyaspor's season stats reveal a strong defensive record with only 0.75 goals conceded per game, underpinning their ability to control matches. Göztepe's higher goals conceded average (2.75) exposes defensive vulnerabilities that Alanyaspor can exploit to secure a win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Alanyaspor742111
17Göztepe14013-4
Alanyaspor sits comfortably in 7th place with 7 points, indicating a stable start to the season, while Göztepe languishes near the bottom at 17th with just 1 point. This gap in league position reflects the pressure on Göztepe and the relative of Alanyaspor in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Alanyaspor Over 2.5
75%Göztepe Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, suggesting moderately open contests. However, Alanyaspor's recent defensive form and Göztepe's inconsistency imply this match may see fewer goals, with tempo controlled by the home side to limit Göztepe's attacking chances.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.