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Al Khaleej Saihat crestAl Khaleej Saihat
v
Al Riyadh crestAl Riyadh

Pro League | Mon 07 Sep, 16:30

Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh Stats

Data last updated: Sun 06 Sep 2026, 08:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al Riyadh visits Al Khaleej Saihat in a Pro League clash where both teams have had contrasting starts. Al Riyadh has shown more attacking intent, averaging 1.2 goals per game and generating more shots, while Al Khaleej Saihat struggles with just 0.4 goals per match. Defensively, Al Khaleej Saihat concedes fewer goals on average but has yet to translate that into points, sitting 16th with 3 points. Al Riyadh, positioned 12th with 4 points, will look to capitalize on their offensive edge and recent momentum to secure a win in this early-season fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Al Riyadh to Win

  • Al Riyadh has a higher average goals scored (1.2) compared to Al Khaleej Saihat (0.4).
  • Al Riyadh averages more shots per game (10.4) than Al Khaleej Saihat (9.25), indicating greater attacking pressure.
  • Al Riyadh's recent form shows 4 points gained versus 3 points for Al Khaleej Saihat, reflecting slightly better momentum.
  • Al Riyadh ranks 12th in the league, above Al Khaleej Saihat who are 16th, suggesting a quality gap.
  • Al Riyadh's players like T. Okou and Leandro Antunes contribute significantly to goal threats and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Al Riyadh to win based on their superior attacking metrics and slightly better recent form. Al Riyadh's average of 1.2 goals per game and higher shot volume (10.4) contrast with Al Khaleej Saihat's lower offensive output. Although Al Riyadh concedes more goals defensively, their offensive edge and player-level threats like T. Okou's goal-scoring form support a winning chance. The price offers positive value with an 8.5% edge, making this a solid selection without major price warnings or data limitations.

Model chance44.2%
Strong positive
Implied chance35.7%
Positive
Value edge8.5%
Strong positive
Recent formAl Riyadh slightly better (4 vs 3 points)
Positive
Attacking statsAl Riyadh averages 1.2 goals and 10.4 shots per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al Riyadh's stronger attacking numbers and recent form give them the edge in this matchup. Their ability to generate more shots and goals suggests they can break down Al Khaleej Saihat's defense, which has struggled to keep clean sheets. This combination of tactical attacking pressure and player quality underpins the in an away win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Al Riyadh's offensive threat, led by T. Okou and Leandro Antunes, combined with their recent momentum, makes them the likely winners despite defensive vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

Al Riyadh to Win evidence

Al Riyadh has a higher average goals scored (1.2) compared to Al Khaleej Saihat (0.4).

Al Riyadh averages more shots per game (10.4) than Al Khaleej Saihat (9.25), indicating greater attacking pressure.

Al Riyadh's recent form shows 4 points gained versus 3 points for Al Khaleej Saihat, reflecting slightly better momentum.

Al Riyadh ranks 12th in the league, above Al Khaleej Saihat who are 16th, suggesting a quality gap.

