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Cremonese vs Modena: Efficiency, Defensive Fragility and the Real Match Pressure Points. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.4 goals per match recently, while Modena's inability to keep clean sheets and Cremonese's modest finishing suggest both sides will find the net in this fixture. Modena's higher shots on target and Cremonese's occasional defensive solidity support a BTTS outcome.
A 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams conceding 1.4 goals per game and modest scoring rates. Historical draws and shared attacking output support this balanced, tight outcome.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Cremonese v Modena.
Cremonese host Modena at Stadio Giovanni Zini on Friday evening with both sides carrying obvious imperfections into their second Serie B fixture.
Cremonese vs Modena — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Modena look stronger on recent form, while Cremonese remain vulnerable after weaker results.
Modena carry the stronger scoring threat, but Cremonese must contribute for BTTS to land.
Modena carry the stronger defensive profile, while Cremonese remain vulnerable in the likely scoreline.
Cremonese and Modena look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Three Punchy Stats
- Cremonese have averaged only 0.9 goals from 9.0 attempts across their last 10 league matches, underlining why possession alone has not produced enough attacking reward.
- Modena have conceded 5.1 shots on target per game over the same period, considerably more than Cremonese’s 3.9, which leaves their defence vulnerable if the hosts can improve their finishing.
- Cremonese are unbeaten in the past five meetings with Modena, but the last encounter ended 2-2 and they have not won either of the last two league meetings, making that record rather less one-sided than it first appears.
Goals Scored in Last 10 Matches
Recent attacking records for Cremonese and Modena are shown below.
Clean Sheets in Last 10 Matches
Recent defensive records for Cremonese and Modena are shown below.
The early table gives Modena three points and Cremonese none, but the more useful comparison lies in how each side has been creating and conceding chances. Cremonese have had more of the ball recently without always turning possession into meaningful threat, while Modena’s defensive numbers leave them exposed despite a winning start.
This looks less like a meeting between one clearly superior side and another trying to survive, and more like a test of which team can make modest attacking output count.
Cremonese Need More From Their Possession
Cremonese’s 1-0 defeat at Empoli offered a familiar warning. They controlled a large share of possession but managed only two efforts on target, reinforcing the gap between having the ball and doing enough with it.
Across their last 10 league matches, Cremonese have averaged 51.9% possession yet only 0.9 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.5 shots on target per game. That is not a disastrous attacking profile, but it leaves little margin when their defence is conceding 1.4 goals per match.
Their six-game return is slightly more encouraging, with eight goals scored and seven conceded, although the broader sequence remains uneven: three wins, six defeats and one draw from the last 10 league games.
Federico Bonazzoli stands out within that attack with four goals, twice Jamie Vardy’s total and ahead of David Okereke and the other one-goal scorers. If Cremonese are to convert territorial control into something more substantial, Bonazzoli’s recent contribution makes him the obvious reference point.
Modena Carry More Threat Than Their Record Suggests
Modena’s recent results are hardly dominant either. Three victories, five defeats and two draws from 10 league matches leave them only marginally better than Cremonese in attacking production, averaging 1.1 goals.
There is, however, an interesting difference in their chance profile. Modena average 10.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on target, both slightly higher than Cremonese, despite having less possession at 48.7%.
Their 2-1 victory at Benevento underlined that efficiency. Simone Santoro and Giuseppe Caso scored despite Modena not controlling the contest through possession, and both remain part of a relatively spread scoring contribution. Santoro and Giuseppe Ambrosino have two goals apiece, with Caso on one and Luca Zanimacchia supplying two assists across the last 10.
The concern is at the other end. Modena have conceded in each of their previous six matches, allowing eight goals during that run.
Neither Defence Offers Much Comfort
The underlying defensive figures make this fixture particularly difficult to reduce to recent results alone.
Both teams have conceded an average of 1.4 goals across their last 10 league games, but Modena have faced 11.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per match. Cremonese have allowed fewer of both, at 10.7 attempts and 3.9 on target.
That suggests Cremonese have generally limited opponents more effectively, even though the final goals-against figure is identical. Emil Audero’s four clean sheets also show that Cremonese have been capable of shutting games down, although their overall loss rate remains difficult to ignore.
History between the sides adds another layer. Cremonese are unbeaten in the past five meetings cited here, winning three and drawing two, while the most recent encounter finished 2-2 at this stadium. They have also failed to beat Modena in their last two league meetings, so the longer unbeaten sequence should not be mistaken for recent dominance.
Other Opportunities in These Markets
Under 2.5 Goals (6/10): Settles as a win if the combined match total is zero, one, or two goals (e.g. 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1). It trades the higher payout of an exact scoreline for broader outcome coverage, though it loses if either side secures a 2-1 or higher victory.
Match Result & BTTS – Cremonese & Yes (7/2): Settles as a win only if Cremonese win AND Modena score (e.g. 2-1, 3-1). It offers higher odds than a standalone BTTS pick by requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Cremonese vs Modena 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 1/1
Neither side has established a reliable defensive setup heading into this fixture, with both Cremonese and Modena holding identical averages of 1.4 goals conceded per game across their last 10 league matches. Cremonese enter having surrendered seven goals in their last six games, while Modena have failed to keep a single clean sheet across their previous six matches, conceding eight times during that run.
