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Aalesund crestAalesund
v
Molde crestMolde

Eliteserien | Sat 11 Jul, 15:00

Aalesund v Molde Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 03:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aalesund host Molde in an Eliteserien clash marked by contrasting tactical styles and recent form. Aalesund, positioned 13th, rely on a 3-5-2 formation that emphasizes quick transitions and attacking bursts but struggle defensively, conceding in 11 consecutive league matches. Molde, fifth in the table, operate a possession-based 4-2-3-1 setup with superior passing accuracy and territorial control, though their away form has been inconsistent. Both teams have shown scoring reliability, with Aalesund netting in 88% of matches and Molde maintaining a 10-game away scoring streak against Aalesund. The match promises an open contest with potential for goals from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Aalesund have conceded in 11 straight league matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Molde have scored in their last 10 away games against Aalesund, showing consistent attacking threat.
  • Both teams have scored in all six of Aalesund's recent home Eliteserien matches.
  • Aalesund average 10.82 shots per game despite lower possession, indicating attacking intent.
  • Molde's 76% of shots come from inside the penalty area, reflecting efficient attacking play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% chance, above the implied 68% , indicating positive value. Aalesund's consistent scoring at home combined with their defensive frailties creates a favorable environment for both teams to find the net. Molde's strong away scoring record against Aalesund and high-quality attacking metrics support this. The tactical contrast—Aalesund's direct counter-attacks versus Molde's possession control—further increases goal opportunities at both ends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Aalesund scoring rate88% of matches with goals
Strong positive
Molde away scoring streak10 consecutive games scoring vs Aalesund
Strong positive
Defensive weaknessAalesund conceded in 11 straight matches
Strong positive
Molde shot quality76% shots inside penalty area
Strong positive
Value edge5.3% positive
Positive
Main risk

Aalesund could improve defensive organization or Molde might fail to convert chances, which would reduce scoring chances and affect the bet outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture pits a high-tempo, transition-focused Aalesund against a possession-dominant Molde, creating a natural scenario for goals at both ends. Aalesund’s defensive struggles and Molde’s clinical finishing inside the box make Both Teams to Score a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Aalesund have conceded in 11 straight league matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Molde have scored in their last 10 away games against Aalesund, showing consistent attacking threat.

Both teams have scored in all six of Aalesund's recent home Eliteserien matches.

Aalesund average 10.82 shots per game despite lower possession, indicating attacking intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • Over the last six meetings, an average of 3.33 goals per match further supports an open game with multiple scoring chances.
  • These trends, combined with recent form, suggest a tempo and attacking openness conducive to Over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aalesund1.6
Avg goals scored
Molde1
Aalesund1.4
Avg goals conceded
Molde1
Aalesund80%
BTTS rate
Molde40%
Aalesund60%
Over 2.5 goals
Molde40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability, with Aalesund netting in 88% of matches and Molde maintaining a 10-game away scoring streak against Aalesund. The last six home matches for Aalesund all featured goals from both sides, supporting the likelihood of a BTTS outcome. Tactical contrasts and attacking metrics suggest multiple goal opportunities for each team.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aalesund

DDWWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
29 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-2
25 May 2026A Tromso1-1
20 May 2026H Brann2-1
16 May 2026A Rosenborg3-2
03 May 2026A Sandefjord0-1

Molde

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
30 May 2026H Sandefjord2-1
25 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
16 May 2026H Kristiansund BK1-0
10 May 2026A Tromso0-2
04 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Aalesund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data shows Aalesund with 8 points and 1.6 goals per game, but conceding 1.4 goals on average, reflecting defensive fragility. Molde have 9 points and 1 goal per game with a tighter defense conceding 1 goal per match. Aalesund’s 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Molde’s 40%, but Molde’s consistent away scoring against Aalesund balances this, indicating a high chance of goals from both sides.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Molde19116145
13Aalesund1111254-5
Aalesund sit 13th with 11 points, reflecting struggles in defensive stability, while Molde are 5th with 19 points, showing stronger overall performance. The standings highlight Molde’s better form but also underline Aalesund’s resilience at home. The gap suggests Molde’s attacking edge but also the potential for Aalesund to exploit defensive lapses, supporting a BTTS scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Aalesund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.47 with an implied chance of 68%, while the model estimates a 73.3% probability, indicating a slight positive value. The price reflects the strong scoring trends but remains sensitive to defensive improvements or tactical shifts. movement upwards would enhance value further, but current pricing justifies a standard stake.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aalesund4.6
Avg corners for
Molde4.4
Aalesund11.8
Avg total corners
Molde11.2
Aalesund2.8
Avg yellow cards
Molde1.6
Aalesund15.8
Avg shots
Molde11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Aalesund average 4.6 corners and 15.8 shots per game, reflecting active attacking phases despite lower possession. Molde average 4.4 corners and 11.4 shots, with 76% inside the penalty area, indicating efficient shot selection. Aalesund’s higher yellow card average (2.8 vs 1.6) suggests a physical approach that may lead to fouls and set-piece chances, contributing to attacking opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Aalesund wins
0Draws
8Molde wins
27 Feb 2026Molde v Aalesund4-1
16 May 2023Aalesund v Molde3-1
03 May 2023Molde v Aalesund3-0
25 Mar 2023Aalesund v Molde0-3
18 Sep 2022Molde v Aalesund3-0
16 May 2022Aalesund v Molde0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Molde have dominated recent meetings, winning five of the last six with 15 goals scored to Aalesund’s five. However, the most recent league encounter saw Aalesund win 3-1 despite lower possession, showing that possession control does not guarantee control. This history supports the likelihood of goals from both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Aalesund11
Played
Molde11
Aalesund1.4
Avg goals for
Molde1.6
Aalesund1.8
Avg goals against
Molde1.2
Aalesund0
Clean sheets
Molde3
Best odds for this sectionAalesund to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +9 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Aalesund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season-long stats reveal Aalesund’s attacking consistency with 30 goals in 17 matches and a high shot volume, but defensive issues persist with 28 goals conceded and no clean sheets in 11 games. Molde’s superior passing accuracy and possession translate into 20 goals in 13 matches, with a focus on high-quality chances inside the box. These profiles support a match with goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Aalesund Over 2.5
40%Molde Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring trend. Over the last six meetings, an average of 3.33 goals per match further supports an open game with multiple scoring chances. These trends, combined with recent form, suggest a tempo and attacking openness conducive to Over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Aalesund v Molde prediction

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