What To Watch In The Data

Al Riyadh to Win notes

  • Over the last six meetings, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically.
  • Al Riyadh's 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests matches involving them tend to be open and goal-rich.
  • This trend supports expectations of a lively game with multiple scoring opportunities and a good chance of surpassing 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Khaleej Saihat0.4
Avg goals scored
Al Riyadh1.2
Al Khaleej Saihat1.8
Avg goals conceded
Al Riyadh3.2
Al Khaleej Saihat40%
BTTS rate
Al Riyadh40%
Al Khaleej Saihat40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al Riyadh80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Goal trends indicate a moderate scoring environment with Al Riyadh averaging 1.2 goals and Al Khaleej Saihat 0.4. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, suggesting a balanced chance of both teams scoring. Al Riyadh's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) contrasts with Al Khaleej Saihat's 40%, implying Al Riyadh's matches tend to be more open and goal-rich, supporting a potentially dynamic game.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl Riyadh to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 33% · edge +10.9 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Al Riyadh Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The current for Al Riyadh to win reflect a positive value opportunity with the model estimating a 44.2% chance against an implied 35.7%. This suggests the market underestimates Al Riyadh's chances, likely due to their defensive frailties. The price is attractive given their offensive potential and recent form, making it a worthwhile selection without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al Khaleej Saihat2.8
Avg corners for
Al Riyadh3
Al Khaleej Saihat7.4
Avg total corners
Al Riyadh10
Al Khaleej Saihat1.6
Avg yellow cards
Al Riyadh1.8
Al Khaleej Saihat9
Avg shots
Al Riyadh10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Both teams average 3 corners per game, indicating a relatively even territorial battle. Al Riyadh's slightly higher shot volume (10.4) versus Al Khaleej Saihat (9.25) shows more offensive activity. Discipline is similar with around 1.75 yellows per match each, suggesting a moderately physical contest without excessive fouling or cards.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Khaleej Saihat

LLDDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 2L
03 Sep 2026A NEOM0-3
28 Aug 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC1-5
25 Aug 2026A Abha1-1
22 Aug 2026H Al Shabab0-0
15 Aug 2026A Al Taawon0-0

Al Riyadh

LWDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
04 Sep 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah0-5
28 Aug 2026H NEOM1-0
25 Aug 2026A Al Shabab3-3
21 Aug 2026H Al-Nassr0-4
14 Aug 2026A Al-Ettifaq2-4
Market aligned with main pickAl Riyadh to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 33% · edge +10.9 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Al Riyadh Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form favors Al Riyadh with 4 points from their opening matches compared to Al Khaleej Saihat's 3 points. Al Riyadh's higher goal-scoring rate and shot creation reflect better offensive rhythm. Al Khaleej Saihat's low goals for and higher goals conceded indicate struggles in both attack and defense, which could be exploited by Al Riyadh's improving form.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Al Khaleej Saihat wins
2Draws
2Al Riyadh wins
14 Feb 2026Al Riyadh v Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
19 Oct 2025Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh4-1
10 May 2025Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh1-2
09 Jan 2025Al Riyadh v Al Khaleej Saihat2-2
27 May 2024Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh1-2
16 Dec 2023Al Riyadh v Al Khaleej Saihat0-1
Market aligned with main pickAl Riyadh to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 33% · edge +10.9 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample of six matches shows an average of 3 goals per game, indicating a relatively open and attacking fixture historically. While the sample is limited, this suggests both teams have the capacity to score and concede, aligning with current season trends and supporting an expectation of a competitive match with goal-scoring chances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Pro League

Al Khaleej Saihat6
Played
Al Riyadh5
Al Khaleej Saihat0.3
Avg goals for
Al Riyadh1.2
Al Khaleej Saihat1.5
Avg goals against
Al Riyadh3.2
Al Khaleej Saihat3
Clean sheets
Al Riyadh1
Market aligned with main pickAl Riyadh to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 33% · edge +10.9 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Al Riyadh Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season-long stats show Al Riyadh with a more potent attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while conceding 3.2 goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Al Khaleej Saihat scores less (0.4) and concedes fewer goals (1.8), suggesting a more defensive approach but limited offensive threat. This imbalance favors Al Riyadh's attacking style to break through and secure a win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Al Riyadh56123-10
13Al Khaleej Saihat46042-7
Al Riyadh sits 12th in the league with 4 points, slightly ahead of Al Khaleej Saihat in 16th with 3 points. While both teams are near the bottom, Al Riyadh's marginally better position reflects their slightly stronger start and may provide and motivation to maintain upward momentum in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al Khaleej Saihat Over 2.5
80%Al Riyadh Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last six meetings, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically. Al Riyadh's 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests matches involving them tend to be open and goal-rich. This trend supports expectations of a lively game with multiple scoring opportunities and a good chance of surpassing 2.5 goals.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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