That mutual leakiness is matched by consistent attempt volume from both attacks. Modena average 10.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on target per match despite averaging under 49% possession. They demonstrated their ability to score on the road by finding the net twice through Simone Santoro and Giuseppe Caso in a 2-1 victory at Benevento. Cremonese may have managed only two shots on target in their recent 1-0 defeat to Empoli, but their broader six-game return of eight goals shows they regularly find ways through when given space. Facing a Modena backline that yields 5.1 shots on target per game, the hosts have a clear invitation to test the opposition goalkeeper.
Cremonese goalkeeper Emil Audero has recorded four clean sheets across the 10-match sample, showing the host team can occasionally restrict opponents when restricting shot volume. However, with both teams allowing over 10 attempts per game and Modena failing to keep a shut-out in six consecutive fixtures, the overall performance figures favour both teams finding the scoresheet.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Modena have failed to keep a clean sheet in six straight matches, conceding eight goals during that sequence.
- Both teams average 1.4 goals conceded per match across their respective last 10 league fixtures.
- Modena face 5.1 shots on target per game, offering Cremonese regular chances despite the hosts' lower finishing return.
Risk Factor: Cremonese have averaged only 0.9 goals per match from 9.0 attempts recently, so low finishing could limit Modena's threat.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Allowing only 3.9 shots on target per game compared to Modena's 5.1, supported by Audero's 4 clean sheets.
Conceding in 6 straight matches while allowing 11.7 overall attempts and 5.1 shots on target per fixture.
🎲 Pick 2: Cremonese vs Modena 1-1 @ 5/1
A 1-1 scoreline offers a realistic outcome because it accounts for Cremonese’s modest scoring rate alongside Modena’s persistent inability to secure clean sheets. Cremonese have averaged just 0.9 goals per match across their last 10 league games from 9.0 attempts, failing to turn 51.9% average possession into high goal tallies. Federico Bonazzoli leads their scoring with four goals, but the team as a whole rarely blows opponents away, scoring more than once only occasionally during their three-win, six-defeat, one-draw sequence.
Modena’s profile mirrors that limited conversion while ensuring they remain competitive. They average 1.1 goals per match across their past 10 league fixtures, supported by 3.8 shots on target per game. With Simone Santoro and Giuseppe Ambrosino holding two goals each, Modena possess enough individual contributions to notch a goal, particularly against a Cremonese defence allowing 1.4 goals per contest. Furthermore, historical meetings at this venue support a tight outcome, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini and two consecutive league games where Cremonese failed to defeat Modena.
The primary risk to a 1-1 selection stems from Cremonese’s defensive instability, as conceding twice would instantly ruin the scoreline. Equally, if Emil Audero reproduces one of his four clean-sheet performances, Modena could be shut out entirely. Nevertheless, with both sides averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game, a single goal apiece represents the most balanced reflection of their current attacking and defensive output.
Risk Factor: Both teams concede at similar rates, so a single goal each is a balanced expectation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Yes mean in this match?
Both Teams To Score Yes requires both Cremonese and Modena to score at least one goal in normal time. The final result does not matter as long as neither team ends with zero goals. For instance, scores of 1-1, 2-1, or 1-2 satisfy the market, whereas a 1-0 or 0-0 scoreline results in a loss.
Why is a 1-1 Correct Score selected for Cremonese vs Modena?
A 1-1 scoreline aligns with both teams averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game over 10 league matches, while maintaining moderate goal-scoring returns (0.9 for Cremonese, 1.1 for Modena). Additionally, the teams drew 2-2 in their last meeting at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Does extra time count toward these betting selections?
No, standard match markets including BTTS and Correct Score apply strictly to 90 minutes of regular play plus referee stoppage time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward settlement.
How does Modena's recent defensive form impact the BTTS bet?
Modena have failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive matches, conceding eight goals. Conceding 5.1 shots on target per game provides Cremonese with multiple opportunities to find the net.
How do Cremonese's possession figures influence their attacking outlook?
Cremonese average 51.9% possession but only 3.5 shots on target and 0.9 goals per match. While they hold the ball comfortably, their lower shot conversion rate makes explosive multi-goal margins less frequent.
What is the main difference between BTTS and Under 2.5 Goals?
BTTS requires both teams to score regardless of final goal volume (e.g. 2-2 wins BTTS but loses Under 2.5). Under 2.5 Goals requires two or fewer total goals (e.g. 2-0 or 1-0 win Under 2.5 but lose BTTS Yes).
Who are the key individual goal contributors for both sides?
Federico Bonazzoli leads Cremonese with four goals in the 10-match sample. Modena’s attacking contributions are shared, with Simone Santoro and Giuseppe Ambrosino having scored two goals each.
What historical head-to-head trend exists between Cremonese and Modena?
Cremonese are unbeaten in their past five meetings against Modena (three wins, two draws). However, they have failed to win either of the last two league fixtures, including a 2-2 draw at home in their most recent encounter.
