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Al-Ettifaq crestAl-Ettifaq
v
Al-Faisaly FC crestAl-Faisaly FC

Pro League | Tue 08 Sep, 16:30

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Faisaly FC Stats

Data last updated: Mon 07 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Ettifaq enters this Pro League clash in solid form, having secured 9 points with a balanced attack and defense, while Al-Faisaly FC struggles near the bottom with only 2 points and defensive vulnerabilities. Al-Ettifaq's attacking style, supported by high shot volumes and corner counts, contrasts with Al-Faisaly FC's more cautious approach. The home side's tactical setup and recent momentum suggest they will control the match tempo and create more scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a competitive encounter with clear advantage to Al-Ettifaq.

BT4Y best bet

Al-Ettifaq to Win

  • Al-Ettifaq holds a 74% model win probability, well above the implied 54% chance.
  • Al-Ettifaq averages 14.6 shots and 6.8 corners per game, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Al-Faisaly FC concedes 2 goals per game on average, showing defensive frailty.
  • Recent form shows Al-Ettifaq with 9 points versus Al-Faisaly FC's 2, highlighting momentum disparity.
  • Al-Ettifaq ranks 8th while Al-Faisaly FC sits 17th, reflecting league position gap.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Al-Ettifaq to win due to their superior recent form, offensive output, and defensive solidity compared to Al-Faisaly FC. Al-Ettifaq's higher shot and corner averages demonstrate sustained attacking pressure, while Al-Faisaly FC's defensive record and low points tally underline their struggles. The 19.9% at 1.85 confirms this pick as a strong value bet without price warnings. Player data supports this with key attackers like Abdullah Al Bishi and M. Dembélé showing high shot volumes and goal threat.

Model Win Probability74%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance54.1%
Strong positive
Value Edge19.9%
Strong positive
Recent Form Points9 vs 2
Strong positive
Offensive Pressure (Shots & Corners)14.6 shots & 6.8 corners avg
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al-Ettifaq's superior form and attacking control make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their ability to generate more shots and corners, combined with Al-Faisaly FC's defensive struggles, provides a strong tactical and statistical foundation for this pick.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Al-Ettifaq's consistent offensive pressure and better defensive record position them strongly to capitalize on Al-Faisaly FC's vulnerabilities in this Pro League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Al-Ettifaq to Win evidence

Al-Ettifaq holds a 74% model win probability, well above the implied 54% chance.

Al-Ettifaq averages 14.6 shots and 6.8 corners per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Al-Faisaly FC concedes 2 goals per game on average, showing defensive frailty.

Recent form shows Al-Ettifaq with 9 points versus Al-Faisaly FC's 2, highlighting momentum disparity.

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Ettifaq to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game.
  • Al-Ettifaq's 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches suggests a tendency for higher-scoring games, supported by their offensive style and Al-Faisaly FC's defensive record, which could lead to an open and goal-rich encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al-Ettifaq6.8
Avg corners for
Al-Faisaly FC1.8
Al-Ettifaq10.6
Avg total corners
Al-Faisaly FC6.8
Al-Ettifaq1
Avg yellow cards
Al-Faisaly FC2.4
Al-Ettifaq14.6
Avg shots
Al-Faisaly FC7.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Al-Ettifaq's average of 6.8 corners per game and 14.6 shots indicates sustained attacking pressure, contrasting with Al-Faisaly FC's lower 2 corners and 7.75 shots. Discipline-wise, Al-Faisaly FC averages 2.5 yellow cards per game, potentially impacting their defensive stability, while Al-Ettifaq maintains better discipline with 1 yellow card per game.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Ettifaq1.6
Avg goals scored
Al-Faisaly FC0.8
Al-Ettifaq1.6
Avg goals conceded
Al-Faisaly FC2
Al-Ettifaq40%
BTTS rate
Al-Faisaly FC60%
Al-Ettifaq60%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Faisaly FC40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 44% · edge +8.8 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Al-Ettifaq averages 1.6 goals per game with a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Al-Faisaly FC scores less but concedes 2 goals per game. Both teams to score is less likely given Al-Ettifaq's 40% BTTS rate versus Al-Faisaly FC's 60%, suggesting a moderate chance for goals but not necessarily both sides scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl-Ettifaq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The current for Al-Ettifaq to win reflect a significant undervaluation compared to the model's 74% win probability. The 1.85 price offers a nearly 20% , making this a compelling bet with positive expected returns based on form and statistical control.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Ettifaq

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
04 Sep 2026A Abha1-0
29 Aug 2026H Al Diriyah0-3
25 Aug 2026H Al-Nassr2-3
22 Aug 2026A Al-Fateh1-0
14 Aug 2026H Al Riyadh4-2

Al-Faisaly FC

DLDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 3L
05 Sep 2026H Al-Hazm0-0
30 Aug 2026A Al-Qadisiyah FC1-3
26 Aug 2026H Al-Fateh1-1
21 Aug 2026H NEOM0-2
14 Aug 2026A Al-Hilal Saudi FC2-4
Market aligned with main pickAl-Ettifaq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Al-Ettifaq's recent form is strong, accumulating 9 points with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded per match, indicating balanced performance. Al-Faisaly FC's 2 points and 0.8 goals scored highlight offensive struggles, while conceding 2 goals per game points to defensive weaknesses. This form gap supports Al-Ettifaq's likelihood to control the match and secure a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Al-Ettifaq wins
3Draws
3Al-Faisaly FC wins
28 May 2022Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ettifaq1-1
27 Nov 2021Al-Ettifaq v Al-Faisaly FC1-0
20 Mar 2021Al-Ettifaq v Al-Faisaly FC1-0
22 Dec 2020Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ettifaq0-3
17 Dec 2020Al-Ettifaq v Al-Faisaly FC0-0
21 Feb 2020Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ettifaq1-2
Market aligned with main pickAl-Ettifaq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, reflecting moderately competitive encounters. While past meetings provide background, current form and tactical setups carry more weight in this fixture, with Al-Ettifaq's recent control suggesting a stronger likelihood of victory.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al-Ettifaq5
Played
Al-Faisaly FC5
Al-Ettifaq1.6
Avg goals for
Al-Faisaly FC0.8
Al-Ettifaq1.6
Avg goals against
Al-Faisaly FC2
Al-Ettifaq2
Clean sheets
Al-Faisaly FC1
Market aligned with main pickAl-Ettifaq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Throughout the season, Al-Ettifaq demonstrates a solid attack with 1.6 goals per game and a decent defensive record, conceding 1.6 goals. Their higher corner and shot averages reflect an aggressive style. Al-Faisaly FC's lower scoring and higher goals conceded underline their defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing Al-Ettifaq's advantage in this matchup.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Al-Ettifaq953020
17Al-Faisaly FC25023-6
Al-Ettifaq sits comfortably in 8th place with 9 points, showing mid-table stability and momentum. Al-Faisaly FC's 17th position with only 2 points reflects their struggles and pressure to improve. While league position alone isn't decisive, it underscores the form and gap between the teams heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Al-Ettifaq Over 2.5
40%Al-Faisaly FC Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game. Al-Ettifaq's 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches suggests a tendency for higher-scoring games, supported by their offensive style and Al-Faisaly FC's defensive record, which could lead to an open and goal-rich encounter.

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