Football Stats Hub

Al-Ittihad FC crestAl-Ittihad FC
v
Al-Fayha crestAl-Fayha

Pro League | Tue 08 Sep, 19:00

Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Fayha Stats

Data last updated: Mon 07 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Ittihad FC hosts Al-Fayha in a Saudi Pro League clash where both teams have shown contrasting defensive and attacking tendencies. Al-Ittihad FC ranks 4th with solid defensive numbers, conceding 0.8 goals per game, while Al-Fayha sits 11th, allowing 1.8 goals per match. Al-Fayha's aggressive style and higher over 2.5 goals rate (80%) suggest open play, likely increasing set-piece opportunities. Al-Ittihad FC's home form and attacking intent, combined with Al-Fayha's pressing and fouling tendencies, set the stage for a high-corner count encounter under lively match conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Al-Ittihad FC averages 3.5 corners per game, Al-Fayha 3.0, combining for 6.5 corners on average.
  • Both teams play with attacking intent, reflected in Al-Fayha's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Al-Ittihad's 60% BTTS rate.
  • Al-Fayha concedes more goals and commits fewer fouls, likely leading to more attacking transitions and corners.
  • Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with strong and positive .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 69% chance, well above the implied market chance of 49.5%. Both teams generate significant attacking pressure and sustained territorial play, leading to frequent corner situations. Al-Ittihad FC's average of 3.5 corners per match and Al-Fayha's 3.0, combined with their open playing styles and fouling patterns, support a high corner count. is high at 88%, indicating consistent data backing this outcome without price warnings.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance49.5%
Strong positive
Value Edge19.5%
Strong positive
Confidence Level88%
Strong positive
Team Corner Averages6.5 combined per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with both sides pushing forward, creating multiple attacking phases that should generate numerous corners. Al-Ittihad FC's home attacking rhythm and Al-Fayha's pressing style combine to increase set-piece chances, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and statistically sound pick.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count is likely to be high as Al-Ittihad FC's territorial control meets Al-Fayha's aggressive pressing, resulting in frequent wide attacks and defensive clearances leading to corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Al-Ittihad FC averages 3.5 corners per game, Al-Fayha 3.0, combining for 6.5 corners on average.

Al-Fayha concedes more goals and commits fewer fouls, likely leading to more attacking transitions and corners.

Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with strong and positive .

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, suggesting moderately open games.
  • Al-Fayha's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) indicates a tendency for more open, attacking matches, which often correlate with increased corner counts.
  • The tempo and attacking patterns from recent matches support a scenario with frequent wide attacks and set-piece situations leading to corners.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al-Ittihad FC5.5
Avg corners for
Al-Fayha2
Al-Ittihad FC10.75
Avg total corners
Al-Fayha8
Al-Ittihad FC2.75
Avg yellow cards
Al-Fayha0.5
Al-Ittihad FC17.25
Avg shots
Al-Fayha9
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +2.3 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Al-Ittihad FC averages 2.5 yellow cards per game compared to Al-Fayha's 0.5, indicating a more physical approach that can disrupt play and lead to more set pieces. Both teams produce a healthy volume of shots (15 and 11 respectively) and shots on target (4.5 each), reflecting sustained pressure and attacking phases that typically generate corners through wide play and defensive clearances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Ittihad FC1.4
Avg goals scored
Al-Fayha1.2
Al-Ittihad FC0.8
Avg goals conceded
Al-Fayha1.8
Al-Ittihad FC60%
BTTS rate
Al-Fayha60%
Al-Ittihad FC40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Fayha80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates, but Al-Fayha's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Al-Ittihad FC's more conservative 40%. The 60% BTTS rate for both sides suggests some matches end with one side shut out, indicating controlled goal scenarios rather than open goal-fests. This balance points to tactical caution in finishing, while still allowing for set-piece opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with around 2.02, reflecting a 49.5% implied chance. The model's 69% probability indicates clear value, supported by both teams' attacking styles and corner generation rates. This pricing offers a strong positive expected value with no current warnings, making it a favorable bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Ittihad FC

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Al-Nassr2-1
29 Aug 2026A Al-Fateh0-0
24 Aug 2026H Al-Hazm3-2
21 Aug 2026A Al-Qadisiyah FC1-0
15 Aug 2026H Al Kholood1-1

Al-Fayha

DWDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
03 Sep 2026H Al Kholood2-2
28 Aug 2026H Abha3-2
25 Aug 2026A Al Taawon0-0
20 Aug 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-3
14 Aug 2026A NEOM1-2
Best odds for this sectionAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Recent form data shows Al-Ittihad FC with 11 points and an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, while Al-Fayha has 5 points and 1.2 goals per game. Both teams have corner averages supporting a high total, with Al-Ittihad at 3.5 and Al-Fayha at 3.0 per match. This recent performance underlines the likelihood of sustained attacking pressure and multiple corner opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Al-Ittihad FC wins
4Draws
0Al-Fayha wins
13 Feb 2026Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Fayha2-1
17 Oct 2025Al-Fayha v Al-Ittihad FC1-1
11 May 2025Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Fayha3-0
11 Jan 2025Al-Fayha v Al-Ittihad FC1-1
29 Mar 2024Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Fayha3-1
31 Oct 2023Al-Fayha v Al-Ittihad FC0-3
Best odds for this sectionAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While the goal data is balanced, it does not strongly favor either side for a high-scoring outcome but suggests competitive matches with opportunities for sustained pressure and corners. The H2H data supports the likelihood of a lively game with multiple attacking phases.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al-Ittihad FC5
Played
Al-Fayha5
Al-Ittihad FC1.4
Avg goals for
Al-Fayha1.2
Al-Ittihad FC0.8
Avg goals against
Al-Fayha1.8
Al-Ittihad FC2
Clean sheets
Al-Fayha1
Best odds for this sectionAl-Ittihad FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Season-long statistics reveal Al-Ittihad FC's steady corner generation at 3.5 per game and Al-Fayha's 3.0, reflecting consistent attacking width and pressure. Defensive vulnerabilities, especially from Al-Fayha conceding 1.8 goals per match, suggest frequent defensive actions leading to corners. These season trends reinforce the expectation for Over 9.5 Corners in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Al-Ittihad FC1153203
11Al-Fayha55122-3
Al-Ittihad FC's 4th place standing with 11 points contrasts with Al-Fayha's 11th place and 5 points, indicating a gap in overall team quality and form. This disparity may lead Al-Fayha to adopt a more defensive and counter-attacking approach, potentially increasing defensive clearances and corner counts. The league context supports a match with dynamic territorial shifts conducive to corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al-Ittihad FC Over 2.5
80%Al-Fayha Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, suggesting moderately open games. Al-Fayha's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) indicates a tendency for more open, attacking matches, which often correlate with increased corner counts. The tempo and attacking patterns from recent matches support a scenario with frequent wide attacks and set-piece situations leading to corners.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.